Generic_Bills_Fan

Now that there’s no 2 seed bye, the 1 seed is an absolutely massive advantage. Imo regular season results get completely discounted when talking playoffs but they really shouldn’t be. 2021-2022 the path was clear and we just blew too many regular season games. We beat the bills up for not being able to beat the chiefs when we really have played better than anyone visiting arrowhead. the josh slander is getting a bit out of control around here…dude has been carrying a bad-somewhat mediocre offensive line for 5 years.

Schedule is pretty tough….I think they’ll be better than last year skill wise but only win 11 this time and win the division by a game or two. Jets or dolphins will win 9 or 10 (probably the jets) and the one of those teams that doesn’t is gonna be the disappointment of the year

They always seem to show up in huge moments in the playoffs though…the regular season ranking doesn’t always tell the whole story. And even so, cincy was 6th in points allowed per game last year in the regular season and kc is usually hovering around the top 10. 2022 they were 8th and 2021 they were 11th. The rams are the only other Super Bowl winner with a defense outside the top 10 in points allowed per game in the last 10 years. Both those rams and chiefs Super Bowl teams got huge sacks when they needed them though, chiefs were second in sacks in 2023 and the rams were third in 2022. Breakdown of scoring defenses for Super Bowl winners is: Chiefs 16th rams 16th Bucs 8th Chiefs 8th Pats 7th Eagles 4th Pats 1st Broncos 1st Pats 8th(should’ve been Seahawks 1st lol) Seahawks 1st Of the four teams that made it to the conference finals last year, three of them were top 10 scoring defenses. 6 of the top 7 made the playoffs…only one that didn’t was the jets defensive football is still very much alive, but things are starting to shift to who can come up with those big sacks to get a clutch stop when they need one the last few years. That’s really the only way to slow down the Allen/hurts/mahomes/burrow’s of the league. The bills just haven’t been making that one big defensive play against the bengals or chiefs in the playoffs.

With the 4th and 10th overall picks 🤦‍♂️The jets picked much earlier in the draft lol. Is this seriously a point people just ignore? Not to mention they absolutely blew their early first round pick the year prior. there are a lot less sure things in the late second round compared to the early first. Compare what beane has done to other perennially good teams with late round picks, not an absolute dumpster fire franchise that will briefly be buoyed by the parity built in to the league before inevitably fading to obscurity when they can’t resign all those early picks

Could be a bit of a mix of conspiracy theory and wishful thinking lol but I think a lot of the abandoning the short throws had to do with his elbow injury. If your accuracy is a little off a lot of those underneath throws get dicey

Tua got exposed as a scheme qb last year from what I saw…doesn’t mean the scheme can’t be effective against certain opponents though and if our dline can’t step up without von it could be us 😂 We talked about how their stretch vs the chargers,49ers, bills, and packers would be telling and they fell on their face going 0-4. People seem to explain away that whole packers second half to a concussion but the packers halftime adjustments baited tua into a lot of those bad decisions…didn’t really seem like a guy that was out of it just winging the football around to me. I might buy that it was all about the concussion a little more if the chargers defense didn’t give them fits a couple weeks prior. They had a good game against us because our dline was a mess post von injury. seems like tua gets tunnel vision when he gets moved in the pocket and can’t keep his eyes downfield or set his feet to throw. Take away his first read in the middle of the field and force him to use the sidelines and he struggles. If he has to shift at all in the pocket he struggles

The dolphins have been a dark horse pick for division winner since the Flores days and the analysts wouldn’t shut up about them this year cuz they beat the banged up ravens and bills in back to back weeks lol they blew the final move of their rebuild with the Bradley chubb trade imo…they must’ve thought they were a pass rusher away from Super Bowl contender at the time. if they used that first on an offensive lineman they could be really scary right now. Chubb didn’t do much of anything for them and he was a huge overpay. They also lost a first for tampering with Brady/Payton which really hurt after trading a ton of assets for tyreek hill and spent a first on igbinoghene in 2020 who’s a bust. everybody applauds the tyreek trade but they’ve blown 3 other firsts in recent history and their window is pretty much shot once tyreek starts to decline. Currently they are a terron armstead injury away from being an absolute dumpster fire on the offensive line(which is a common occurrence)…eichenberg and Austin Jackson are both awful and they don’t have any depth past Isaiah Wynn. They rolled the dice building their offensive line around often injured terron armstead and it burned them in his first year. Things don’t look much more optimistic this year either with him going into the season hurt. they were only one of the worst rosters in the league because they traded a bunch of players for future picks and I don’t think they used those future picks entirely well. The jets are a much scarier team imo…I’d be surprised if the dolphins don’t finish third or fourth in the division

These NFL analysts just aren’t even trying anymore lol the bills lack leadership because they haven’t won a Super Bowl? Nick wright is a clown also but that’s well documented and he at least does it on purpose 😂. His chiefs are a coin flip away from being 0-3 in their last 3 against the bills all at arrowhead. I have been a nuggets fan since the Carmelo to the knicks trade and it was glorious listening to nick wright talk sh*t about the nuggets all playoffs and then be completely wrong when they won the championship haha

By a mile too…the bills at 9-8 I certainly disagree with but I could see the rationale behind it. The pats winning the division is an absurd prediction jets are a bit of an unknown, could be great could be pretty good. I think the league caught up pretty quickly with what the dolphins offense likes to do and analysts are assuming they’ll return to early last season form which I just don’t see. I’m having trouble finding 8 losses for the bills unless we’re solely basing off of the starters only preseason action lol

Bills beat them with their pretty disastrous post von miller defense so I don’t think they can be THAT good lol especially when you subtract jalen Ramsey. tua is a one trick pony that doesn’t really see the field well when the pocket breaks down and doesn’t improvise well when you disrupt his timing with his wrs the dolphins had a quirky schedule with very fluky wins over the ravens and bills and a bunch of easy games then they completely folded when they had a stretch of difficult afc opponents even with tua playing I think we were missing 14 starters by halftime in that game lol ravens were in the same boat against them the week prior

That’s a fair rephrase…they have drafted more defensive players recently that could become guys to build around…should be an interesting year with Orlando brown/Wylie gone that defense may need to step up a little more often.

That defense far outperforms the minimal investment the chiefs have made on that side of the ball which is a big factor in why they are who they are and Chris jones is the main reason behind it. He would be a massive loss for half a season. Chargers play them very tough every game even with chris jones in the lineup. I think the bengals and bills (assuming a healthy von) pull ahead of the chiefs pretty comfortably and the chargers could certainly beat them if you subtract chris jones. He knows it too that’s why he’s holding out lol

I think some of the debacle vs the Steelers is just not giving the Steelers their due…that is a scary front 7 with tj watt in the lineup and their 1st string offense had already seen some action in the preseason the week prior. I can’t think of too many teams I’d want to see less than the Steelers for offensive linemen still getting used to playing with their teammates in their first preseason action. There’s a few new pieces that are getting their feet wet. Of course we’ll never be able to tell, but I’d be curious how Allen and mahomes would perform if they swapped teams. It’s impossible to not give mahomes the number 1 ranking with all the hardware he has but we have seen him falter when his offensive line isn’t protecting him well. josh gets the oline play pretty much every week that mahomes got against TB in the Super Bowl lol

I feel the same way…if the jets had their home game as the second matchup and away game week 1 i think we probably split on the season but I’m expecting us to beat them twice.

Kincaid looks like he could be the real deal which would make a big difference. Defense might have to get mostly carried though but I feel better about Superman josh with an upgraded group of pass catchers The defense is like night and day without von

Certainly wouldn’t argue that lol

Bills line could def be worse but josh masks a lot of the problems in ways that really only one other qb in the league is capable of

Bad game no question but I think SOME of it is the Steelers starters were in for their second preseason game.

The dude picked up a 2nd and 25 that got negated by an OL penalty lol I’m not sure what else he’s supposed to do he’s not gonna be out there making too many plays with his legs in the preseason.

This is absolutely incorrect lol

I wouldn’t want him hanging in the pocket too long to get hit while he’s throwing in the preseason honestly

Steelers starters played last week too

Packers offensive line last year was likely significantly better than the jets will be this year too…I think Aaron might get frustrated pretty quickly. Oline depth is gonna haunt the dolphins,jets, and bills but I’ve got a lot more faith in josh to overcome it.

Even if it is, tua seems like he gets tunnel vision when the pocket breaks down and josh is the opposite. I’d take josh behind the bills oline over the dolphins and jets situations by a healthy margin. Jets have a little more upside than the dolphins do though…if becton and brown can stay healthy they have a shot to be decent but the dolphins look like a pretty flawed group even with injuries turned off

The flip side of this is his weaknesses are pretty well documented too…he seems to get tunnel vision when you disrupt the timing of the play by collapsing the pocket or having some extra defenders in the middle of the field. Seemed like the league started to figure out the tua led dolphins before his season ended