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Everything posted by Chaos
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I don't think the problem is being defensive minded. Or being the #1 or #2 spender on the defensive side of the roster. or spending most of the draft capital since Josh Allen was drafted (before 2023) on defensive players. I think the problem is doing 1,2 & 3 and having as a result a defense that chokes or doesn't show up in playoff games.
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I am pretty old. Kosar was simply not elite. He was fun. But no one expected championships because Kosar was your QB. No one is instantly a HOF coach. So again, you seem to have no point. Other than Joe Gibbs most HOF coaches are paired with HOF QBs during their championship runs. Reid was not a sure fire HOF coach prior to Mahomes. Now he is. Bellichek may never have one any championships without Tom Brady. Marv Levy was not a HOF coach without Jim Kelly. Josh Allen is on a level similar to Dan Marino. If Allen never wins a superbowl his place in football history will be headlined by discussions of whether Allen or Marino was the best QB to never win a superbowl. No one will ever put Bernie Kosar into that discussion.
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Former first round picks on our defensive line
Chaos replied to John from Riverside's topic in The Stadium Wall
Imagine an oline with all first round picks including stars added in free agency. Josh could play until he was 50. -
What’s up with Gambling int he NFL amongst NFL Players?
Chaos replied to PatsFanNH's topic in The Stadium Wall
There are logical reasons to block players from all gambling, even casino gambling. Simiar to drug problems, gambling additictions can cause big issues, and NFL players are in a unique position to "solve" their gambling problems with questionable play. Most of us can't pay off gambing debts by doing a bit less than usual at our jobs. -
McDermott has done enough that if he makes it to the Super Bowl this year, his fans are entitled to say "I told you so". If the Bills bow out at the divisional round or earlier, his critics are entitled to say "I told you so". Its a pretty clear line.
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Denver had a bad coach (playoff failure reeves) Bernie was not an elite QB , so I don't get your point.
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What are there playoff percentages? How far do there teams advance in an average year. Regular season percentages have a lot to do with the division you play in, and the rest of your schedule. Also, McDermott has been blessed with a top QB for all but the first 1 1/2 years of his tenure. Belichek had that in NE, and did much more with it. Reid never had that in Philadelphia. Once he has had that in KC, he has done much more with it.
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Beane has built a team that is consistently in the top 8. This is a fact. Nothing to dispute.
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We will definitely be happy this year, in your scenario.
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Why is it laughable? There are many occasions where fans are right and the front offices are not. Certainly not the every time. Nuts laughable to suggest the fans can’t get it right some of the time. I suppose it’s your prerogative to state it would be laughable for yourself to ever be right instead of a coach or GM, but you shouldn’t extrapolate from your own shortcomings.
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Speculation: Could an extension for Gabe Davis be coming too?
Chaos replied to akcash's topic in The Stadium Wall
How does the Oliver extension help with the 2024 Cap, allowing us to go WR1 hunting? -
Top Eight is our consistent finish.
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do you mean "serviceable" or are we taking Ed to Wimbledon.
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How many DT's are on NFL Roster? Do you really think Oliver is currently the 11th best? This isn't like QBs where each team has 1. Most teams (particularly the Bills rotate multiple DTs). Oliver did not even rank in the top 32, in snaps played in 2022. PFF ranked Oliver 43 best interior lineman in 2023. Not that PFF is the begin all and end all of player evaluations, but they do get paid a lot of money by NFL teams for their analysis, so it is not like it totally make believe either. This extension is based on Beane and McDermott being smarter than everyone else when grading interior linemen in the NFL.
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the biggest indicator of future performance is past performance. I suspect that if you lined up all the fourth year veterans at every position, and ranked their most recent two years purely on production, and then four years later reranked them based on the second four years production, that except for injuries, there would be very little reranking. Hoping players are going to improve at a faster rate than there peers is not really a strategy,
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based on the kick the can down the road actions taken so far, and if people expect oliver to instantly restructure to save another 7 mm of 2023 cap space, then you may have to modify your comment to read ...."Our FO's stated approach"
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Prior to the Oliver signing the bills were 14 million over the 2024 cap. Restructuring money out of 2023 has an impact in future years. We saw the impact on the Rams last year. Cap problems are an actual thing.
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Statistics don't work particularly well for football in general, compared to MLB at least. It seems like teams should have some concept analogous to WAR (wins against replacement). It seems to me, that DT has a pretty small impact among all players. Oliver is going to be better than some guy get $4 million a season. The tougher question is that difference worth 13 million, or can that 13 million have a bigger impact at a different position.
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The board response to a Gabe Davis extension is going to be epic.