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Everything posted by Doc Brown
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Suffered a UCL sprain.
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Oh I know. That's why I'm shocked it wasn't a bloodbath for Democrats. Inflation and abortion were the top two issues on the minds of voters according to every exit poll I've seen. The Supreme Court did Democrats a huge favor. Even anecdotally, women I know that usually don't vote showed up because they were afraid of Roe v. Wade overturning. You threaten to take someone's rights they always take for granted away and it gets their attention.
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Eh - 538 gave Republicans a 55% chance of taking the Senate based on their model before the midterms. They still could win it. The perception before the midterms that it would be a red tsunami never matched the polls. Republicans were spiking the football while Democrats were all doom and gloom just assuming that Republicans would vastly outperform the polls. They didn't.
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Probably not right now because god thought it would be a fun year to test the Bills medical staff. Fully healthy though we're there despite not being to a Super Bowl. Three straight double digit winning seasons with the same elite quarterback and head coach will give you that status. Especially when you keep seem to be getting personnel wide each year. When fully healthy (that's obviously not what we are right now) I think our offense is the hardest to prepare for while our defense is definitely in the top five. It reminds me of the peak Patriot Brady years where the only chance we had of beating them was for them to make uncharacteristic mistakes and us to play the perfect game.
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What Time Tomorrow Does Biden Resign?
Doc Brown replied to Irv's topic in Politics, Polls, and Pundits
Too early to tell (depends who wins the Senate) although it's barely a red ripple at best now. Democrats are pry pleasantly surprised at this point though given they were told for months how they were going to get slaughtered. -
On to Minnesota (get this game in the rear view mirror!)
Doc Brown replied to Chandler#81's topic in The Stadium Wall
Sharps will be on the Bills if it gets to 7. -
On to Minnesota (get this game in the rear view mirror!)
Doc Brown replied to Chandler#81's topic in The Stadium Wall
We’re 3-4-1 against the spread. Pretty accurate Vegas sentiment. -
If the season were to end today we'd be the number one seed. We beat the other three current division leaders in our conference. We have the highest plus minus points differential in the NFL. This loss sucked but these models avoid recency bias. Other models show similar odds.
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538 model which I cling to in games like these to try and not overreact like I did after the Jags game last year. Playoffs - 96% Division - 68% 1st round bye - 44% Win Super Bowl - 17% I think that's about right as Josh has traditionally been able to bounce back and things aren't as always bad as they seem. If he puts up another clunker though it's absolutely time to panic. McDermott's team going through their usual middle season wtf happened to our run defense before getting it figured out. I like having Miami and the Jets at home in December. I'm not panicking....yet.
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I need to see shovels in the ground. LOL.