
Estro
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Could Cordy Glenn really start off season on 2nd string?
Estro replied to pbanach's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
No he wasn't. In fact, it was pointed out by one of the coaches in an interview a month or so ago, that Cordy came into camp in very good condition. To answer the topics original question, no. Cordy Glenn is the Bills best OL. He will be a starter. -
Spoiler alert: J.J.Watt is #1 on that list and it's by a wide margin. Watt graded out with a +107.5, nearly doubling the grade of the player who ranks #2 on profootballfocus.com's list............Buffalo's own........Khalil Mack, with a +55.3. Mario Williams is not on the list. He graded out with a +16.1. Kyle Williams w/ a +20.2. Marcell w/ a +25.6. Marcell is the highest graded Buffalo Bill on profootballfocus.com, which means there will be no more Buffalo Bills on the list.
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Leroi, were the Bills high on Jeff Heuerman. I got the feeling, after listening to John Murphy, that he was one of their possible targets in the 3rd round. Also any hints as to who the target was for the attempted trade up into the 4th round? The DE from Kentucky, Za'Darius Smith, seems logical, am i hot!?
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I'm curious too. After looking at every pick of the 4th round....I was thinking one of the OL, possibly one of the DL. Guys that stood out: TJ Clemmings Tre Jackson Trey Flowers Za'Darius Smith
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If La'el Collins drops do Bills take him?
Estro replied to ALLEN1QB's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
No GM is pulling the trigger on La'el Collins in the 1st round when he is being questioned in the murder of a woman who may have been carrying his baby. Even if he is not a suspect, that does not mean he can't become one later. The fact that police want to question him, certainly does not help his cause. Unless police come out and say he has no connection what so ever to the murder investigation by tomorrow, there is no chance what so ever of him going in the 1st round. If there is no updated news on his status come Friday, his name will not be called on Friday either. -
Best road trip this season to see Bills?
Estro replied to YoloinOhio's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
Might as well sandwich the Tennessee vs Georgia game in Knoxville on Saturday while you're at it. 3 games in 3 days, that'd be quite the weekend. -
Sal Capaccio to replace Joe B. as Bills beat reporter at WGR
Estro replied to YoloinOhio's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
I started out really liking Joe B, particularly for his draft coverage. Outside of draft season though, his schtick started to get a little lame, IMO. I don't love Sal, but I also don't hate him. I appreciate his energy and his positive energy, but he certainly has room for improvement, as most of us do. I will say Matthew Coller is very articualte, and makes many great points that are original. I like what he brings to the listening experience a lot. -
I'd be pretty pissed to see the Bills trading away next years 2nd rounder in a move up scenario. I can't say I couldn't see the Bills brass pulling such a stunt, but until we have a bona fide QB on this roster I don't want to trade away any assets that could help in our journey to finally find one.
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Who is your draft "bust" and draft "sleeper"?
Estro replied to YoloinOhio's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
I like: DL, Miss St., Preston Smith (2nd rounder), DL, Iowa, Louis Trinca-Pasat (late rounder) Trinca-Pasat, although not as strong as Kyle Williams reminds me a lot of him coming out of college. Similar statures and both high hustle guys. I don't like: DE, LSU, Danielle Hunter. Watching his tape, I see an athletic looking freak who is always blocked, slow off the snap, and bad at diagnosing the play in front of him. Just doesn't seem to have any instincts at all. -
Who is your draft "bust" and draft "sleeper"?
Estro replied to YoloinOhio's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
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Wisniewski is probably going to get a deal in excess of $6M/year, and I don't think the Bills are spending that type of money at this point in FA. They have to keep an eye on next year w/ the likes of Dareus, Gilmore, Glenn and Bradham on expiring contracts. I think their big spending in FA has probably concluded.
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Anyone catch Brandon Spikes on NFL AM?
Estro replied to YoloinOhio's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
Add to that John Murphy stopping just short of saying Brandon Spikes will not be back with the Bills on his radio show tonight. Yet, another sign that the Bills have turned the page on Spikes. I would've loved to have him back on a $2-$3M deal, but it seems the Bills think they can replace his production with a cheaper salary. -
Twitter: Stevie's about to sign w/ the Patriots Reality: Stevie's agent has seen 2 offers. 1 from the Pats and 1 from the Chargers. The Chargers offer is stronger, but he knows he might be able to squeeze SD for a little more loot by having the headlines read that Stevie is about to sign with NE. Might be able to get and extra 250k out of them. I fully expect him to choose SD come tomorrow.
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Bills Setting themselves up for 2016 compensatory picks
Estro replied to gonzo1105's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
This link is a great resource to better understand how compensatory picks are awarded: http://overthecap.com/projecting-the-compensatory-draft-picks-for-2015/ Based on the link above the contracts received by our own FA's that have signed elsewhere will likely result in the following draft pick: DaNorris Searcy: 5th Round Pick CJ Spiller: 5th/6th Round Pick Lee Smith: 6th Round Pick Erik Pears: 7th Round Pick. Possibly nothing only if his contract is for the league minimum and he barely plays next year. As of now I think the signing of Tyrod Taylor and Jerome Felton will cancel out the losses of Lee Smith and Erik Pears. So my best guess as of now is that we have 2 comp picks in 2016, a 5th rounder and a 5th/6th rounder. I am not sure if Charles Clay counts as a FA signed due to his transition tag situation. I believe he will, but I'm not sure, if anyone knows please let us know. Brandon Spikes and Chris Hairston are still on the market and if they are signed by other teams could add to the Bills comp. pick for 2016. I do hope the Bills have a net loos of FA's this year so that we can at least cash in on one of those 5th round picks. As much as I liked the signing of Brandon Spikes last year, it cost us a 3rd round compensatory pick this year. Jairus Byrd would've qualified us for a 3rd rounder, but the Spikes signing didn't allow for the Bills to have a net loss of FA's last year, thus no comp. pick. Big picure, that's a pick I really wish the Bills had in this years draft. Let's hope they smarten up. Lastly, another reason I like 1 year "prove it" deals in FA (see: Percy Harvin) is because if you lose the player the following year you get a comp. pick for them. There is a reason the Patriots and Ravens do a lot of 1 year deals with FA's. Those 2 teams are the smartest when it comes to understanding acquiring "free" draft picks, many of which end up being 3rd and 4th rounders. -
Details of Suh contract/how to structure Clay offer?
Estro replied to YoloinOhio's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
Johm Murphy was saying on his radio show last night that Charles Clay will be paid like a top tight end. When he says things like that I listen......because he's not just saying them out of the blue. I originally thought $7 M per year seemed a bit too rich for Clay but now I'm thinking he might come in around $8M per if Murphy is onto something. Jimmy graham makes $10M per Gronkowski makes $9M per Julius Thomas makes $9.2M per Jason Witten makes $7.4M per Vernon Davis makes $7.35M per Kyle Rudolph makes $7.3M per Antonio Gates makes $7.2M per Jared Cook makes $7M per And many of these contracts were signed 2 years ago when the salary cap was 10-15% lower. So if you tack on 10% to some of those middle contracts listed above your right in the $8M per year range. -
Details of Suh contract/how to structure Clay offer?
Estro replied to YoloinOhio's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
That's a good point I hadn't thought of. It would be a smart tactic if allowed. My guess is that type of language wouldn't be allowed in a contract, but I could be wrong. -
Details of Suh contract/how to structure Clay offer?
Estro replied to YoloinOhio's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
Okay thanks for the clarification, that's what I was hoping. So if the Bills really want Clay they need to make his base this year $14M. His contract breakdown would look something like this: 4 years - $28M, $14M guaranteed '15: $14M base salary ($14M cap hit) '16: $1M base salary & $3M roster bonus, amortized over 3 yrs. ($2M cap hit) '17: $5M base salaey ($6M cap hit) '18: $5M base salary ($6M cap hit) With this structure the Dolphins would need to have enough cap space to squeeze Clay in at his full $14M cap hit, plus $5M for their rookie draft pool, plus any emergency funds you keep heading into a season which is usually at least a few $M. Essentially the Dolphins would need to have in excess of $20M in cap space to match a deal like this. It leaves the Bills vulnerable if Clay were to get hurt or retire from football after the '15 season, but that's not very likely. The Bills are being super proactive: cutting Chandler and restructuring Kyle Williams deal, so it's clear that the '15 cap hit on Clay's offer sheet is going to be heavy. If they need extra breathing room they can always convert some of Mario's base salary. The downside to all of these cuts and restructures is obviously the cap hits in the future only get heavier, which eventually becomes a problem down the line. I will add the 1 wildcard no one has discussed, which is Dannell Ellerbe, LB, Dolphins. It's only a matter of time before he is cut and when he is the Phins pick up an additional $5.65M. If they are determined to keep Clay, they could cut Ellerbe and restructure a couple of contracts and make it work. They would be in absolute dire straits in the future if they decided to do this....but it is the Dolphins, and Stephen Ross, so you never know. -
Details of Suh contract/how to structure Clay offer?
Estro replied to YoloinOhio's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
Correct me if I'm wrong, but if the Dolphins really want to retain Clay can't they agree to match the Bills contract no matter what the structure.....and then immediately restructure high base salaries into bonuses and amortize those bonuses over the life of the deal to soften that cap hits in the early years. Or are the Dolphins not allowed to restructure the deal immediately after matching the Bills offer? I'm not sure what the rules are with that. -
I always thought that the absolute most Spiller could get on the open market was $5M per season, and I thought that would be overpaying for his services. I think $4-$4.5M per year is fair for a team that has a defined plan for Spiller. And by defined, I mean a team who understands this is not a guy that can just take hand offs up the middle. I actually feel like he'd be a poor fit on the Cowboys. The Patriots make more sense to replace Shane Vereen, who was more of a scat back. I also believe that the Pats won't pay one penny over $3.5M per season for a scat back. If reports are true that Spiller turned down over $4.5M per year from the Bills he may soon realize that was a mistake financially.
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Tyrod Taylor visiting the Bills--edit signed per Rex
Estro replied to Beef Jerky's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
I wonder if Tyrod Taylor is going to be a project for Donnie Henderson. He has ideal size and athleticism to play S/CB. Probably not but just throwing it out there. -
Bryan Bulaga - TG says name to watch
Estro replied to Reed83HOF's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
what he's looking for is his ceiling. So asking for $8.5M seems fair. I think $7.3M, which is what OG Orlando Franklin just got, is probably more in the wheel house of what he'll get. Murphy mentioned today on his radio show that the Packers are trying to retain him, so it'll be tough to pry him away. He seems to have a little bit of a pulse as to what's going on and said he does think the Bills will look into Bulaga, so we will see. -
Many deals include funny money on the backend, so I like to take a look at the fine details of contracts signed. Here are the cash breakdowns of Jerry's newly inked 5 year deal (all information from spotrac.com, which I will link at the bottom). Keep in mind this is how the cash will be disbursed over his 5 year contract: 2015: $11.775M (fully guaranteed) 2016: $10.675M ($6M guaranteed) 2017: $7.55M 2018: $7.5M 2019: $7.5M Total disbursements = $45M over 5 years One thing that sticks out to me is the fact that Hughes will receive 50% of his total deal in cash within the first 2 years of the 5 year deal. That's great for Jerry and his agent. From their perspective, It's essentially a 2 year - $22.45M deal, followed by three 1 year team options worth $7.5M/year. This is where the Bills win the deal, IMO, but only if Hughes is still playing at a quality level. The last 3 years at $7.5M per season will look like a relative bargain in 2017-2019 when Hughes will be 29-31 years old (still not over the hill). Lastly, the more I look at this contract the more I like it for the Bills. Spotrac.com did a feature piece leading up to FA in which they predicted the value of the key FA's to be. They had Jerry's predicted contract value @ 6 years - $60.945M w/ $20.7M. Clearly, they think the Bills signed Hughes for much less than his worth on the open market. And for those who might think they just suck at guessing, many of the other FA signings around the league have come in north of their predictions. You can see for yourself here: http://www.spotrac.com/research/nfl/projecting-contracts-for-notable-2015-free-agents-504/ Jerry's contract breakdown here: http://www.spotrac.com/nfl/buffalo-bills/jerry-hughes/
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Fred Jackson cut??(UPDATE: Pegula says Hell To The No)
Estro replied to Big Turk's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
Aaron Williams @ajwilliams23 20m20 minutes ago My lil brother said it best, "life is the best teacher" #DeepThinking I think this may very well be in reference to Freddy not being with the Bills any longer. Those two are tight. -
Compensation Picks for Byrd/Others Lost in 2014??
Estro replied to ChanOverChin's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
We get nothing. Had we not signed 1 of our FA's signees last year, we would've likely received a 3rd/4th round selection. It's no coincidence that the Baltimore Ravens and Patriots have multiple compensatory picks awarded almost every year. Smart business accumulating extra mid round draft choices if you can work the system intelligently, you just have to make sure you always have a net loss via FA. Then you replace those losses in FA with your "compensatory" picks that work for cheap. I get the impression the Bills won't be operating under this model though, by the looks of things lately. Their loss. -
Jerry Hughes signs 5-year deal with Bills
Estro replied to YoloinOhio's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
It's gonna be tough to beat out the Jaguars, IMO. They're likely to miss out on al of their prized targets. Cobb, Suh, Murray. That means they can blow other teams offers out of the water, and really just start overpaying guys. Throw in no state income tax in FL and I think Jacksonville will offer the best package to Hughes.