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Everything posted by Beck Water
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Gotta give "waste of a pick" TBD assessment mention to Dorian Williams, who is quietly leading the Bills in both solo (59) and combined (97) tackles, with 5 TFL and 2 QB hits packaged in there. That's 10th in the league, in case anyone was wondering. Is he perfect, no, but for a young guy thrown into the starter role in his 2nd year, he's getting better all the time. While I'm here one more point out. Currently the Bills LB (Williams, Bernard + Spector) are leading the league in tackles. That's what's expected, you say. To which I say, true, but it means something - it means the much-maligned Bills DL, especially the DTs, are actually doing a decent job of keeping the LB clean. Which, was not always the case in 2020 and 2021, when Poyer and Johnson were way up there for tackles.
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Brian Baldinger (#BaldysBreakdowns) of Bills offense play structure
Beck Water replied to Saxum's topic in The Stadium Wall
https://x.com/BaldyNFL/status/1858510855295389896 OK what's the new secret-du-jour to getting links to embed? -
Josh Allen Punched in the head two weeks in a row
Beck Water replied to kitchen sink's topic in The Stadium Wall
Then he needs to improve his awareness of the ball's location, which is a couple feet lower than where he's punching -
For people who like it, Josh is at his highest ANY/A (7.42) since 2020 (7.82) NY/A same trend Passer rating again, highest of his career (98.2) since 2020 (107.2). TD % up, INT % down, Y/A about the same, sack % a bit lower. Yards per game are down about 30 ypg from the previous 3 years, so there's that. I perceive the run game by "backs not named Josh Allen" as compensating for the lower passing ypg but this is a place where when I looked at the numbers, they didn't say what I thought they'd say: Bills Rush Game Year A/G Rank Team YPG Rank Allen YPG 20 26 18 107.7 20 26.3 21 27 13 129.9 6 44.9 22 27 20 139.5 7 47.7 23 30 5 130.1 7 30.8 24 28 7 119.2 15 25.4 You can all make of those numbers what you want. League average rush Y/G is typically in the 11x - 115, 113, 119 (unless Henry is going nuts, then he single handedly shifts the average up to 120s) My take is that the Bills improved from a below-average run game to an above-average run game by riding Josh Allen's legs. This year, Brady is persisting in trying to build a solid rush game without Josh. We're below average in Y/A at 4.3, but Brady will keep plugging away at the run and not shift it too much to Josh Allen (and to be fair, 4.3 Y/A moves the chains)
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11/17/24 Game 11 GAMEDAY! Bills vs Chiefs post game Thread
Beck Water replied to BuffaloBill's topic in The Stadium Wall
"That's a good football team" - yeah, that's the clip I saw. The very end was better "that's a very good football team, you have to play your best football to beat a great team and we didn't play our best football today". If I'd heard that first I wouldn't have felt quite the same. I wouldn't say he was "very complimentary" though. -
Josh Allen Punched in the head two weeks in a row
Beck Water replied to kitchen sink's topic in The Stadium Wall
Just to be clear, the Colts player was fined $10,919.00 for the punch (but strangely, not penalized during the game) I would hope the league will look at this, but if it's two weeks in a row, the Bills need to raise this as a question of refereeing since in general the league is supposedly trying to limit head blows. -
11/17/24 Game 11 GAMEDAY! Bills vs Chiefs post game Thread
Beck Water replied to BuffaloBill's topic in The Stadium Wall
I want to give Van Demark his propers, but it needs also to be remembered that he raised eyebrows a bit when he was kept as our swing tackle backup last season, because he was still very much a work in progress as a RT. I would say he's improved quite a lot, but RT is still not his strong side. Van Demark played decently, but yeah, we missed Spencer Brown. -
Is this the play you're talking about?
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So about the refs tonight UPDATE: Rams game discussion on page 14
Beck Water replied to Einstein's topic in The Stadium Wall
They were showing replays during the time-out and it looked pretty definitive. -
You're right, but I'm not convinced that's what happened on that play. As some observant chap pointed out above, Miller was in a good position to corral Mahomes if he cut back inside, and there were two of his teammates in position outside. I could be mistaken, I haven't seen an all-22 of the play, but that's how I saw it on TV
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1. is an interesting comment. Some truth there though this year is different for Josh as a QB. 2. would require a caveat. 2020 October, Josh had a sprained L shoulder but he also didn't play a good game. 2021 playoff, Josh lost to the Chiefs. Played like hell, but he couldn't decode their defense and wouldn't take the underneath stuff they were leaving him all game. To his credit, he learned something. You could make a case for Ryan's point from then on.
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All these guys have egos. McDermott talks his "humble and hungry" game, but make no mistake, he's got an ego, he just keeps it on a leash. Daboll took the leash off his ego after his first year with the Giants. I think Daboll meeting the Turk is a "needs to happen". He started thinking he knew more than McDermott in Buffalo. McDermott would tell him you got to be able to run the ball sometimes (his perspective as a DC that if a team can't run, it's so much easier to attack them defensively) and Daboll started hearing "Blah blah, Ginger. Blah blah blah blah Ginger." He got the Giants gig and got to the playoffs his first year, and that told him he was Right Right Right. Will be interesting to see what happens next. Here's the thing though. They had that FA and draft, and two more since, to become a team with the talent to regularly win playoff games.
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11/17/24 Game 11 GAMEDAY! Bills vs Chiefs post game Thread
Beck Water replied to BuffaloBill's topic in The Stadium Wall
I did feel that the defense KC saw yesterday looked a little different to the Chiefs. They were not quite expecting the continued aggressiveness. That was one of the few worthwhile comments I heard from Romo, about how this is the most pressure the Bills have ever gotten on Mahomes. Interesting. Both things are true though - Romo may have been sharing insights based on inside info, but he also was sharing insights based on 14 years in the NFL He's stopped doing both. Yesterday he came across to me as a giant FanBoy commercial for KC. Everything was from KC's POV, offense and defense. -
11/17/24 Game 11 GAMEDAY! Bills vs Chiefs post game Thread
Beck Water replied to BuffaloBill's topic in The Stadium Wall
"Let him score" would make absolutely no sense there. The Chiefs are a well coached team. So I doubt they were unsure. What they were unsure about, once he got the first down, is whether he would slide and stick them with an UR, since he had been sliding earlier in the game. Hopefully that connection isn't lost on Josh. But let's give Josh his propers. What Von Miller said when he was still with Denver "you better have a plan to tackle him". The Chiefs didn't have a plan to tackle him, and they underestimated his open-field speed. Because Josh is big, he doesn't appear as fast as he is. If that were Lamar doing that run we'd have heard a bunch about how he's so incredibly special and no other QB can run like that. But because Josh is able to run people over, his ability to make people miss goes under-appreciated. -
11/17/24 Game 11 GAMEDAY! Bills vs Chiefs post game Thread
Beck Water replied to BuffaloBill's topic in The Stadium Wall
Saved me a bunch of typing. I was waiting for someone to call this out. Yep, that 4th and 2 play was a real "That Fu**in' Guy!" play. Spagnuolo had the perfect defense called to counter that particular offensive play. Then Joshua *****in' Allen took over and he had nothing. How many NFL players - NFL players on the 4th rated D for points, 2nd for yards - had a chance and missed Josh on that play? I believe there were 6. That. *****in'. Guy. It could just be me, but I thought Kermit was a bit........condescending....about the Bills in his press conference. -
11/17/24 Game 11 GAMEDAY! Bills vs Chiefs post game Thread
Beck Water replied to BuffaloBill's topic in The Stadium Wall
Yep, it's both irritating that the facemask was missed and the non-catch not reviewed, and encouraging that neither of them mattered. -
I was watching Allen throw some beautiful arching passes tonight (yes, tonight - was traveling, watched DVR'd game tonight)
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Week 11 - Chiefs at Bills Game Week Thread
Beck Water replied to BillsFan619's topic in The Stadium Wall
My nose bleeds blue buttermilk for that guy. Hope the Bills can help him out with a nice "L" -
Kincaid is 6'4", 240. If a 6'4" 220 lb receiver like Nico Collins can box out or we hope a 6'3" 215 lb receiver like Coleman can learn to box out in the pros as he did in college, Kincaid should certainly be able to do it. Kincaid is an effective blocker down field, at the second level on run plays. He started out with "just get in the way" and is now actually blocking. Kincaid is not effective as an in-line blocker, where Knox has learned to be, that much is true.
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Reception % does not tell you the whole story here. Kincaid is asked to run routes downfield. He's respected enough as a receiver that defenses shift coverage towards him. Kincaid is smooth and fluid in his routes and with his hands. Yes, Knox is a better blocker, though Kincaid has improved.
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"Kittle running like the Uruk-Hai at Helm's Deep"
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the Daboll/Schoen regime - on the brink, it seems
Beck Water replied to dave mcbride's topic in The Stadium Wall
"If you listen to the fans, you'll find yourself sitting with them" - Buddy Nix -
the Daboll/Schoen regime - on the brink, it seems
Beck Water replied to dave mcbride's topic in The Stadium Wall
$23M injury guarantee. If they don't want to stay with him next year, it makes sense to sit his butt and play for the top pick. The only question I have is whether Schoen and Daboll stay. will maintain that since the start of 2023, the Giants simply do not look like a well-coached team, and that Daboll allowed winning COTY to go to his head. I'm not so sure of that, but it's another story. -
Seahawks release Tyrel Dodson - UPDATE claimed by Dolphins
Beck Water replied to Big Blitz's topic in The Stadium Wall
No