GoBills808

Deshaun Watson is just average

Mathieu is lost today

Goff bad pick, Watson bad int...bad qb play this week

What a horrible int from Jackson

several some small some big

I don't think it's much of a stretch to believe that if Allen can improve, so can the staff.

When you bury someone who's still alive, you don't get credit for digging him back up.

Very small sample sizes...however Kroft drop% as a Bill- 9.8% Knox drop% as a Bill- 15.6% also Davis has been a revelation

Kroft instead of knox has probably been good for a couple points of comp%

He’s still throwing bullets like the TD to Beasley and the nonTD to Brown

Some of us made the argument last year that had the drop% been near league average his jump from year 1 to year 2 would have been more dramatic, and thus predicted a big year 3. The balls that Beasley and Brown are catching this year, they dropped last year. Diggs catches everything. Drops have had an outsize role in his career thus far and imo were very apparent in affecting Allen’s year 2 statistically-speaking.

After reviewing the play the ruling of interception by the Rams player stands

Taylor is the only QB I can think of who somehow manages to get his terrible play attributed to ‘bad luck’

Re: Edmunds This from Cover1 with a very good summary of his game vs Raiders

I am on pace to live forever and shatter the human record of longevity

Kinda hard to deny w photos

More hard hitting analysis from the best analytical minds in the business

But it's their lively hoods!

I have to disagree with your characterization of Poyer getting trucked...I though he hung in there w good form and held Waller up long enough for Norman to make the play Poyer has quietly been our best player on defense imo, and I was pretty critical of him last season wrt tackling. It looks like he put on some muscle this year and it's helped his game immensely

Yep! Try to go at least once a week All saltwater, shoreline at night for small game (technique called whipping) or slide bait big rigs for ulua (GTs) Sometimes my buddy needs a partner on his boat and troll open ocean for yellowfin tuna or drag some lures at the 40fathom for ono (wahoo) and mahimahi Or take the kayak out and do similar trolling yeh i want to go ice fishing real bad

EV (expected value) in cards is similar to EPA wherein each action or play is either positive or negative (or neutral) depending on a set of known variables. This is quantifiable math as opposed to DVOA/PFF grades which are proprietary and/or subjective. Example- say the EV of a $50 bet on a particular board, with a particular hand against a range of particular hands your opponent could have, with respect to your implied odds of winning X dollars is POSITIVE, or +EV...if you are playing a mathematically sound game you should always make that bet regardless of outcome. You'll lose the hand a nonzero percentage but if a play is +EV it is the correct move, no matter if you end up winning or losing. Similar to QB fumble: a QB fumble is always -EPA regardless of who happens to recover it. A bad pass thrown at the defender’s chest is -EPA regardless of whether he intercepts it or it falls to the ground. Using outcomes to determine whether a particular action is positive or negative is inherently flawed analysis, statistically speaking.

This is incorrect. In poker we'd say you are being results-oriented instead of playing how the math dictates.

Further, I believe there's evidence to suggest that INTs, while still beholden to an element of luck, can be influenced by a measure of skill on the defender's side, whereas fumble recoveries by one team or another are almost completely if not entirely coincidental.

Fumble should always be negative as recoveries are generally a function of luck

Pepper X