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Shaw66

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Everything posted by Shaw66

  1. First, I agree. I think if you watch mediocre teams, you'll see plenty of miscommunication. You just don't see it on good teams. I've been saying something similar about wanting to be champions and putting in the work, but I think it's more than just the hours. I think McDermott has them putting in the hours. I think it's really what you're doing when you put in the hours. Are you mastering the important details and then moving on to the little details and mastering those. It's not just talking about what to do in this situation, and it's not just about doing it a few times in training. It's working really hard at it when you do practice, and you do it right, and you promise your teammates that you'll do it right in a game. It's all of those thing. I think McDermott has to ask himself whether he's leading these men to do THAT kind of work, and that includes himself. I'm going repeat something I've said before, and I think it's an example of what I'm talking about. I heard a retired player on the radio, an offensive lineman, a journeyman who'd played on several teams, including the Patriots. He said that every week the Patriot coaches would give him three to five keys use in the game, things like when the defensive tackle lines up six inches off, instead of head to head, he's stunting. Things that might happen only two or three times in the game, but things that would give him an edge on two or three plays. Every week he'd get three to five things specific to the week's opponent, and he said they always correct. He said no other team did that. What's the point? The point is that the Patriots made a fetish out of doing everything right, starting with coaches studying film to figure out keys like that, to coaches communicating them, to players creating an actual advantage on the field. Everyone committed, everyone working together. When I look at the Bills persistent failures at key times of the game, I see a team that isn't committed to details like that.
  2. Bado - I'll tell you where I disagree, but let me start by saying you're exactly right about "next level" prep. That is what's missing. It's completely clear when you look at the string of late-game failures, particularly in big games and playoff games. Belichick understands "next level" prep. Where I disagree is that you then turn to WR and suggest they have the wrong players. I don't think that's true, or to put it a different way, I think the guys they have will do just fine if they have "next level" prep. Belichick won for years with a great QB and a lot of average players; he did it by having everyone, from the QB on down, buy into "next level" prep. I agree about Allen, and I've said it before. He needs to be the leader in "next level" prep. The team will follow him. And I don't agree that McDermott shouldn't be the coordinator - I think he has the same problem, whether he's the coordinator or not: he needs "next level" prep also. It's not that he isn't talented enough; it's that he hasn't thought about and mastered the details that he needs to. My complaint about McDermott is that by emphasizing versatility - let's be able to play every style - he sacrifices excellence in any particular style. And I think there's a parallel when it comes to preparation: I think he's great in the breadth of preparation ("we're going to have some preparation in everything"), but by going after breadth he sacrifices depth. Davis can block and catches a lot of balls and all - nice breadth, but when the chips are down, has he really mastered the details that will the game?
  3. Brady's exactly right: it's on him. Except that he's only been on the job for two weeks. The failure of that play was a training issue, and the necessary training takes place in the off-season and continues into the season. Allen and Davis have to KNOW what to do on that play, know every little aspect of it, and beyond knowing they have to actually do it when the time comes. Someone screwed up because he wasn't well enough trained, and that problem is an offensive coordinator problem. It's his job to be sure that his coaches - the QB coach and the wide receiver coach - are holding their players to the appropriate high standard. During the broadcast, Romo was emphatic about it being Davis's mistake. He was talking about what he was trained to do, so it might not be the same for the Bills, but he said that going deep against single coverage, when he beats the coverage the wide receiver must look back and find the ball BEFORE making his cut. If Davis had looked back, he would have tracked the ball into the end zone to win the game. If that's right, then Davis wasn't trained well enough, and that's on Dorsey and the wide receivers' coach. Brady was correct organizationally - it's on the OC, but in his defense, he wasn't the OC when Davis should have been drilled about this. People point to the Davis mistake as another tally on the condemn-Davis ledger. Yes, it belongs on that side of the ledger, but there was a lot of excellent play from Davis in that game that goes on the other side.
  4. I think this is correct. Easy to plan for. He gets his success out of disguise - he makes it hard for the QB to recognize what's coming until after the snap. The thing about that strategy is that everyone can plan for it, and the teams with mediocre QBs, or worse, have trouble because their QB can't make the reads in time. However, the teams with good QBs can make the reads, and then the defense is easy to attack. So, Mahomes, Hurts, Burrow, that girl who plays for the Jags, they're all saying, "Keep bringing those disguises." What's working on defense these days is a lot of disciplined, half-crazed defenders chasing the ball and hitting ferociously. That's not McD's style.
  5. You know, I came here hoping you'd list them, and you did. Then, when I read the list, I simply couldn't remember all the situations and all the endings. My reaction: It's happened so often, it's hard to remember them all. And that's a sad tale.
  6. Tremaine Edmunds! Wow. If he'd done that in Buffalo, he'd still be there.
  7. I agree, McD needs Allen more than vice versa. Absolutely. Allen is gift for McDermott, and he's still trying to figure out how to take advantage. I see the Favre comparison, but I think Elway is dead on. Elway was a threatening, reckless runner, even more so than Josh. Never racked up the yards Allen got, but still, that's how he played. And Elway has the biggest arm in the game. Favre wasn't a natural big arm - he threw with power by putting his whole body into. Elway and Allen just fling it like no one else in the game.
  8. A couple of things about this: First, you're almost right - in the NFL, GM and HC make just about all the difference, but not all. It's GM, HC, and QB. QB is far and away the most important position on the field, so much so that the other 21 guys are almost interchangeable. But don't tell me for a minute that the QB, all aspects of the QB performance, are not important to team success. And no, I can't point you to one article that says Allen is a bad leader. But I haven't seen the report, anywhere, that says that Allen is the hardest worker on the team. I'm pretty sure he isn't, because if he were, we'd see those reports. We saw them all the time about Brady - hardest working guy on the team, year after year. Manning was well understood to be a coach on the field. Rodgers is obviously an in-your-face, demanding guy. Allen isn't described by anyone as any of those things. So, I'd suggest you not kid yourself into believing he isn't all that he could be. The question is whether he will become more than he is. And if your answer to that is no, he won't, then you need to do some planning about how you're going to win with him, because what the HC is going to be saying to the team goes something like this: "You guys have to work your butts off to make everything perfect. Except Josh. Josh is so darn good that he doesn't have to work as hard as you need to work." That's not a message that McDermott ever will go with. Some other coach might, and some other coach might make it work. Frankly, I think it will. He needs the right coaches to get there, and I also think McDermott will do it.
  9. Well, then you can't fathom it. I can't account for the depths of your understanding. I think that Allen is like a guy who hits 40 home runs every year but doesn't make the playoffs. He reminds me of Michael Jordan before Phil Jackson. Jordan's first few years, he tried to do it all and expected his teammates to do it, too. Under Jackson, he learned that his teammates never would be able to do what he could do. He learned that he had to show his teammates the work ethic necessary to be a winner, because his teammates could work as hard as he did. That's what Brady did, and that's what Allen needs to do. Rodgers did it in Green Bay, too, but he pissed off some people along the way. Manning did it in a different way. But all of them demanded, in one way or another, that everyone on the team, including the QB himself, work as hard as he can to be good every time. It simply is not enough to say that Davis breaking the wrong was is 100% on Davis. Davis is going to make that play correct every time only if he sees his QB working every day to make it correct, too. It's leadership. I didn't recommend it. I'm just saying that if you believe that Allen will never be a better leader than he is today, then one or the other must go. There are people on this forum who have said from time to time that the Bills should trade Allen, get the picks, and start over. I'm not one of them - I don't think you give up on generational talent, ever. But it's a point of view that I understand.
  10. I hear what you're saying. There are two consequences to that. 1. You're making it much more difficult to win a Super Bowl, if that's true. It's really difficult to win with a QB whose engagement ends where you say it does with Josh, because when you get to the playoffs, you're going to be playing guys like Mahomes, Burrow, Tua, Purdy, and Hurts, each of whom is all-in. 2. Then you really have to decide who goes - Allen or McDermott, because McDermott needs the Allen I described. If he's not going to get that from Josh, then then McDermott needs a new QB. McDermott needs a QB who is a true leader, and you're telling me Josh won't ever be that. If you're not willing to part with McDermott, then Josh has to go. By the way, I don't agree with your assessment. I've been saying for years that Josh is John Elway, and Elway played way into his career before he became the leader he needed to be. McDermott is about being a life-long learner, continuous improvement, etc. He pitches that mantra to everyone, including Josh, and I think Josh will work this out. And, by the way, it seems pretty clear now that although he wasn't the only problem, the failures this season rest largely on Dorsey. (And, if you want to blame McDermott for hiring and keeping Dorsey, I'm not arguing much.)
  11. I've found myself thinking this, over and over. I thought sticking with him after last season was the right thing to do, on the assumption that McDermott's evaluation of him was that he would make progress over what was a shaky first season. As it played out, what we saw in week one was what we saw starting in week five, but one bad game wasn't enough to fire him. He followed that with three weeks of big wins, averaging around 40 points a game. So, you're not going to fire him then. Then came London, so you're not going to fire him after that. The Giants game was the first clear sign that something was wrong, the first time McDermott might have said to himself, "I was wrong; he isn't progressing." But then you have a run of New England, Tampa Bay, and Cincinnati, where it became increasingly clear that Dorsey wasn't the answer. After the Bengals, there was no choice, which means that McDermott waited too long. He should have pulled the plugged at least a week earlier, maybe two, maybe even three. Broncos, Bengals, Patriots all could have been wins, and the season would look a lot different.
  12. I agree with what you're saying, but I think some of it is on Allen, too. As I said in what I wrote, above, a truly great quarterback instills in his receivers that they MUST execute for him; there is no other option. It's not enough to have competitive fire; he has to have that fire consistently, in practice and in games. That consistent demand on himself and on his teammates is what's necessary for greatness personally and for his team. Someone the other day says that football has to be an obsession with him. I think that's true, and I don't think we're seeing that out of him. Again, I am not for a minute blaming the loss on Allen, but I think he (along with McDermott) needs to lead the team out of their tendency to fail when the game is on the line.
  13. Understanding full well that Allen already is contributing more to the success of this team than probably any other player, I nevertheless believe that Allen should do more. Plus, what I believe is not in the stupid category, like kick field goals. It's about becoming an all-time great QB. 1. Be a leader. Not just a "rah-rah" leader, but a leader who demands more of his teammates. Year after year, Tom Brady was the hardest working player on the Patriots, and year after year he was a demanding leader. So, for example, on the assumption that Gabriel Davis blew the last pass play (I haven't read anything about the game, so I don't know), that's a failure of leadership by Josh. He needs to be absolutely demanding of his teammates, and particularly his offensive skill players, to get it right all the time. It's one to thing to practice something, it's another to practice it with the intention that they'll do it like they practiced it. If you haven't prepared mentally to do it right, your practice has a tendency to fail you when the pressure is on, and that seems to be what happened to Davis. If you asked him a day before the game what he was supposed to do on the route, he would have told you the right answer. But put him on the field with the game on the line, and his practice failed him. Josh has to hold Davis accountable for his play, not after the fact, but before hand, in training camp and in practice. Josh doesn't strike me as doing that. 2. Related to 1, Josh has to demand more of himself. A truly great QB does not throw the INT he threw yesterday, and it cost the Bills the game. Not blaming the loss on Josh, but if he doesn't throw that INT, the Eagles get one less TD. And, like Davis's screw up, Josh broke down when the pressure was on. Eagles had just scored to cut the lead to three, and the Bills needed at least a drive and at best a score. With the pressure on, Josh failed to recognize what was happening on the field and gave the ball to the Eagles. With a short field, the Eagles scored and that was the beginning of the end. Josh has to hold himself accountable, not after the fact, but before hand, in training camp and practice. He has to be prepared for everything, and when the pressure is on he has to play the way he prepared. Instead, I think Josh relies on his incredible physical skills to make plays. The problem is that that is not leadership, because his teammates don't have generational physical skills, so they can't follow his lead. He has to prepare himself meticulously, both because it will make him play better and because that is an example that his teammates CAN follow. That's leadership. 3. Josh has to be consistent. He has to be consistent in the preparation I described above, every day. He has to be consistent in his emotional preparation for the game. I can see it in his face. Yesterday, he came out in the first half with a calm, dispassionate look on his face. He was a warrior who was ready to battle. Other times, he has the deer-in-the-headlights look. Other times, he's overly excited, a sort of goofy cheerleader on the sidelines. He has to model discipline, energy, and excellence all the time. He needs to do that to lead. 4. When Josh does those things, when he plays with discipline and based on constant, thorough, and committed preparation, his skill position players will do it, too, and the offense will perform better, even better than yesterday. When that happens, then Josh can lead the defense, too. That's critical, because the defense is infected with the same problem that Davis had on the final non-TD: They prepare, but somehow they're never really ready to make the big play when the game is on the line. Now, there will be people who have stopped reading by now, and they will post saying it's not Josh's fault, it's McDermott's fault, and I won't argue with that. Even I, the tireless McDermott defender, have to admit that McDermott has to take responsibility for the string of close losses that resulted from end-of-game breakdowns. There simply have been too many without an equal or greater number of wins. Hail Murray, the Vikings, the Broncos, yesterday. And that's not close to an exhaustive list. Just as it's true for Josh, it's true for McDermott: It's not enough to practice it in order to be prepared. It needs to be practiced in a way that translates into playmaking at the most crucial time of the game. Micah Hyde and Jordan Poyer being close to making the play in the end zone isn't enough; it isn't enough to say that they knew what they were supposed to do and couldn't quite do it. They have to do it. But McDermott can't do it if his quarterback isn't leading the way. Josh has to be demanding of his teammates, but he can succeed being demanding of them only if he is demanding of himself. The difference between McDermott and Allen's Bills and Belichick and Brady's Patriots is night and day in this regard. Night and day. Brady made the plays and demanded of his teammates that they make plays. Belichick practiced to prepare his players to make plays when the game was on the line, and Brady led the team in practicing that way. McDermott has to fix this problem from a coaching point of view, and Josh has to fix himself, too. So, yes, Josh can do more
  14. No. Middle linebacker and offensive line were the two biggest questions, and the Bills seem to have gotten both correct.
  15. Dodson's looked excellent to me on occasion, and the occasions keep increasing. He still is out of position some of the time, but he's learning. That was a huge hole, and he's filling nicely. I think back to the end of the summer, when the consensus here was that the Bills had no one at middle linebacker. People here talked about Bernard and Dodson like two guys who had no business in the NFL. My conclusion is that McDermott and Beane knew something about those guys that most of us didn't. That's why they were on the roster, and that's why Beane didn't go after anyone else. Both guys still need more time on the field, and as someone said, Williams isn't embarrassing himself out there, either. All three are growing into solid contributors. Gotta give Beane and McDermott credit.
  16. It helps in both cases on replay. On replay, they can play the sound and stop the video when the whistle sounds. The chip will show where the ball is. On replay, they can stop the play when the knee is down. The chip will show where the ball is. Of course, if you can't see where the player touches the ground, it's a problem. The NFL is way behind technologically when it comes to measurements and placing the ball.
  17. There's so much wrong, it's appalling. Here are some things on my list, in no particular order: 1. Ease up on the ineligible man downfield. It kills a lot of good gains, and it's dumb. It usually comes when the QB is scrambling, and in that situation the defense simply doesn't care if an offensive lineman is three yards past the line of scrimmage. 2. Have an automatic review of every play that would have been a scoring play if the ref had spotted it differently. Refs didn't call a safety in Steelers-Browns even though it was pretty clear on the live play, and definitely clear on replay. It makes no sense that scoring plays are reviewed, but not scoring plays that depend on the spot are not. It means if your defense gives up a score, you don't have to ask for a review, but if your offense just misses a score, you have to waste a challenge and lose a timeout to have someone look at it. 3. Every year they have some things that are points of emphasis. This season they decided to lighten up on ticky-tack interference calls, and it really improved the flow of the game. Last couple of weeks, the officials started falling into the same old habits, and calling interference on dumb little contact and sometimes on no contact at all. 4. Change the holding rules. The defensive linemen and blitzers are so good that no one can protect the quarterback. They have to let the o linemen hold a little more. And do something about those holding calls when the back cuts back, the defender changes direction and essentially creates a hold. The o lineman can't do anything about it. 5. Put a chip in the ball so that spotting the ball and measuring for first downs is automated and accurate. Also so that reviews of goal line plays make sense. On a QB sneak, on review you usually can't see the ball. If they had a chip, it would be simpler.
  18. Shakir's TD reminded me of Foster's, for some reason. Foster's run after catch wasn't nearly as good, but he came to mind as soon as Shakir went up the right sideline.
  19. And one other way to look at it. I've been saying it for a week now. Josh Allen is just so incredibly good, that his offensive team should be a top-5 or top-3 team every year. Dorsey was failing to meet that threshold. Yesterday, the offense wasn't top-5, but it was better than it's been. We've seen what it looks like when the offense really is humming, and yesterday wasn't it, not yet. Now, Brady has a full week to prepare, without all the emotion about the change. Let's see if he can take the next step.
  20. Scott - Thanks for this. I agree, they did dominate the Jets. That was Logic's point about seeing Kyle Allen, and I agree about that. But my point was more about what it means for the future. As I said, one good game doesn't make a mediocre team a good team, and for more than a month the Bills have been mediocre.
  21. I guess I'm like a lot of guys - I only notice the special teams when they screw up. In that sense, it was a more or less total turn around from a week before. Obviously, Gilliam was enjoying the opportunity to make a contribution. The kickoff coverage was energized all game long so, yeah, I guess they woke up. Harty is a great addition as the punt returner. I love his share hands, and I really don't ask for anything more than that. But he's one of those guys with the knack - he knows when to take the return, and he generates serious returns - 10+ yards - when he does. So I like that. Hindsight is 20-20, but seeing the Bills yesterday made me wish they'd pulled the plug on Dorsey a week earlier. Broncos game definitely should have been a W.
  22. Yes, you're correct, all of that seemed nice, but even you point out the reasons why it may not have been as good as it seemed. And, maybe only two turnovers result directly in points, but the other two affect field position, which is of great value when playing a team that has trouble moving the ball. I mean, I get. Maybe they actually were good yesterday. I saw a lot I liked. And NFL games don't go according to script, ever, so they're going to be messy in part, almost all the time. What I'm saying is: The Bills have looked like a mediocre team for a month. When you look like a mediocre team for that long, there's a good chance your team is - yes, a mediocre team. It happens almost every week in the NFL: a mediocre team has a good game. When it happens to most other teams, I don't jump to the conclusion that the team is actually good - it may just have been a mediocre team having a good day. This week, it happened to the Bills, and I'm not prepared to jump to the conclusion are a good team. We thought the Bills were a good team coming into the season, but they did enough to convince a lot of people they aren't so good. People were so convinced as to declare that McDermott must go. One game shouldn't convince any of us that the team we thought we had in September actually just reappeared.
  23. You're correct. My memory isn't what it used to be.
  24. Thanks for this. I saw your comments in the other thread, and I found them very interesting. I think we saw the same things, but reacted to them differently. From my point of view, a lot of what I saw yesterday were positive changes, so we agree there. I'm not ready to ascribe it to evidence of actual change, because it's still only one game. If the offense can have something like that kind of effectiveness moving the ball against the Eagles, then I'll say what we saw yesterday was something more any given Sunday. The sight Kyle Allen taking over in the 4th quarter? So true. That's something we used to see, pre-Dorsey, from Barkley or Trubisky. If the Bills offense truly turned a corner on Sunday, then the Bills search for an offensive coordinator already ended.
  25. The Bills beat the Jets in Orchard Park on Sunday afternoon, 32-6. A win is a win, but beyond that, ascribing some greater meaning to this game is difficult. Has the offense turned a corner under new offensive coordinator Joe Brady? Hard to say. Do the fans love Sean McDermott again? Ask after the Bills play the Eagles and the Chiefs. Will the injuries stop, or will the Bills simply run out of players on the defensive side of the line? Pick ‘em. Is there something wrong with Stefon Diggs? No. Was the emotion we saw on the field a one-game thing, or have the Bills rediscovered the competitive edge that’s been missing? Tune in next week. Did the Bills dominate, or are they just an ordinary team that will win by a big score when the opponent turns the ball over four times? To me, it looked like the latter. Were the Bills good, or are the Jets just bad? Yes. Here are a few reactions to the game: 1. I’m really getting to like James Cook, now that he has remembered to hold on to the football. I always marveled at LeVeon Bell’s ability to wait, to wait and look, and then attack the opening that develops. Increasingly, Cook is running that way. When it’s time to go, Cook accelerates like a Tesla – instant burst. We’re seeing some real football intelligence from him. 2. Gotta give the offensive line credit, both for creating the opportunities for the running backs and for keeping Allen upright in the pocket against a defensive front that has been tough for a couple of seasons. 3. The Bills were showing a lot of emotion on the field. Actually, I prefer it when their actions speak louder than their words. Dotson should not be showing off every time he makes a tackle, especially because he misses, too. The question for the Bills is whether they’ve begun to raise the intensity of their play for the stretch run, or was the emotion a one-time explosion following weeks of frustration and then the Dorsey firing? 4. Joe Brady had to be happy with his debut, but there’s plenty left to work on. Getting three field goals on the first three possessions was nice but not enough. The Bills still didn’t display a truly diverse offense – they sort of traded Diggs and Davis for Kincaid, Shakir, and Cook. The offense Brady is hoping to see is one where they all show up on the stat sheet. 5. Josh Allen looked comfortable with what he was doing. He saw the opportunities and took them. I’ve said in recent weeks that the team doesn’t need his special talents on every play – most of the time Allen needs to manage the offense, make the throws, keep things moving. His special talents are needed on only a half-dozen plays or so. Like on Shakir’s touchdown – Allen was looking left, maybe knowing all along that he was coming back to Kahlil, maybe not. Then he looked right, found his man and without ever really resetting his feet, fired a 30-yard rocket for the completion. Allen is one of the few QBs in this or any era whose body can make the plays that his mind can see. 6. Josh ran, too. He didn’t have one of those big, dazzling runs where he’s free in open space, but that isn’t the point. The point is that he has to be on the move just enough to make the threat of his running one more thing in the minds of the defenders. The Bills’ offense should be a load for any defense, just with Diggs, Davis, Shakir, Kincaid, and Cook (plus an occasional dose of Harty and Knox) – images of #17 blowing downfield is the special sauce. 7. Just an observation: After all the years, all the decades, of watching the Bills, it’s quite amazing to have a quarterback who, on his own, makes the offense very good with the potential to be great. Kelly needed his skill players, Ferguson was special, Kemp was a field general; none of them on their own made the offense. 8. The injuries on the defense have to stop. They can’t afford to keep losing players like Johnson, Douglas, Rapp, and Jackson. There’s no hope if the Bills are putting new players on the field every week. Good to have Benford back. The young linebackers are getting a lot of experience – critical for the stretch run. Shaq and Oliver and Floyd are showing up. 9. Lest we forget, McDermott gets defense. He’ll get the most out of the talent that’s available. It’s actually pretty impressive to see how well the defense has continued to play through the dual adversity of the injuries and the offense being MIA. 10. The key to the defense, however, is having Hyde and Poyer healthy and on the field. Every part of the pass defense works better when they’re out there directing traffic. Their health from here out is critical, especially with Rapp down. And looming in the not-so-distant future, they will become big holes in the lineup. I tend to look four stats when I want to know how my team is doing: Yards per game, points per game, offense and defense. For the past few seasons, Bills fans have gotten used to the Bills being comfortably in the top five, sometimes top three, of all four categories. This season, the Bills are essentially top ten, except that they are 4th in points allowed per game. That says that they are a very good team, but not at the top of the league. The defense, with the injuries, is good and very stingy. The offense is showing signs of being very good or even scary good. A big run actually is possible. GO BILLS!!! The Rockpile Review is written to share the passion we have for the Buffalo Bills. That passion was born in the Rockpile; its parents were every-day people of western New York who translated their dedication to a full day’s hard work and simple pleasures into love for a pro football team.
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