Yes this is the optimistic take
however...I am not sure we can rely on turnovers to remain stable, there is a significant luck factor to them
the sacks and QB pressures should be reliable, but the turnovers inform ppg so if they trend toward average ppg will likely increase
not discounting injuries as a factor but those guys aren't coming back anytime soon and again I believe the defense was pretty overrated coming into Jags, they just proved it