Based on what? White and Edmunds are no longer on the roster, Took boogie instead of a Center who was all pro in his rookie year. Ed disappears more than not, Elam is a pure bust, Kincaid hasn't worked out and one can argue has regressed. Coleman really didn't do anything this year. Beane has had disastrous FA choices, so taking Allen out of the equation, how do you figure to have any real Confidence in Beane considering all the grievous misses.