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Buffalo shrinking again


tomdayfan

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The city is shrinking but it's a little overblown. In the 2000 census (and I would venture it's bigger now), Amherst had 116,000+ people. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Amherst,_New_York I'd also venture a bunch of other suburbs are bigger than they have ever been.

 

Because of urban sprawl, you have to take stats like this with a grain of salt.

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The city is shrinking but it's a little overblown. In the 2000 census (and I would venture it's bigger now), Amherst had 116,000+ people. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Amherst,_New_York I'd also venture a bunch of other suburbs are bigger than they have ever been.

 

Because of urban sprawl, you have to take stats like this with a grain of salt.

 

Good point, but it's wrong.

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It sounds a lot worse than it actually is. Buffalo's 270,000 population is located in about 40 square miles. The city of Jacksonville has over 800,00 population. Their size is 874 sq miles. Looking at this list would you think Jacksonville dwarfs Buffalo. Factor in Buffalo's suburbs and they are about equal.

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It's bad...(per the Census Bureau)

 

________Est. Erie County____Est.City of Buffalo___Rest of County

 

2009________909,247_________270,240___________639,007

 

2008________909,858_________271,220

 

2007________911,784_________272,492

 

2006________916,292_________274,740

 

2005________923,820_________277,998

 

2004________932,002_________281,757

 

2003________936,931_________284,612

 

2002________940,645_________287,139

 

2001________945,165_________289,657

 

2000________950,265_________292,648___________657,617

 

2000-09 ___-41,018________-22,408_________-18,610

______________-4.3%___________-7.7%____________-2.8%

 

The one thing we can hold out hope for is the 2010 census may show the 2003-09 loss estimates were too high. This happened with the 1990 and 2000 census results, which are more accurate than the intercensal estimates.

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It's bad...

 

________Est. Erie County____Est.City of Buffalo

 

2009________909,247_________270,240

 

2008________909,858_________271,220

 

2007________911,784_________272,492

 

2006________916,292_________274,740

 

2005________923,820_________277,998

 

2004________932,002_________281,757

 

2003________936,931_________284,612

 

2002________940,645_________287,139

 

2001________945,165_________289,657

 

2000________950,265_________292,648

 

2000-09 ___-41,018________-22,408

 

The one thing we can hold out hope for is the 2010 census may show the 2003-09 loss estimates were too high. This happened with the 1990 and 2000 census results, which are more accurate than the intercensal estimates.

 

It looks like the drop has leveled off in the last couple years though. That could be the start of a trend.

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It looks like the drop has leveled off in the last couple years though. That could be the start of a trend.

The Great Recession has reduced U.S. household mobility. In WNY's case, that's a good thing since the grass is less green elsewhere (particularly in the southeast or west)...

 

On the other hand, we've got the best commuting time performance of any medium to large U.S. city. Whoo Whooo!

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That was the point of the second article I posted.

 

I'll have to read those later, I just don't have the time right now. The trend looks pretty obvious from the numbers though. Now we just need to see if it can last longer than 3 years.

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I'll have to read those later, I just don't have the time right now. The trend looks pretty obvious from the numbers though. Now we just need to see if it can last longer than 3 years.

 

I think the recession is keeping more people put than some miraculous WNY turn around.

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It's bad...(per the Census Bureau)

 

________Est. Erie County____Est.City of Buffalo___Rest of County

 

2009________909,247_________270,240___________639,007

 

2008________909,858_________271,220

 

2007________911,784_________272,492

 

2006________916,292_________274,740

 

2005________923,820_________277,998

 

2004________932,002_________281,757

 

2003________936,931_________284,612

 

2002________940,645_________287,139

 

2001________945,165_________289,657

 

2000________950,265_________292,648___________657,617

 

2000-09 ___-41,018________-22,408_________-18,610

______________-4.3%___________-7.7%____________-2.8%

 

The one thing we can hold out hope for is the 2010 census may show the 2003-09 loss estimates were too high. This happened with the 1990 and 2000 census results, which are more accurate than the intercensal estimates.

 

 

Buffalo-Niagara Falls is the 47th ranked metro area. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Buffalo-Niaga...tropolitan_area Less than a hour and half away, Rochester has the 51th ranked metro area. Nearly 3 million people between Buffalo and Rochester really isn't that shabby. It would rank about 18th in the country. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Table_of_Unit...atistical_Areas

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