From the point of view I wanted to make, I think it has a little disgressed, at start I just wanted to point that the last time I saw in Buffalo a go for it that earlier in the game was (possibly) in the Flutie/Wade Phillips era.
I see Jauron/mularkey punting, and Lostman, Bledsoe running for a loss or a 2 yard gain or an out of bounds throw.
An interesting thing too :
- Pats game, 1st quarter, trailing 14, 4 and 14 at NE 35, they go for it.
- Raiders game, 2nd(?) quarter, trailing 14, 4th and 1 at OAK 15 (?), they kick it.
Where is the decision differance ?
I think of multiple factors.
- Raiders game.
may be they estimated at that distance, a FG is a 90-95% sure thing, and converting a 4th and 1 at the current momemtum was a 50% ? 40% ? I'm not sure too the Raiders were converting every drive to a score.
- Pats game.
Trailing 14 ; if I remember well they were just scoring at will.
Kicking a 52 yarder is a 50/50 (40/60) ?
Going for it 4th and 14 is what ? a 40% converting ?
I just think it was a momentum thing.
Missing the FG would have iced the fighting spirit.
just my 2 cents.