Generic_Bills_Fan

His instagram handle is @elitetua so I doubt he is a good source of unbiased football information 😂

He’s one of the few that went dolphins…picks are 96% on buffalo according to nflpickwatch which aggregates all the expert picks it knows about I was honestly a little shocked the picks were that one sided…thought it would be 70/30

The dolphins have major issues when their offensive timing gets disrupted so I think they’re gonna struggle a lot more than us with a snowy field. Snow should ‘help’ the receivers run routes because they know where they’re going and will slip less than the dbs but the timing of their breaks will be completely different with lower traction. I think it’s gonna come down to which qb is better at improvising and these two guys are polar opposites in that regard tua is a robot that makes pretty much one read and throws the ball to a spot on the field where he would’ve expected a receiver to be if the play was run perfectly. I don’t think he ever really learned to play qb since his college offense was just so much more physically talented than their opponents every week so they built a system around him getting the ball out quick on predetermined reads to physical freaks at wr. kind of reminds me of Goff the year the rams got spanked by the pats in the Super Bowl. A good defense will give the dolphins absolute fits but they will blow out bad teams

It’s hard to say how much though…our defense is healthier than the last meeting and both offenses look considerably worse

Probably depends on the kind of weather it is. If it’s just steady snow and no wind it could definitely favor the offense all game if they’re used to handling a wet football. There’s been some crazy offensive performances in weather like that. if it’s blizzard conditions though like the bills colts game and the bills browns game many years ago with wind and no visibility that heavily favors the defense.

Yea the route running I’d say favors the offense for sure but the qbs gotta grip the football and the receivers gotta catch it. Miami keeps saying it’s a mental thing not a physical thing but it is very much both lol

Snow on its own has a negative impact on the offense but probably not as much as people think. It’s really the wind/visibility that’s the killer and this storm doesn’t sound like it’s going to be awful in either of those departments

This is the dumbest take in the world lol they moved the game last time because it was an insane amount of snow and they didn’t want to divert emergency personnel this game where there’s a modest amount of snow is not going to be moved

Doesn’t look like it’s gonna be that windy…also I think people are picturing the colts snow game and it sounds like it’s not gonna be close to that. I remember Brady dropping 5 passing tds on the titans before halftime in a snow game in a game they’d go on to win 59-0 lol Brady could’ve easily broken the single game passing td record that game if they let him

What did the bills gain strategically by the game being moved indoors? We ran the browns out of the building and Chubb averaged a whopping 1.4 yards per carry. I very much doubt they wanted the game to move at all…that three ‘away’ games in 12 days was a logistical mess

I’m genuinely confused by this take…we’re one of the best teams in the league at rushing defense and stuffing short yardage runs, we have a qb with a lot of arm strength that throws a tight spiral and can run like a fullback, we get to practice in the cold/wind and generally know the wind directions this time of year in our own stadium for the kicking/passing games. our offensive line hasn’t been good but if Armstead is out miamis offensive line is even worse. miamis entire offense revolves around the threat of hill/waddle beating the defense deep to open up timing routes in the middle of the field. Tua regularly underthrows tyreek on deep balls even in ideal circumstances and doesn’t have a lot of arm strength to throw out routes. Receivers are going to be struggling with their footing so a lot of the offense for both teams will come down to improvisation. They don’t really run the ball particularly well either so they’re a bit of a one trick pony . I just don’t see a single aspect of this game weather that favors the dolphins. of course you can make the argument that heavy precipitation makes things a bit less predictable and if you’re the better team anyway maybe that’s not necessarily what you’d want but that’s a bit different of a convo. I think people are reading way to into the jets game…if your offensive line has to hold like crazy to slow a 4 man rush down, methodically moving down the field with underneath throws is really really difficult. You’ve got to hit a few chunk plays in a situation like that. The Miami defense is a completely different situation…they send the house to generate pressure so the entire gameplan will be different and there will likely be more looks underneath

People seem to have trouble realizing this lol I don’t believe it even snowed at game time in buffalo for the browns bills game…a dome wouldn’t have changed anything A football game was just a silly use of emergency resources given the situation

Haha yea isnt he the Herbert homer that writes for the ringer. He put Herbert above josh pre season this year so he’s full of it. Josh has outperformed Herbert this year with a similarly messy offensive line and an injured elbow. Idk how you can compare performances between josh outside in bad weather against the jets defense and Herbert against the dolphins in LA.

Seriously…do they think everyone just teleports to the stadium? Lol they still would’ve moved the game last time even if we had a dome

I disagree…it’s all timing routes with tua throwing to a predetermined read/spot on the field. A receiver slipping just a bit would completely derail the play. The bills are exponentially better at improvising. Also even short throws are heavily influenced by wind for a qb without a big arm/tight spiral tua also can’t really throw out routes in ideal circumstances let alone on a cold night when gripping the ball is tough so they’re pretty limited in what spots of the field they attack which defenses have caught on to.

Lol did he have that shirt custom printed for this situation? That is cringey. Can’t wait to see how the league remembers this guy…seems like the offense is in danger of getting figured out and the defense took a huge step backwards since flores left

Oh I know that’s what I’m saying haha I see it more as embarrassing for them that they can have a sizable advantage like that and still lose. Just because they lose some games doesn’t disprove the fact that the sideline situation can have a big effect on the game imo.

It’s funny when they have that advantage and still lose but that doesn’t make it not an advantage 😂

People’s judgement is still clouded by the wind game it seems when considering inclement weather games. We’re top 10 in rushing offense and top 5 in rushing defense, we’ve got a very physical wr1 and a qb with a huge arm that can run like a fullback. There aren’t too many teams that are better off in bad weather. we heard all week leading up to the Cleveland game that nick Chubb was gonna run all over us in the snow and he couldn’t even run all over us in a dome where the threat to throw was there lol 14 carries for 19 yards

didn’t have a chance to see him? 😂. White was under heavy pressure and rolling right long before Moore beats tre

Complete teams have been winning the superbowl for years now so I’m not sure what you mean. Heck the year the chiefs won it they were just outside the top 10 in points against and they couldn’t get it done any other year. points against rankings of recent Super Bowl winners: ravens defense in 2013 - 12th Seahawks defense 2014 - 1st pats defense in 2015 - 10th broncos defense in 2016 - 4th pats defense in 2017 - 5th eagles defense in 2018 - 12th pats defense in 2019 - 8th chiefs defense in 2020 - 11th bucs defense in 2021 - 8th Rams defense in 2022 - 15th There hasn’t been a superbowl winner in the bottom half of the league in points against since the New York giants in the 2012/2013 season and even their defense was great in the playoffs. im not trying to say you need to go all defense lol but you need a good mix of offensive and defensive talent

It’s frustrating because they are ‘winning’ their routes they just can’t complete the catch…which is why winning is in quotes 😂

it’s becoming pretty illogical to assume the chiefs will just roll through the playoffs when they haven’t beaten the joe burrow bengals once…I just don’t know what else the bengals have to do at this point 😂 how you’re feeling about the chiefs is probably exactly how the chiefs fans are feeling about the bengals lol There’s quite a few afc teams that can go toe to toe with the chiefs now…it’s lookin like even the 7 seed won’t be a layup for anyone. the Brady pats were buoyed by a similarly talented offensive line and a much better defense so I don’t think that really compares. The offense did not have to be loaded with playmakers/at their best for 60 minutes every week. If the chiefs had a top 10 defense it would be a much different story but they do not have that at the moment

They very much do not look like they are ‘just going through the motions’ this season to me but to each their own. they don’t have nearly the margin of error as chiefs teams in years past. The bills and bengals played far from perfect games and beat them. It has nothing to do with being afraid of mahomes and having an inferiority complex lol mahomes is amazing but they lost an excellent receiver in the offseason and their defense has not been playing well. Cincy is a more complete team and buffalo could be too assuming the offense returns to form

This probably doesn’t factor into it much but hurts would look nowhere near as good if he was playing the bills schedule imo. Philly has had the 30th toughest schedule by dvoa rankings this season so far and it doesn’t get much tougher in the last 4 weeks. Id give it to mahomes right now if it was up to me…he’s got Kelce and a good offensive line and nothing else. Hurts has a ton of weapons Josh is in the worst situation of the 3 so if he was a little closer in stats I’d lean his way but he’s behind for sure at the moment