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Everything posted by P Riv
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They don't have Brady, they definitely don't have anyone like Allen. What I've been saying is that they don't need that. Here's a look at QB play in Hoodie's past, all SB seasons except 93 which was still playoffs and at least one win: Gms att cpl cpl% yds ypc TD INT rtg 16 259 468 55.3 3,487 7.5 21 22 74.6 Simms 86 14 184 311 59.2 2,284 7.3 15 4 92.7 Simms 90 14 207 376 55.05 2575 6.9 16 18 70.7 Testaverde 94 16 314 522 60.15 3706 7.1 28 15 87.7 Bledsoe 96 14 264 413 2843 6.9 18 12 86.5 Brady 01 16 317 527 3620 6.9 23 12 85.9 Brady 03 Hoodie needs "good" QB play, not MVP or great. Them's the facts. They're going to contest the division... We'll win, but I'm not taking them lightly.
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If we say it enough maybe its a self fulfilling prophecy? Future comparison will be....Matt Cassel. https://www.nfl.com/players/matt-cassel/stats/career Who's with me? lol
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NE, MIA and NY all suck at 1st rd picks. NE drafts well on defense and O-line, but WR, RB and sometimes CB has a pretty bad record of success. Reality is we sucked at drafting QB's until we struck gold with Allen, and even he was considered taking a chance with high upside.
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Athletic article on Bills Fan Expectations
P Riv replied to Hapless Bills Fan's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
I like your confidence, maybe I still have the 20 year hangover. As far as O lines go, here's an example of what the world outside B'lo is thinking: https://www.pff.com/news/nfl-ranking-all-32-nfl-offensive-line-units-entering-2021-season As far as NE's O-line coach is concerned, he left in 2019, not 2020. They're over that hump. I can't see them going 3-7 down the stretch, especially starting with a LAC that they crushed last year 45-0 with a bad team. Just checked the replay of the Newton fumble, if he had it tucked it would have been either 3rd and 1 or 1st and goal. It was slapped out of his hand and no one was within 2-3 yards in front of him. So, the strip saved the game.... Awesome play. -
Athletic article on Bills Fan Expectations
P Riv replied to Hapless Bills Fan's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
The first game NE had us on the ropes in the last minutes, then Newton got sloppy carrying the ball near the goal line. Second game was two teams headed in completely different directions and we spanked them (felt GREAT). This year, different season and different teams, can't really predict it. Their defense last year in a bad season for them...was still number 7 in scoring defense. If you look at what they added, its going to be rough sledding against them, and their punter is a weapon. Their WRs don't scare me either, but aside from Moss and Welker, who ever did? Thats not how they play and I suspect they will use their TE's and RB's in such a way that they don't need a traditional WR1 and never really have. Our number one and two cover guys may be better than their receivers, but they'll throw to options three and four where it favors them, thats how they work. Quality low budget guys, lots of depth. Their Achilles heal is QB, otherwise their overall roster may be better than ours. We outclass them really badly in QB1 and WR1 and thats all, they have us in just about every other position grouping. I think having to play them twice a year is a great thing for us, a great measuring stick and challenge that will make us better. I agree on the Jets and also think they should have kept Darnold, drafting a QB was a mistake. Now they have a rookie QB and two unknowns backing him up with no veteran to mentor...thats just dumb. Their D-line looks good, if CJ Mosley can make a comeback their front 7 isn't bad. They might win 5-6 games and hopefully steal one from NE or MIA. They don't have much offensive firepower, but they might sneak up on some people and win with Saleh's enthusiasm (the intangibles). Dolphins....meh, I think Tua will be a low success/not quite a bust and isn't the answer for them. I think they regress, maybe badly. We win 12 games, the division, host a home playoff game, maybe even home in the Divisional round again. AFCCG repeat. -
Athletic article on Bills Fan Expectations
P Riv replied to Hapless Bills Fan's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
Sounds good to me, but I don't believe we did much of anything to improve our run game or defend against it either. We're going to have some high scoring games IMHO. KC's weakness was their O-line, look what they accomplished this offseason. Everybody tries to improve, we more or less kept the status quo. We needed a stud D-lineman or a beast at RB to get closer to pushing over the hump. Maybe we'll get lucky with few injuries, everything goes right, etc. Every season is different and pre-season hype based on last year is usually wrong. -
Athletic article on Bills Fan Expectations
P Riv replied to Hapless Bills Fan's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
We still have to beat a combination of KC, Tennessee, Cleveland, in the playoffs, then there's TB or GB to get past if we reach the SB. Tall order and we have a good solid team, but we're putting all of our hopes in the QB to carry it all. Need Josh to be Aaron Rodgers, and even he's only been able to pull it off once. -
Aside from QB and WR1 NE currently has a SB roster in any Brady year. They are a total wild card this year depending on how their QB situation develops. Their scoring defense was #7 last year and they got a lot better through FA and the draft. I read an article a while back that every year that they had a top 5 scoring Defense or above, they at least made the AFCCG. Aside from Allen and Diggs, I think their roster is better than ours (assuming Gilmore is there and 100% healthy). So, clearly a lot is riding on their QB situation. I started looking further back into Hoodie's past, he builds teams a certain way and you can see it all the way back to his time with the Giants. Did the 86 or 90 Giants have a star WR1 or QB like Brady? Nope... The defense and running game, TE's, possession WR's, all seem to look like very familiar types of players to what they have now. Just sayin, the methodology is distinctly clear.
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Pretty sure we're going to a see a lot of play action and screen from NE this year, that and short pick plays. I'm sure we'll also see the intermittent overthrown bomb to agholor to keep that threat alive. run, dink dunk, screen, run, run run, run.... They have RBs that can catch, good TE's and possession WRs, so this isn't too tough to figure out. In reality, an accurate noodle arm could actually do well.
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Jackson had one season where he looked like a running QB, the rest look like a RB who can throw occasionally. I hope they sign him to a big contract, then its bye bye Harbaugh, back to the draft... lol
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I see they are deep on the OL, but Wynn likely won't last and then there's the number of roster spots to account for. If they carry 8 OL and one is Wynn, to me thats actually going to be thin. Wynn can't stay on the field and on a related note neither can Jonnu Smith. So I see them carrying 4-5 Players between TE and FB in order to maintain their offensive scheme. They're always heavy on DBs and they have a ton of LB's, and that eats up a lot of roster space. Depending on injuries I think they can threaten us in their best case scenario. My biggest curiosity with them is actually Stidham, who clearly has the best arm in their QB room.
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This sounds just about spot on for June. Injuries will change and dictate the actual narrative, just like it does every year. I think they will have a top 5 scoring Defense, struggles at QB and injury issues at TE and OL.
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Granted, Josh is the man, but thats not the point. Point being that Newton is not as bad as people are saying here and that team isn't going to be the same one we saw last year. The Homers as usual are all upside for us and all downside for them as they convince each other that we're entitled now. I'm not buying any of it, we have Allen and Diggs, otherwise they have the better roster overall. I don't think the team will take them lightly, its just a thing around here with our fanbase. We put them down last year which makes this a critical year to see if we can keep them down and gain a psychological edge going forward. If they split with us I think thats a major lost opportunity.
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According to this board Newton can't hit the broad side of a barn, but he actually completed almost 66% of his passes last year. I know 13-3 is our floor and 7-9 is their ceiling right? lol, gotta love June.
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You're a Pats fan on a Bills board, expect random hostility.
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In spite of being 7-9 last year and seemingly giving up at the end of the season they still had the #7 scoring defense. They added a ton of talent and will likely crack the top 5 in scoring defense. All they need is a game manager. Can Newton throw deep? Nope... Can he run, stand tall in the pocket, lead the team? yes. I'm not dismissing them, their going to be a tough out. As usual, in a competitive league, injuries will dictate the fortunes of many teams. I don't expect that dynamic duo of TE's to be available even half the time and WR looks thin for them too. O line might be an issue too, so it looks like some of the same stuff as last year. They will be a better version of what they were last year and won't be able to do anything but play a ball control, mistake free type of tight game. If they get behind early, its over. 2nd tier behind the big boys in the Conf.
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Are we becoming to Miami what New England was to us??
P Riv replied to BruceVilanch's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
So is everyone else in the league. -
Can Patriots challenge with run first offense this year?
P Riv replied to Inigo Montoya's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
They were competitive last year and completely upgraded the roster, 7-9 is the floor for them. I think they are a threat. It's probably going to come down to key injuries and who has the roster depth, schemes, and luck to cover for it. If Cam goes down, they may not skip a beat. If Josh goes down, we're not looking good. -
Sampling of preseason NFL Power Rankings
P Riv replied to Inigo Montoya's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
Look at last year's rankings and how far off they were by season's end, for the most part. Injuries will dictate a lot of how the season will go, just depends on who and when they go down. I think we have solid depth and can weather the storm, but many of the rest can't say that. Sounds good to me. I think TB runs away with it this year though, they have an All-Star team. -
I think that he did what was asked of him for the most part. They were very conservative in the passing department and totally dependant on the run game. With a better team around him on both sides of the ball, another year in the system, etc., I just don't expect the same thing from him or them as a team. I suspect they will be trouble. Notes on his passing, for perspective: https://www.boston.com/sports/new-england-patriots/2021/03/12/cam-newton-2020-season-advanced-stats
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Newton had a huge uphill battle last year with old injuries still effecting him, no offseason, a complicated offense, got COVID, etc. To pencil in his last year's numbers for this year would be a serious leap to a conclusion. I'm guessing starts every game for them this year, barring injury (which could easily happen). As far as the rest of that team goes, we have them in QB1 and WR1 by a lot. The rest of their entire team from owner, coach, facilities, players, etc. is equal or better than ours. In spite of their terrible offense last year, they're D let up fewer points than us and only broke down at the end of the season when it was pretty clear they weren't going anywhere. Last year was exactly that, last year. I expect to beat them, but I don't expect to beat them twice again.
