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Posts posted by BarleyNY
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One must always remember, "it's hard to win in the NFL!"
Exactly. Every year has a difficult schedule for every team. There is a difference in the relative difficulty of teams' schedules, but those are fluid and not always easily quantifiable with statistics. Short and long term injuries and suspensions to key players on your own team as well as your opponents is huge. Catching the Pats once without Brady and instead facing an injured 3rd string QB sure made a difference in that one game last season. Bye weeks, off night games, order of games, weather, etc. all impact the real difficulty levels of games. So does the interplay of all of the above. You can take a stab at how difficult a schedule will be, but four weeks into a season it'll look very different. And four weeks later it'll look different again.
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When he's healthy he's elite. How about letting him play a few game this year before we cut him? I bet if you were the Falcons GM you would have sent Julio Jones packing.
What is your bar for either franchising SW or giving him an elite level WR deal? What has to happen in 2017 for you to support either of those? And is it the same threshold or are there different ones?
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Safety. We only have one starting quality safety on the roster. A team needs at least two. Tight end is shallow, but we only need to line up one starter. A franchise QB is obviously the most difficult to find and the most important, but we don't have a huge hole there with Taylor. He's not a FQB, but he's at least capable of being a starter in this league.
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That it's a right doesn't mean it's the right choice or comes without response
Exactly. Consequences for one's actions and what not.
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But is that assumption correct? All the data in the world doesn't help if you make the wrong decisions once you have that data
I guess you didn't read the article. The necessity of wisely using the growing quantity of data available was a central point.
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there's an element of bitterness to this article that makes me believe Lombardi's settling a score with someone
That'd be par for the course for him.
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Except I have seen many chicks in Walmart that should not be wearing yoga pants.....but do...
That's the price you gotta pay to get to see the hot ones.
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He's a self-destructive idiot. Can't apply any of his talent.
Before anyone starts, he's not a "McDermott guy"
The man once threw a woman down four flights of stairs. He then got his girlfriend at the time to pester the victim to avoid charges being filed.
If he arrives, the process is broken
This is the whole situation in a nutshell. Well said, Bloke.
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Another Buffalo News article to hate... reads like a farewell to Sammy.
http://buffalonews.com/2017/06/28/bills-wr-lack-commitment-sammy-watkins-speaks-volumes/
I haven't liked or agreed with almost everything BN has written on the Bills, but this is article is spot on. It's highly unlikely that Watkins is a Bill next season. Since 5th year options were instituted only one player has had his declined and still been with his team in his 5th season. It can happen, but it's not where the smart money is.
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What were realistic expectations of a 5th rounder? I thought 9 TDs as a rookie was quite a success. There are dozens, if not hundreds, of skill players drafted in the 5th that don't get that in their career. That's really not supporting the "Whaley sucks" argument.
Yeah. I don't see how anyone rips DW for the Karlos pick. Day 3 is where you take shots on guys like him. Most don't make it, but some very nice finds can be made.
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it was worth a shot.
wonder how it would have turned out if MCd and McB had brought him in?
this is the difference i expect from creating a proper structure within the Football Team.
Dareus will be the sign post as to how much Coaching and Structure matter
using Rex as the extreme opposite side of the bell curve
I thought Whaley was a mixed bag of more bad than good, but I wonder what things would be like if Hue Jackson had been the hire instead of Ryan. That would have included Schwartz staying. Hopefully it'll be worth it with McD and Beane.
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Happy this guy's life is on a healthy track now. I have a friend who was closeted for a long time. He was from a very religious and conservative family in rural southern Ohio. The difference once he came out was amazing. He became so much happier and lives a good life now.
FWIW, I always though Stephon Gilmore was gay... And No, it had nothing to do with the fact that he often sucked.
PHRASING!!!
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I don't know if I would agree with that one.
That's not to say that they're not going to try to win every game they play this season. But teams pushing for immediate wins are usually successful teams with a slew of expensive veterans and looming cap issues. Those teams are at the end of - or in the middle of - their window for a championship run, or at least a deep playoff run. They trade future draft capital for immediate impact and extend themselves with the cap (creating future issues) so they can afford to keep older key, expensive players. They also aggressively fill out their rosters with aging vets as short term fixes. The Bills have really done very little of that. They have largely done the opposite.
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I'd like to add/clarify something at this point concerning the Bills direction this season. They're playing the long game this offseason. They're not trying to maximize wins in 2017. They aren't tanking either. They're trying to be competitive and still build longterm. It's what makes sense. They couldn't sell an obvious tank to the fans and due how many of the larger contracts are structured it wasn't even really possible. So they're filling some holes with long term free agents like Hyde while starting to get their cap in order. They acquired extra draft capital next season. They kept their best option at QB for 2017 at a reduced price, but also added two QBs - one each for backup and development. I expect them to give Peterman a look later in the season to see how that development is coming along. The Bills aren't going to the playoffs in 2017, but it could be the start of a successful longterm build. Theres no guarantees, but that's how successful teams do it and that's encouraging to me.
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Godamighty but I hated Jauron. Incompetence and stupidity have been the hallmark of many Bills HCs over the years, but you can forgive those failings. Jauron wasn't stupid, just rigidly wedded to a belief in the superiority of his own coaching philosophy despite years of evidence to the contrary.
Just like the Wrex brothers.
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If I'm reading this right....
Basically you've found that football players are chosen first and that you rank those by physical talent. Then at the very end you just grab a rare specimen even if a long shot to teach them the game.
Pretty much. At the very top of the draft you want players who have both produced at a high level and are very physically gifted. They are your elite playmakers. Next up are more moderately physically gifted players who have produced. Those are your solid starters. Then you have players who have big flaws or deficiencies in some areas, but are gifted in one or more. They are your role players. Lastly we have our developmental players. They're either highly physically gifted, but underdeveloped players or ones that have hit their physical limits already. No sense chasing many of the latter, so this is where I like to see gifted small school prospects who may not have gotten very good coaching taken. Sometimes you can find players from larger schools that have had their development delayed too. Poor coaching, coaching turnover, injuries, legal problems, etc. The bottom line on late round picks is that you might as well swing for the fences.
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I disagree with a number of your points.While it's no surprise the local media is completely negative on Bills playoff chances, I am surprised at the widespread belief that this team is floating in the area of a 5 win season. Yes of course the QB is vitally important and remains a question mark. But this QB has produced solid if not spectacular results, and if his offense can produce an average of 26 points per game (as it did last year), I will take it - right now.
But leaving the QB issue aside, most agree that successful NFL teams are built from the inside out ie strong offensive & defensive lines. Any neutral observer would agree that the O & D lines of the Bills are their strength. Both lines are talented, experienced and proven. That's huge in the NFL. Sprinkle in some great playmakers like McCoy and Watkins and you have a recipe for NFL success.
It was the defense that was the main problem last year. I don't believe the talent level on defense is any less than what Schwartz had in 2014 when our defense was great. Ryan's game management and his defensive schemes were abysmal, and McDermott doesn't need to be a defensive genius to produce far better result. Good defense coupled with offensive production even slightly better than last year can produce a 10 or 11 win season. Last years win total of 7 would have been much higher with a decent defense.
- I don't see many around here calling for a 5 win season as you state. Most are expecting .500-ish.
- The Bills DL should be a strength and so should most of their line. RT is a big sore spot though. Hopefully we've got a rookie who comes on strong and completes that unit.
- I do agree that the defense should improve markedly due to McD and his scheme. It might take time for the players to get comfortable with it though.
- The best teams are built around the QB. You can't leave that out of any equation. Strong lines and supporting talent is essential, but nothing in the NFL equals an elite QB.
I'd guess the Bills record at 7-9 or 8-8. Sure, things could really come together in a hurry or something (injuries) could derail the season, but I have the center of their bell curve at that 7 to 8 win mark. Vegas has them at 6 wins. That's as unbiased as you get, so maybe I'm just a little optimistic. I have a tough time with an 11 win season. Even 9 or 10 wins would require a lot to break their way. You never know though. Sometimes things click and come together. One game at a time, one play at a time.
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Cardell
Seeing Cardale Jones cut wouldn't be the least bit surprising. The fact that fans don't even know how to spell his name points to that.
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i'd love to send him to atlanta. the more i think about it they may be able to get back and they need help defensively.
kyle may be the only buffalo bill i'd ever do this for besides fred jackson, but i'd trade him to new england just to win one.
That'd be nice (okay, maybe not with NE). I'd love to see Kyle go out on top though.
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So you think they'll miss the Ryan brothers?
How the f**k did you get that out of what I wrote? The Ryan's were a freaking train wreck. I have high hopes for McD & Co., but they're looking longterm, they aren't trying to maximize wins in 2017. I'm good with that, but I'm not going to pretend it's something it's not.
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Well, he mailed this article in.
Other than the inclusion of the Bills as the 5th team, what other part of that article do you disagree with? The first part was spot on (including the Polian tanking stuff) and the first four teams on the list make a ton of sense. He probably picked the Bills as the fifth because the new regime kicked the can down the road this offseason. The Bills probably won't be top 5 bad, but they won't be above .500 good in 2017 either.
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That lions team was brutal. 76-77 bucs, 26 straight losses..
It's going to be tough to ever top that 76-77 Bucs team.
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That's not how the cap works. Here are details:14.5-9=?
http://www.spotrac.com/nfl/buffalo-bills/charles-clay-7893/
Short story:
2017: cut pre 6/1, cap hit goes up from $9M to $13.5M
2018: cut pre 6/1, cap hit stays even at $9M
2019: cut pre 6/1, cap hit goes down from $9M to $4.5M
It really doesn't pay to cut him before the end of his deal unless he can't be any help to the team. His salaries over the next 3 seasons are $4.5M each. He got a ton of up front cash and it's all a sunk cost now. Basically, as long as he's worth close to $4.5M a year, you keep him.
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i think last year's Browns were the worst I've ever seen.
I don't know that they were worse than the 1999 expansion Browns team. If it wasn't for the gleeful return of the team there wouldn't have been much hope generated from that.
It's Reggie Ragland time!!
in The Stadium Wall Archives
Posted
That's probably why he was drafted in the second round.