SCBills

Josh Shapiro is on CNN distancing himself from Biden, so.. not sure what news cycle you think remains that the sitting President calling half the country “garbage” doesn’t overtake.

The best part is that the easiest defense of what he said is that he’s senile… But Harris can’t say that, because she lied to the country for years covering that up.

Did Politico not realize there was video?

This is comedy for people who find Stephen Colbert hilarious.

I love this timeline so much.. Kill Tony had a set at a Trump rally that 48 hours later ends up in the sitting President calling half the country “garbage”. Amazing.

I’m so grateful for Joe Biden right now haha.. what an absolute gem of a human being. On her big night of all nights… Well done, Joe.. honestly, bravo.

As opposed to Tony Hinchcliffe? I thought our nominees were responsible for everything said by those they are associated with?

Perfect timing from POTUS

Stroud has been horrible without Nico Collins. Still no Nico Collins and now no Diggs.

This opens a roster spot, no?

This poster really only highlights good polls for Trump, but these are some good polls for Trump The internal for NM is interesting as Trump has added Albuquerque to the schedule this week.

Not sure if I truly believe places like VA, NM or MN are in play, but all the raw data and canpaign actions point to NC being conceded to Trump.

Jon Stewart, of all people, telling Dems to calm down. PR Mayors endorsing Trump. PR’s shadow Senator endorsing Trump today in Allentown, PA Yea, it was a good run, but we’re done with this now.

Let’s look at polls vs real life… (and this goes both ways) North Carolina: Two polls recently released show NC tied. Early voting is very strong for Republicans & the Harris campaign just pulled a $2M ad buy in the state.

Extremely smart decision by the Trump campaign to have JD Vance go on Rogan this week. Harris wanted Rogan to fly to her and do a one hour interview. So pathetic. Either do Rogan’s podcast or don’t… Now JD Vance will go on there… and he’s way more impressive than Trump… and that will be displayed to a massive audience that may or may not otherwise see him in a long form format.

PA has early vote, but it’s not in-person early vote, where R’s are strongly over performing thus far. It’s all mail-in vote. That typically STRONGLY favors Dems. For an example, Biden had over 1.1M as a firewall (Dem ballots returned vs R ballots returned). Biden won by less than 100k. Now, that was 2020, covid year.. so hard to extrapolate that to this year, but just providing an example. Low end estimates are that 500k is needed for Dems to have a decent chance on Election Day. As it stands, it’s at 381k and based on outstanding ballots/ballot requests, the absolute best they can do, is to reach 500k… and there’s no guarantee that’s enough. Really just depends how Indies break (conventional thought from Dems is that they usually win them in PA at a 70/30 split) and can R’s turn out new voters and low propensity voters, as they’ve registered a ton of those types in the past few years.

Dems currently sitting at a 381k firewall in PA

Ralston updated Nevada numbers, still brutal for Dems. R’s have a little over a 5% lead currently. Arizona and North Carolina numbers, by raw data, look horrible for Harris as well. Harris looks like she’ll need to utterly dominate the Independent vote to have a chance in any of those 3 states. Internally, reports from both campaigns show some Harris folks thinking Georgia is slipping away. Not sure why, as the raw data doesn’t seem awful, but early indications do show they aren’t getting what they need from metro Atlanta black turnout + increased rural turnout. I’m here in GA and wouldn’t rule it out for Harris though. Does seem like edge is to Trump here. That leaves the Blue Wall. Reports from MI seem decent for Harris. Conversely, reports from WI, do not. PA, looks like the best Dems can do is hit a 500k firewall, which was the number some set. Others don’t think that’s remotely enough. We’ll see. Early data from the Trump campaign shows they are turning out far more low/mid propensity voters than Harris so far and feel confident in the remaining numbers for their E-Day vote. If true, this was always the key for Trump.

I’ll honestly be interested to see if this moves the needle at all. It’s obviously astroturfed. None of this is organic. Its the media, in conjunction with Democrats, using it as a Hail Mary this week to change the perceived momentum of the election towards Trump. None of these stories seem to have regular Puerto Ricans on record being outraged. Its a celebrity, Harris campaign surrogate, Harris supporter or Puerto Rican leader with ties to leftist causes. And in fairness, R’s in heavy Puerto Rican areas and R leaning folks are distancing themselves so it’s not nothing. That said, every story I hear is anecdotal. I’m not hearing some groundswell of anger. And I have my own anecdotal story… My best friend, a guy who works for me in one of my offices, is half Puerto Rican. He’s out voting right now… for Trump.

All I know is I was watching that game hoping every throw went to Coleman... and I can't remember the last time I've ever felt that way about a Bills WR.