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TPS

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Everything posted by TPS

  1. Was just wondering, what happened to the youngest stark boy and the wilding woman? I thought she was taking him to castle black? They've disappeared.
  2. Don't think I've seen this listed, but I really liked "Kingdom of Heaven" despite Orlando bloom...
  3. For me, the. Second safety position is the biggest question mark on the team right now. They need someone better than average to pair wit h AW. After seeing the highlights, I didn't see anything that really sticks out other than he's willing to take on runners. Most of his picks were poorly thrown balls. If he doesn't have nfl speed, he won't cut it.
  4. i was wondering about that possibility too. We'll find out soon enough...
  5. I've been thinking about it...some possibilities:1. Jaime smuggles him out 2. Stannis attacks the city again? 3. The attack on The Wall somehow makes him useful since he's been there? 4. He's !@#$ed.
  6. That had to hurt...
  7. Picking one is impossible for me. There are so many movies I will watch any time they are on. - almost anything with Errol Flynn--no one can top his "Robin Hood" - Lawrence of Arabia - the quiet man - Casablanca - beau geste, and everything else Gary cooper is in. - Lebowski - treasure of the Sierra madre - alien/s (Prometheus is a pretty good follow on) - Hannah and her sisters - Cinderella man (my sleeper pick) - around the world in 80 days - this former cook liked Babette's feast Sorry, just can't stop. Love old movies.
  8. Btw, love the kid's attitude, that quote from the article on his signing: "I'll play left, right, inside or out. It doesn't matter."
  9. Interesting piece, especially given his first impression of the Bills' draft which he linked to at the end. He was very critical of what they had to give up to get SW.
  10. would be great to get more detail about KW's comment. Himself? Kiko? Hope someone follows up on that.
  11. The new Marriott in the Donovan Building is probably the closest hotel to the casino (a couple blocks away). http://www.buffalonews.com/business/new-courtyard-by-marriott-opens-at-canalside-in-buffalo-20140513
  12. corn specifically.
  13. Just came across this piece today...http://www.chicagotribune.com/business/sns-rt-us-usa-agriculture-inflation-20140523,0,61112.story
  14. I must be the only one here on PPP with this attribute.... I'll get back to you on this shortly, and I'll include a date for the world's end....
  15. the three horsemen of the apocalypse: droughts, disease, and infestations, seriously. A major drought in CA, a pig disease, and some pestilence attacking citrus in Florida. see my question for plosser--who will the banks lend to?
  16. true, and if it is nickel, spikes wouldn't be in.
  17. I question that Searcy will be the other starter at safety, but not bad overall. I think the last paragraph nails it. http://www.nfl.com/news/story/0ap2000000352783/article/projected-2014-starters-buffalo-bills Btw, check the nice little highlight video from the first Jets game that's embedded with the story and note what former OL gives chandler a helmet slap after his TD.
  18. Isn't it the same refrain we've heard going on 5 years now? QE has been ongoing for 3 years and the price of oil is unchanged and commodity prices in general are lower. Based on my theoretical perspective I think I've been consistently accurate about projections of inflation over the past 4-5 years. I'll take my views over "excess reserves might lead to inflation in the future" any day. At least plosser recognizes that inflation pressures might arise from increased bank lending. The question I would ask him is, who will the banks lend to that will generate excess demand for goods?
  19. Btw TYtT, I went back to an old inflation thread and found another plosser article posted there from jan 2013 essentially saying similar warnings. If you keep saying it, eventually he'll be right... http://forums.twobillsdrive.com/topic/153530-inflation/page__st__60
  20. there were certainly times he was open deep and the ball wasn't there. TJ strikes me as a "talent" that will take this 3rd year to determine his worth.
  21. First, I had to look up Plosser's background because I couldn't believe someone from banking could be so ignorant about how banks work; but, as I saw, he is not a banker but an academic with training from Chicago and was at U of R. These are the types of academics who base their ideas on unrealistic models and behavior. rant over. My thoughts on inflation: Financed spending is the main source of inflation, so my response is not much different from my previous arguments: inflation won't happen until significant amounts of money get into the hands of the middle class; that is, when banks make loans to middle class consumers. Given flat wages and income, this won't happen in any significant way to influence inflation. Since the corporate sector is flush with cash, there's no reason for them to take out loans either. Most corporate borrowing has funded mergers and takeovers, so no impact on consumer prices there (asset inflation, yes). My thoughts on his points you highlight: - Reserves never "pour out of the banking system;" 95% are electronic credits on the Fed's electronic balance sheet. Banks make loans which create deposits, and bank lending has very little to do with bank reserves, and everything to do with borrowers' ability to repay loans. - The Fed does not restrain bank lending by reducing reserves, it restrains bank lending by raising interest rates. - If inflation pressures do start to build, then the Fed will start to raise its target interest rate; it's as simple as that. [Though there are new complications because the Fed is paying interest on reserves, so there are some interesting questions about how it will proceed.] What isn't simple, is that raising rates will then trigger a slowdown and most likely another financial meltdown that needs to be bailed out...
  22. i really liked the scene with oberyn. You knew it was coming, his offer, but the emotion evoked with the story of their first meeting was great.
  23. I think it's a matter of a 3-point swing. The Bills O averaged 21.2 ppg and the D averaged 24.3 ppg. If those numbers are reversed, I believe the record will also be reversed. On O, I think an improved O-line, a WR who requires double coverage, and a full season from EJ can easily result in move from 21 to 24+ ppg. On D, there's been an improvement at the weakest link, LBs. Despite Pettine's aggressive defense with lots of sacks, the Bills D was in the wrong half of the stat column in ppg. The key IMHO will be for Schwartz's D to lower the ppg total to 21 or less. Overall, I'm more confident that the O will see the 3 point change, but I until I see the new D, it's hard to say if we'll see the improvement there or not? My conclusion: improved O means 8-8 season; improved O and D means 10-6 season.
  24. I agree with most of this. A strong running game will be EJ's best friend, but he still has to be able to take advantage of the deep ball opportunities that play-action will open up.
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