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Everything posted by HappyDays
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If you're going to make an outlier claim, at the very least you need to get your basic facts straight.
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Yeah I agree with that FWIW. They set Coleman up to fail by having no backup plan in place and not enough talent around him to draw attention. If they expected him to hit the ground running that was a mistake. To be fair, Coleman is also responsible for his own failures in the back half of the season if it's true that he didn't attack his rehab as vigorously as he needed to.
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That is not the only way to get open in the NFL. The Bills didn't draft Coleman because they expected him to totally transform his playing style and suddenly become a twitchy route runner. They drafted him because they thought he could develop the ability to use his size and strength to box out defenders and create leverage at the catch point, in addition to his YAC skills. And that is absolutely a viable skill set for high volume NFL WRs. Watch some of AJ Brown's signature plays in this past Super Bowl - he may not be clearly separating from Trent McDuffie but he bullies him so bad at the top of the route and at the catch point that it doesn't matter. But it's this kind of thinking that makes a lot fans believe Elijah Moore, who was statistically one of the worst WRs in the NFL last year, is going to come in and thrive because he supposedly has good "separation metrics." Diggs had great separation metrics too and then got shut down annually by physical coverage in the playoffs when we needed him most. Coleman was presumably drafted to overcome this perennial thorn in our side. I know nobody wants to be patient with young players but that was always going to be necessary with Coleman's skill set. He was not drafted to be a year one difference maker which is why he fell to the top of the 2nd. He was drafted with a long term development plan in mind. He had a two game stretch of Tennessee to Seattle where you saw a glimpse of his high ceiling, and then it all came crashing down. The question is not whether Coleman's skill set is capable of producing at a high volume, the question is if he will develop his skill set enough to hit that ceiling.
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We played the Ravens without Zay Flowers and at no point have I thought our win was lessened by that fact. There are rare cases where injuries really do become too much to overcome - the Lions last year are a good example actually - but most of the time they're an annoying inconvenience, not an insurmountable obstacle.
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We'll find out soon enough. I'm not asking us to do what Philly just did. If KC punts 3 times against us that will immediately go down as our best playoff performance against them. I think 4+ punts and less than 27 points should be a bare minimum baseline expectation for a defense that just invested a ton of salary and draft picks, and has a very experienced defensive head coach facing what has basically become a divisional opponent. Honestly looking at just the investments spent the 2025 Bills really SHOULD be led by the defense first. We shouldn't need to score 30+ PPG to go 13-3 like we did last year. KC just went 15-1 scoring 24 PPG... That is seemingly the type of team McDermott and Beane want to build. So go prove that their strategy can work, or else what are we doing here?
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Purdy and 49’ers extension. 5 years 265 million
HappyDays replied to DJB's topic in The Stadium Wall
He didn't play well. Missed a bunch of passes to wide open WRs. Any hint of pressure in the pocket and he completely wilted. And he wasn't much better in the NFCCG against the Lions that year either. He's a perfect bridge QB that they're now paying like one of the elites. -
Purdy and 49’ers extension. 5 years 265 million
HappyDays replied to DJB's topic in The Stadium Wall
Massive mistake IMO. I give it 2-3 years before they're looking for a way out. Purdy is the definition of QB purgatory. Just good enough to be fearful of letting him go, but not good enough to win it all. He was the QB of a team of superstars in their prime with elite offensive coaching and his play in the Super Bowl directly cost that team their chance at glory. And with his new salary they'll never be able to build that caliber of team around him again. I think Kyle Shanahan could someday go the Andy Reid route of getting fired after 10+ years of disappointing playoff exits, going to a new team where he finds his elite QB, then start racking up championships.- 158 replies
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This season should give us the final answer on the talent vs coaching argument as it pertains to playoff defense. No we don't have all-pros at every level of the defense, but throughout this offseason we have spent a ton of resources on talented players that are scheme fits, we've brought in new defensive coaches with different schematic backgrounds, and we've extended several defensive players presumably with the coaching staff's blessing. So they have to make this group work. There can't be any excuses. If we once again watch KC's offense move up and down the field at will in January that has to be the signal that no amount of investment is ever going to be enough for McDermott's defense to get it done. With all of that being said, I'm not predicting one way or another if the investments will lead to a different result. I'm hopeful that it will. Mostly I'm glad the excuses are off the table. Time to just get it done.
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NFL to Have Vote That Would Alter Playoff Seeding
HappyDays replied to Doc Brown's topic in The Stadium Wall
Might help us actually. Imagine the Bengals get in as the #7 seed at 10-7 and the Texans win the AFCS at 9-8 (not a super unlikely scenario). If we're the #2 seed, in the current format we'd play the Bengals even though the Texans would be the more favorable opponent. In the new proposed format we'd play the Texans because they'd now be the lower seed. So as a higher seed you'd always be guaranteed to face the worst remaining team based on record. -
Personally I classify elite players as players who are specifically game planned against but still make game changing plays. Guys where just planning around them isn't enough. So it's somewhat subjective, I'm not basing it on stats or media voting. Spencer Brown may not be an official all-pro but to me he's elite because he changes the way our offense functions and there's nothing a defense can do to stop it. That's what separates Ed Oliver from say Chris Jones. You can take Oliver out of a game, Jones you can only slow down and hope he doesn't get you too bad.
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Derrick Henry gets 2 year $30m Dollar Extension ($25m guaranteed).
HappyDays replied to Doc Brown's topic in The Stadium Wall
You could definitely make the argument we should have ran the ball more on that final drive since Cook had clearly been our best skill player. I will say though we had him out there on the final 2nd down and he whiffed on his block which prevented Allen from completing his pass to an open Samuel... And then on 3rd and medium should he have been out there? Probably not. That is the give and take with Cook's skill set. What he adds to the rushing offense he takes from the passing offense. That's why he has been a 50% snap player for us. -
For my money there's really only two guys in that tier though, Surtain and Stingley. Then's there a cluster of really good CBs with little discernible difference from one to another and Benford to me fits in cleanly to that group. It's really hard in the modern NFL for a CB to be a true game changing player. In that light I view the position the same way that I view OT. And Brown is someone I personally would put into the elite category already even though it has just been the one elite season, but again an elite RT is not going to be a true game changer. The Bills problem is that pass rushers and pass catchers are the biggest game changers (behind QB obviously) and we don't have anyone that really comes close to being elite at those positions. Oliver is very good, Rousseau is very good although more as a run stopper than a pass rusher, and Shakir is very good but plays a limited role. When you look at Super Bowl teams in recent years they usually have an elite pass catcher AND an elite pass rusher, sometimes multiple of each. Without either the margins are slim. Allen is almost enough on his own to overcome it, but unfortunately "almost" has been the ceiling. Hopefully Bosa rejuvenates his career and/or we get immediate impact from Sanders or Jackson. As far as pass catchers... hope that Kincaid or Coleman take a huge step forward.
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It will be a fun trick question in 20 years. Which QB started the final regular season game at Rich Stadium? Mitch Trubisky, of course.
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Derrick Henry gets 2 year $30m Dollar Extension ($25m guaranteed).
HappyDays replied to Doc Brown's topic in The Stadium Wall
Not to whistle past the graveyard but this feels like a mistake for Baltimore... Giving a big contract to a 30+ year old RB is pretty risky.- 115 replies
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Damn I was hoping to get them later in the season after Henry racked up more miles and Lamar is due for another mid-season injury. Missing Hoecht for that game is going to suck too. But that's a game we probably have to win if we want the #1 seed. The margins at the top of the AFC are going to be slim.
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That was in his college scouting report but hasn't been true in the pros IMO.
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Another one - Trey Hendrickson asks for a trade from Cincy
HappyDays replied to Roundybout's topic in The Stadium Wall
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I guess I can't 100% trust this guy anymore but good news if true, no Christmas game.
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Another one - Trey Hendrickson asks for a trade from Cincy
HappyDays replied to Roundybout's topic in The Stadium Wall
This is getting ugly: -
No chance. McDermott would lose the locker room if he did that. Every player can see in practice that Cook moves at a different level from the RBs behind him. If McDermott put him in the doghouse because of a very common negotiation tactic, he loses his grip on the team.
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Bills First Rnd pick in 2025 draft: Maxwell Hairston - CB - Kentucky
HappyDays replied to Simon's topic in The Stadium Wall
Can't remember ever seeing a Bills CB move like this -
Rumor I heard from someone that would know is Bengals @ Bills as the week 1 SNF game. Getting them week 1 in primetime in a rocking Highmark Stadium is the best case scenario since historically Cincy has struggled the first two weeks.