Einstein

My nana is off the boat from Italy and the first thing she said as she stepped foot on Ellis Island in 1910 was "Go Bills".

And the tape proves he is not. We are still running 10 and 11 personnel with Diggs running posts and fly's in the 4th quarter up 14 points. The offense never took their foot off the gas until the last drive when we ran 3 times to burn clock.

TNF must have really lowered the volume on the television broadcast because it felt the exact opposite watching it on TV. Very quiet.

Gosh, I honestly don’t know.

To the observer - yes.

No. And i'll ignore the insult. Primacy effect is a short-term effect (it is sequential of one event). A prior game would not be relevant. Psychology of Sport and Exercise 8 (2007) 477–489 Study "Primacy effects were observed regardless of the soccer experience of the participants and the judgement mode (end-of-sequence versus step-by-step).... This finding has a number of implications. First, it suggests that the way in which athletes’ abilities are judged may be biased by the order in which their performances are judged. The results indicate that it may be more beneficial for an athlete to attempt to start strongly than to start poorly, as this will produce a more favourable impression in perceivers." https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/19437187/

It’s difficult to do, because he is a bad pass blocker. When the opponent brings more rushers, the RB has to stay in and protect. He struggles.

How many more points?

Yes. Perhaps a form of the cognitive bias known as Primacy Effect.

Likely not, because we then have to develop an error system that avoid flagging every single time an o-linemen grazes a d-linemens facemask while blocking (happens nearly every play). The system will need an incredible amount of redundancy.

Gotcha. I think that is a valid hypothesis.

We can't (with current technology). You can't simply "train" a model to know when a 3d object such as fingers grasp onto a facemask (rather than graze) in real time. You would need a 3D convolutional neural network that receives data from a LIDAR-type 3D camera producing volumes of data that can differentiate between individual fingers and the material of the facemask from multiple directions. It then has to compute this in real-time, billions of computations per second. I We are hoping that future advancements will enable the ability for us to do exactly what you are requesting. Maybe in another 10 years or so.

This was the first thing I thought of. But if you look at the tape, they were in attack mode until the very last drive. They were running 10 and 11-Personnel throughout. Aaron Quinn attacked the "foot off the gas" theory in a long Twitter thread today.

You feel like the offense was purposefully not scoring the last quarter and a half? The staff wanted to practice punting?

I made the argument last week that the offense played 'fine'. Points are points whether they are scored in the first half or final minutes. The offense scored 25 and left the field with the lead and under two minutes to play. So I figured lets compare the two. Week 7 vs Patriots Points: 25 Offensive EPA/a: .16 First downs: 24 Punts: 1 Week 8 vs Bucs Points: 24 Offensive EPA/a: .09 First downs: 25 Punts: 4 This weeks offense did have 88 more yards, and also involved more receiving options, though this effort resulted in 1 less point, a lower EPA/a and more punts than last week. We did have a large lead this week, which can contribute to taking the foot off the pedal. However, I didn't get the sense we were doing that until the very last drive. We were running 11 personnel with Josh in shotgun up until the second to last drive. PS, our no-huddle work was magnificent:

I read that Daquan Jones should be back for the playoffs. I believe it was by Dr. Chao.

I would like to see your prototype, if you're serious. This is already possible, but it is just tracking technology. Not what most would consider AI, though I guess one could consider any computer an artificial intelligence. These would be significantly more difficult. For example: How does the AI determine that the face mask was grabbed and pulled, rather than simply grazed? How does the AI know if the knee was down (this requires elevation, rather than simply distance) or if the referees whistle was blown prior to the ball coming out on fumble? That doesnt even get into latency, snow, error handling, etc. We are talking 1,000+ TFLOPS (with error).

McD has his faults but I don't think a lack of hard work is one of them.

“We went with players that we thought would help us win.” -Sean McDermott on playing Josh Norman and having Kaiir Elam inactive Says it all.

I share this opinion with you. If DB2 is holding on the left side of the field and the QB never even looked that direction on a quick out to the right, does that really need to be called? In my opinion - no. If a player minorly grabs a facemask when the ball carrier is already 3/4 of the way to the ground, does that really need to be called? Again, in my opinion - no. Call fouls in instances that affect what happened on that play.

As someone who writes AI scripts, we are not at the point where it could be used in a live game. Too much nuance. For example, you could set to calculate contact/distance in relation to the ball on PI, but it would be hard to have it understand the difference between minor hand checking and a foul. It would also take incredible computing power to do in real-time. There would also be holding called on the offensive line every play. Baseball is easy, because it is simply tracking one object against a pre-defined strike zone of minor variance in heights.

Agreed. I understand the thinking behind the timeouts. Align your defense, get everyone on the same page, yada yada. But that doesnt take into account the flip side. The opponent is out of timeouts and they are reeling. They just had 3 unsuccessful plays in a row and now they're rushing to figure out the best play for a key 4th down that will keep the game alive and they only have 40 seconds to do it, and the linemen are waiting to hear the play so they can rush to the line and figure out what defensive front they are facing, and the QB still needs time to read the coverage, and the WR's need time to get set up, and the WR's are exhausted from running route after route after route, and their hearts are beating out of their chest, and everyone on offense is a bit frantic because the play clock is ticking fast, and it's crunch time, and then... we let them off the hook with a timeout. Time and gain. Instead of all that, the opponent gets to walk to the sideline and take a minute to figure out their best option. Their assistants have time in the booth to analyze what defense we have been running this series. Their linemen get to leisurely walk up to the line and calmly call out the front. Their QB gets to comfortably mosey up to the shotgun position and scan the defensive coverage. The WR's have time to rest and take a breather. Everything is slowed down. I hate the defensive timeouts because sure it helps us get aligned but it also takes away a lot of the stress from the offense. .

He rushing from both left and right. Though primarily standing up and from a very wide angle.

I'm working on a comparison match-up between last year and this week, with a stopwatch timing the ball of the snap. I think you'll be shocked. Video comparison I mean.

It's not. He is considerably and noticeably slower off of the line.