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Beck Water

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Everything posted by Beck Water

  1. I think there’s some coaching on the Saints WR. That guy caught the ball and tucked it into his R arm at his side when he’s about to get slammed from the R Shouldn’t it be across his chest with his hand over the end and his L arm crossed over it? Saints offensive woes certainly not all on Dalton
  2. If the Saints didn’t have bad luck, they’d have no luck at all
  3. The guy had 90% of the offensive snaps and 4 targets for 53 yds with Wilson at QB in week 4. He saw his snaps cut the following week. Maybe there's a performance-based reason for that and he should look in the mirror.
  4. It is a less than ideal situation, but this is NOT the way to handle your biz. Worry about how to catch more balls and get open more at this point.
  5. Let me put it to you this way. What teams currently need a #1 or #2 receiver? -who is only catching about half the balls thrown his way? Now, what teams need a #3 or #4 WR who has demonstrated he's going to piss n moan if he doesn't get more targets?
  6. Guy has 16 receptions on 29 targets. 55% catch %. On pace for 500 yds. I'm sure GMs are ringing the phone off the hook.
  7. Can we agree there is quite a gap between "he isn't going to get 3 more years at $12M/yr like his current contract" and "And an aging, injured RB is not making more than $5M on the open market. He becomes real cheap, actually." I think it's a valid point that if you refer to a player as "an aging injured RB", he does not appear valuable as a trade target
  8. It's not just you. And I think we need our draft picks from the first 3 rounds more than ever right now.
  9. I think the tea leaves are there to be read, myself, but I won't whack a dead pony on this one. Hint: McDermott, for all well deserved rep for using words to say little in his presser, is not afraid to lay it out in plain language when he thinks a guy laid an egg. Maybe it's just me, but I struggle to trust anyone who claims he's got a source in the building about a contract or trade. Beane runs his organization on the "Loose Lips Sink Ships" principle.
  10. The game show they would be most likely to win: "Naked and Afraid XL" Keenum suggests wearing QB towels would be good
  11. to be fair, I think it was more fantasy football, fan publications and media who were ***** ing on him than actual accountable professionals That's very perceptive. Someone referred to drafting Josh Allen as a showdown between traditional old-school shoe-sole and eyeball scouting vs. modern analytical methods.
  12. Not the Athletic I think, but there were a ton. Here's Josh Allen reading some of the mean tweets. Someone called him a "joke of a first round draft pick" - I think that was the Football Outsiders guy, Sal Capaccio hands him receipts on Twitter when, like a bunch of these guys, he tries to waffle and say he really wasn't that negative. Yes, you were. Sam Monson was another one - to his credit he has apologized. He called Josh an "Ikea QB" and said "there's a big box there and inside are all the parts you need to create this franchise QB, but you're going to have to put it together yourself, and I don't know if the instruction manual will do you a lot of good. It's in a foreign language, it's not helpful". He said Mayfield, Darnold and Rosen were already complete good QB. Here is a selection: Jason Kirk writing for SuperBowl Nation https://www.sbnation.com/nfl/2018/4/24/17271686/josh-allen-nfl-draft-2018-stats-analysis-comparisons It's titled "If Josh Allen succeeds, the Bills will have outsmarted basically all regular humans and the entirety of math itself" Seth Galina writing for FLOFootball: https://www.flofootball.com/articles/6165467-forget-the-first-pick-josh-allen-shouldnt-even-be-in-the-first-round Ben Solak of NDT Scouting, Contextualized Quarterbacking fame: https://www.ndtscouting.com/solak-2018-senior-bowl-contextualized-quarterbacking-available/ Vinny Iyer of The Sporting News said: https://www.sportingnews.com/nfl/news/nfl-draft-2018-grades-winners-losers-best-worst-broncos-bills-seahawks/1wkh3jasql60m16rspf25mvqqd and of course, Jalen Ramsey calling Josh a "waste of a draft pick" and a "joke" https://www.si.com/extra-mustard/2022/09/09/jalen-ramsey-josh-allen-trash-comments-gq-rams-bills-blowout
  13. Do others find it frustrating to just have these letters and +/- thrown out there without context or explanation of methodology by Joe B? For example, Why is Milano an A-minus? We had a gentleman here go play-by-play through Rodger Saffold and conclude he had a pretty good game. What is Joe B seeing that is so different he rates it as a C-plus? And, Tim Settle played 1TDT, I didn't notice him in his 17 snaps, which is usually a Good Thing in a 1TDT - why does he get a C, same as McKenzie (who, even to people who acknowledge his contributions, had a bad game)? OK, now this is a nit, I acknowledge but: I have no problem with people who don't use specialized football terminology. Joe could just write "heavy personnel - two tight ends, or a tight end and a fullback". But a (2,1) personnel set is 2 RB or a RB and a fullback with 1 TE. A two TE set (or 1 TE and an extra OL) and an RB is (1,2). So which was it the Bills were using? It makes a difference to understanding - FB are almost never asked to block in line, while TE sometimes are. And I've never seen Gilliam asked to block in line since the Bills decided he was a FB (maybe he has and it didn't attract notice) Again, just a nit - he could write without it, but IMO if Joe B is going to use specialized terminology, shouldn't he should use it correctly? ----------- Joe is probably onto something as far as rushing success. The Bills rushed more successfully at the end of last season when they went to (1,2) and even (2,2) sets, often using Ryan Bates and then (after Boettger's injury) Tommy Doyle in a TE role as an extra OLman, and when they stepped away from the zone to pin-and-pull plays. The Bills ran more run plays this week - 31 vs 18 against the Steelers and 25 against the Ravens. When you take out the JA runs (unfair because some of them are called runs) it's 19, 13, and 14 respectively. However, unsure from the info given whether this difference was solely designed to facilitate the run game. What I'd like to understand is whether the Bills were using more 2 TE sets specifically on run plays, or whether they used them also for protection? Chris Jones is a Terror, right up there with Aaron Donald. It would make sense that the Bills would feel extra blockers to give Allen more time were a good idea. So how many times were heavier sets used on pass vs run plays? The other strategic question about heavy sets is...heavy sets can pull the opponent out of nickle into a base defense package, which may provide better matchups, especially since the Bills are comfortable rolling both Morris and Knox into the passing game and even using Gilliam as a pass catching back. Heck, even Sweeney caught a pass - Romo couldn't believe it for a moment, he started to say Knox. Anyway, just from the uptick in rush plays from 18 to 31, it seems pretty clear that the Bills came into the Chiefs game determined to succeed as a 2-dimensional team and force the Chiefs to defend the run. Contrary to whoever it was who said no one can run on the Chiefs, the Bills clearly came in saying "not only can teams run on the Chiefs, WE gonna run on the Chiefs." BTW, I have to take back another 1/3 of all the bad things I've said about Sweeney's blocking after this game. He did well.
  14. I forget the name of the guy, but one of the pre-draft videos Josh said he was training with a movement coach - not just running - I forget the guy's name, but apparently he trained/trains Deshaun Watson
  15. 2010 was a turning point. That's the year Sam Bradford was drafted, the last year before rookie contracts scaled by draft slot were instituted. The Rams signed Sam Bradford to a 6 year, $78M contract with $50M guaranteed - before he'd ever played a snap in the NFL. So 2010 and prior, if a team pulled the draft trigger and got it wrong, they could be "on the hook" for big bucks, for a long time. Of course that was true to a lesser extent of other high draft picks. But I think it played into Ralph Wilson's risk aversion - why he preferred to trade a 1st round pick for Rob Johnson, who he thought was proven to play in the NFL, vs. drafting a QB Just my thoughts.
  16. So Browns on that list are 24th for Y/A given up, 7th for completion % against, 13th for passing TD given up. What are you wanting us to see?
  17. Allen has talked about this some. His college coach Bohl has talked about this some. 1) Physical. Allen was a late bloomer. He grew to 6'3" 180 his Sr yr in high school. Like a lot of athletes, growing fast can mess with coordination for a bit, and he says he couldn't run, the Baseball coach called him "Tortuga" which means "tortoise". He grew 2 more inches in Jr College and finally put on some weight, but it wasn't until he broke his shoulder as a Freshman at Wyoming and then hit the weight room while rehabbing that he started to develop his current build. And he didn't start working with QB trainers/movement coaches until he was prepping for the draft after his sophomore season. He seems faster than his 4.75 at the combine because he is, now that he's grown into his frame and put his "man muscle" on 2) Mental. Allen said jokingly on "Kyle Brandts basement" that he guesses he's a little bit ADD. From stuff Bohl said, it's possible there were other reasons recruiters weren't impressed and offers weren't lining up. Part of it is exposure to the game at a high level as a giant mental chess match. Part of it is maturing and learning to focus. Remember that Bills video clip from Allen's first season where he's asking Daboll "do you think I could throw it out of here?" and Daboll is like "how about we just try to get through this practice?" Then there's being perhaps a little hard-headed. Josh told a story about he's supposed to throw to the fullback in the flat during a practice. Josh decides to throw to the corner of the EZ instead and "it didn't go too well". Apparently Daboll started yelling, and didn't stop for a while. They went to the sideline and Daboll calmed down, walked away, thought about it, came back and started yelling again. I'd be surprised if that wasn't a bit of a theme Allen's first year. Yes, Allen can improvise and do amazing things, but that had to be brought under control and he had to learn to do the ordinary skills that move the chains and save the improv. for when it's needed.
  18. I'll say this, from watching the video. Frazier's defense was not possible only because of Von Miller. In signing DaQuan Jones, the Bills essentially signed a guy who could play nose tackle if asked - a guy who actually can and will engage 2 blockers consistently. And I don't think this notion works without him.
  19. Goodness! That's a paywalled article. Guess there's nothing the Interwebs "can't get pregnant". I got a question for the rules-minded and football knowledgeable here. The author comments about a "simple counter" for the Bills "Spy" strategy where Thuney (LG) will attack and block Milano pre-emptively before he can trigger and flow to Mahome. This is 3rd and 13 from the Buffalo 29 yd line. If I'm counting correctly, Milano is lurking on the 28 yd line here, and Thuney on the 32, 33 yd line He moves toward Milano to engage him, and the author's idea is that engaging Milano prevents Milano from triggering. But isn't it true that if Thuney engages Milano more than 1 yd from the LOS, he becomes "ineligible man downfield" on a pass play? It's a good counter to have Thuney ready to block aggressively if Mahomes scrambles of course. And in fact, it seems to me Milano continues to lurk 1 yd past the LOS watching Mahomes while Thuney waits at the 31 like a chained dog until Mahomes crosses the LOS. Then Milano shoots the gap and is in on the tackle I kind of find it hard to believe Milano couldn't evade Thuney and rush up field if he wants - in fact, he backs up a yard at one point during the play, and may even be trying to pull Thuney with him? (unsure about that) Of course, there's a chance that Thuney could get away with engaging Milano downfield and the Zebras wouldn't trigger, it just seems to me it's not such as simple counter because of the "ineligible downfield" rule.
  20. Yeah, I think whoever said it, called it - Allen has "broken" the team of objecting All the old, wise heads like 'Zo Alexander and Jerry Hughes and Lee Smith who used to tell him "great, but here's how that looks to a defensive player and all the bad things that could happen to you" are gone The younger guys like Dawson Knox and Poyer are habituated. It scares them that he'll get hurt, but they don't feel they can try to stop it In his podcast, Jordan Poyer said "I'm sure glad he's on our team. I don't want to have to deal with a QB jumping over me!" I think the guys Allen stiff arms or jukes or jumps get crap by the metric ton when the team watches film.
  21. Does anyone else think he's gotten much faster?
  22. You best saddle up for another road trip next time Bills play at Arrowhead, Lucky Charm! Start saving those nickels now
  23. They ain't the San Diego Chargers no more
  24. Are they still doing that with Jackson and not White as the #1 guy? Whether or not the defense pushed passes to the #2 DB, I think most OCs preferred not to challenge White. But I'd be surprised if Jackson inspires the same avoidance. It's a good thought though. ? Pittsburgh pass Elam picked in B'lo territory but not EZ? I don't mean to be judging him harshly, just making the case I don't think he's established himself as higher than Jackson or Benford in the depth chart
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