Kirby Jackson
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Posts posted by Kirby Jackson
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15 minutes ago, Rubes said:
Be scared? All I said is that the defense is a big question mark.
I'm more comfortable with the offense because we have Josh Allen and a cadre of very good skill players. We did fine the last half of the year with Diggs and Davis providing less than they had in any of their previous years. We've already proven we can win without Diggs, and without much contribution from Davis. I think Brady will find ways of making this offense more effective. I do think there will be some growing pains, but in the end: Josh.
As for the defense, I agree with you—McD has been good at plugging in a variety of guys at different positions without a huge drop-off, for the most part. But this year he is losing Poyer and (most likely) Hyde, who have given him a lot of flexibility. He's lost some folks from the DL, and we don't have a ton of depth at CB. I think overall the defense will do okay, but just how "okay" is a big question mark to me.
The question was if we would be Super Bowl contenders next year...frankly, in my opinion it has already been the defense that has kept us from getting to the Super Bowl. I see the defense being most likely a small notch worse this year.
As of today, the Bills have a bottom 3 WR room in the NFL. We have an ascending TE (with a good TE behind him) and a top 15 RB with no one behind him. Josh Allen has covered a lot of flaws on this team. What happens when every single guy is best within 10 yards of the LOS? They have no one that threatens down the field. They have no one that runs those deep out routes. The whole game right now will be played within 1 yards of the LOS. The goal is to find space. Diggs and Davis created space for themselves but also for everyone else. That’s gone.
Poyer and Hyde were still smart but largely done by last year. That’s why Hyde is yet to be signed (if he plays) and Poyer got $2M. The defense has choked in big moments in the playoffs for the same reason that it has been good in the regular season. They will give you those 7-10 yard plays and stop the big play. The elite offenses in the playoffs will just take that all day long. That’s why Travis Kelce kills the Bills. That’s a scheme issue, the reason it works depending on how you view it. That’s not changing because a few guys in their last few years aren’t here any longer.
I guess my point is that defensive depth is so much less important right now than offensive explosion. The Bills need to add, at minimum, 2 boundary WRs capable of combining for 200 targets. Based on all of the mock drafts we have seen, they can’t wait until 60 for the 1st. That’s not possible. You might be looking at Roman Wilson or Ricky Pearsall (who I like a lot) as your number 1. You need to go up for one of the big 3 or try to get 2 before 60 (unless you trade for Aiyuk/Higgins).
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18 hours ago, Mike in Horseheads said:
I don't think anyone has proof if PSL's are selling poorly.
11 minutes ago, Bob Lamb said:The Bills would not announce anything anyway.
The only thing that we know definitively is that they sold out of the $50K PSLs. There were 450 of them. I think that they were calling it the Legend’s Club. Everything else is speculation.
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27 minutes ago, yall said:
Anyone else looking at the field level club? I have an opportunity to split a pair of seats with a friend. I didn't get to do the stadium experience and the 15k PSL is a little much but it looks pretty sweet and I'm pretty sure I'm going to pull the trigger.
Just curious if anyone else saw them and had an opinion one way or the other.
I saw them. They looked pretty sweet. Food and Pepsi products are included so that’s a nice bonus. You can’t see the field from inside of the club which is different from the other 2 club areas but still looks like a great area. The team (not sure if it’s one or both) come out from the locker room right in front of the club. That’s a nice touch too. It’s like that in Vegas (I think) too.
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34 minutes ago, Ga boy said:
I know that is the consensus here but Mahomey hopes our D stays same or gets worse. Their D is approaching elite and ours scares nobody. We need Verse, Latu or Chop. One of these will make Mahomey throw a pick or two. At 28, we don’t get an elite WR, and I don’t see us selling the ranch to get one.
Fair enough
I guess, any of those guys (along with Newton) would be playing no more than 40-50% of the snaps. On the edge Von, Rousseau and Epenesa will play a lot. Jonathan and Toohill will play some too. On the interior, Ed O, Daquan, Austin Johnson and Deshawn Williams will all play. Obviously, a 1st will play quite a bit but the point being, they’ll be fine either way. Could they be better? Sure.
On the boundary, they are lacking 2 starters and 200 targets. Those guys are going to play, at minimum, 80% of the snaps. They’re going to have the ball thrown to them, A LOT. When Allen is the reason that you win or lose, you need to support him so that he doesn’t have to keep doing it all by himself.
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1 hour ago, Ga boy said:
Gotta do D line in first, then get Legette and/or Coleman. Jets look tough but we’ll win division. Just need a couple more plays to get by KC. We can beat any NFC team. Any questions?
So we are prioritizing a rotational DL above a #1 (and #2 for that matter) WR? The Bills still have about 200 targets unaccounted for and no boundary WRs (except Hollins & Shorter). Sorry, I don’t see it. As far as needs right now, I see it as:
WR1
WR2
everything else
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32 minutes ago, LabattBlue said:
No beef with you Kirby. I will move on.
None with you either 🍻🍻. We all want the same thing.
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Just now, LabattBlue said:
…okay that he is complaining about fans who may be priced out of the new stadium?
He’s not complaining about anyone. He’s saying, “that’s the nature of the league.” Bills fans have had the best value in the league for generations. Now, they are going to be more in line with everyone else. We all should enjoy what we pay now because in 2 short seasons it’ll be double. That’s the market rate for NFL tickets. Bills fans pay those prices already when they’re on the road taking over opponents stadiums. Whining that we are now going to pay market rate is what he objected to.
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37 minutes ago, LabattBlue said:
…and the superfan has spoken! 😂
21 minutes ago, eball said:You know what? I am a super fan. I’m glad you recognize it! 👍🏻
The guy has almost 34,000 posts on a team message board. Are we now questioning the dedication of @eball because he is okay with the pricing getting more in line with the rest of the league? 😂😂 That makes him less of a fan??
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30 minutes ago, Rubes said:
I agree with OP that defense is the big question mark for me this year. Will we be able to generate a pass rush? Will the secondary make up for the losses? Will Milano stay healthy for a full season?
I expect we'll be okay on offense, but I can't see us going very far if the defense is a notch or two worse than last year.
I find this baffling. Help me understand. The Bills have plugged in a variety of guys over the McDermott era and have been more or less the same. They’ve played extended periods without Poyer, Milano, Tre, Von, Hyde, etc… The scheme has had them more or less the same defense regardless of who is out there. They play a conservative zone where they try to avoid big plays and keep the game close. Why do we think, with most of the same guys (minus Poyer, Floyd & Hyde plus Milano) that they will be significantly different? Sean McDermott’s defenses are always about the same. Explain why I should be scared? If the answer is “pass rush” they may need to generate more with the blitz but outside of Floyd (who disappeared late in the year) what’s changed?
The offense has to replace their number 1 and number 2 WRs from last year (not to mention their 4th & 5th). Those 2 guys account for like 250 targets. They added a special teamer and a gadget guy. Why are we comfortable that it’ll work with no boundary WRs on the roster except Shorter and Hollins? The Bills still need 200ish targets from guys not on the roster. It’ll be so easy to defend them right now with no outside threats. There is a Grand Canyon-sized chasm between the need for offense vs. the need for defense right now.
Help me understand how you’re comfortable with the offense but not the defense?-
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17 minutes ago, bills6969 said:
I have concerns on the defensive side of the ball. Specifically, with replacing Poyer/Hyde. Replacing their production/leadership will not be easy. Need some leaders to step up on D.
As long as we have JA17, a Super Bowl should always be the goal. There are alot of shoes to fill going into this season. I do like that we aren’t really coming up in conversation for Super Bowl contenders. I think we get a bit overlooked this year, which I think will be good for this team.
The Bills currently have the 4th lowest odds to win the Super Bowl. As long as Josh Allen is with the Bills they are in Super Bowl contention. How they address WR determines if they become “more likely” or “less likely” as the season approaches. That’s the only thing left that’s a needle mover one way or the other.
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3 minutes ago, SoCal Deek said:
I mentioned this the other day. You are aware that fans aren’t in a union, right? This isn’t collective bargaining! While I appreciate your frustration, there’s no way to organize such a boycott.
Not to mention why should anyone tell other people what to support or not support?
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26 minutes ago, BuffaloNuts said:
Honestly. Everyone should boycott the PSLs. Need to send a message. Die hard fans shouldn't have to take out a mortgage for season tickets. That's insane.
Appreciate the advice as to what we should do with our money.
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He averaged 2 catches and 20 yards more per game than me last year. The good news is that we caught the same amount of TDs on the season. Is this a serious question? That guy sucks. He’s done. Of course he isn’t worth a roster spot.
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2 minutes ago, Einstein said:
The Bills and/or Erie Co share the blame in this. Why would you hire a company to install in-seat heating that has never done it before?
For sure!! The memory is a little fuzzy but I think that the company heated the pitches in England. They had never done seats before. They tried to bring the technology to the seats. It worked for a little while but they started to break. Fixing them was costly. Then the company when bankrupt and parts were gone. Disaster
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47 minutes ago, mrags said:
According to our rep when we went on the tour of the clubs a few years ago they told us that the company that did them went out of business and that’s why they scraped trying to fix them and went with the radiant heaters. I’m not saying what you said was wrong. I’m assuming it’s correct. Just relaying that the company most have been so terrible at what they did that they went out of business.
That’s 100% true. They hadn’t done it before. They tried to fix them for a few years but it didn’t work. The company went out of business and they went to the radiant heat. There were a couple of years of neither actually (maybe around 2005).
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36 minutes ago, Einstein said:
Sounds like we agree? Not sure what you mean by “no it’s not”?
Just found the “in seat heating” to be vague. Maybe you meant that the heaters within the seats didn’t work. On that, we agree. It’s been over 20 years since the Bills sold that as a benefit and like 18 years since they last tried to service them. Not sure why that’s a talking point?
It was replaced with radiant heat, maybe 15 years ago and that works great. “In seat heating” encompasses both. One works fine (radiant heat). One was a disaster (heated chair backs) that ended 2 decades ago. Just clarifying for those trying to understand the whole picture without any sort of agenda being injected.
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5 hours ago, Einstein said:
The in-seat heating didn't last long in the current clubs. It was pretty awful.Um, no it’s not. The seat heaters were a disaster. They hired a company out of Europe that hadn’t done it before. They broke at alarming rates. Over the last 15ish years, the radiant heat has been above the seats. It works well. I sit directly under it.
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1 hour ago, plenzmd1 said:
Hey @Kirby Jackson, do i have this right? Let's say you had clubs now, but turned them down and told them you needed to move into another part of the stadium for financial reasons...are you put at the top of the list when that non-club section goes on sale? Or once everyone who previously sat in :"that section" has gone through, you then get to pick. and this just keeps repeating until you find seats you like?
Maybe just me, but the excitement of the new stadium has already worn off..feels like the news cycle has moved on. i mean I am 135 row 22(28 yd line or so) and it feels like it will be sometime in 25 before I go. just no juice for me there anymore
I don’t know if it translates everywhere but it did for me.
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And another:
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Posted this in another thread but thought it needed to be here too.
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34 minutes ago, GunnerBill said:
The reason I compared with Demitroff is to make the point that you don't need to have a history of outlandish moves to make a move like this. Indeed Demitroff's first round trade up track record was otherwise pretty similar to Beane's.
It would, I agree, be an outlier move. And there may be good reasons it won't happen (quite apart from finding the right situation in terms of trade back partner is tricky) but it won't be "because Beane has never done it before." These moves are outliers that you can't predict based on previous behaviour.
I 100% agree that it’ll be tough to find a trade partner. I think though that it’s a very safe bet that they make the calls.
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On 4/10/2024 at 10:40 PM, Tipster19 said:
Here are the 5 worse secondaries from last year ranked.
#28 Colts
#29 Giants
#30 Cardinals
#31 Raiders
#32 Bears
if so it would soften the compensation it would take to move up with any of these teams. How Elam’s value is perceived is something I’d be curious to know.
I think that he can be packaged to trade up. I think it’s realistic that if you package him with pick 189 you can get to 188.
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I’d probably need 5 firsts including the first overall pick with a “can’t miss QB” prospect in the draft. I’m not talking Trevor Lawrence. I’m talking Andrew Luck / Peyton Manning level prospect.
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Will we be in Super Bowl contention this year?
in The Stadium Wall
Posted · Edited by Kirby Jackson
Not sure what ANYTHING that I said has to do with Diggs other than he accounted for 160 targets last year? That’s not an opinion. That’s what happened.
As an Ohio State fan, I’ve seen hundreds of Curtis Samuel’s snaps. I’ve probably seen as much of him as just about anyone on this message board (excluding @Willyville Guy & @YoloinOhio) . He is a converted running back. He’s a strong playmaker. He’s a guy that will get carries, catch screens and run some routes. They added Samuel because he’s better with the ball in his hands than the guys that had or currently have. He’s a weapon. He’s not, and never has been, a boundary WR. He will line up there some but that’s not the player that they signed. He’s the guy that’s going to catch screen/slants and get carries. He will run some vertical routes as well. He could be quite impactful with the new kickoff rules. I love the guy as a player. If you think that he’s different than what I described it’s because one of us doesn’t know him very well.
You just named 3 guys that are best within 10 yards of the LOS. That’s the reason that WR is such a high priority!! They are WAY too easy to defend at the moment because they’re missing 1/2 of the route tree and multiple skill sets.
I have the Bills needing 620 targets this year. I’ve tweaked this a few times since Diggs left. Here’s how I have it breaking down:
WR1 - 130
wr2 (2nd guy drafted) - 80
kincaid - 110
Shakir - 90
Samuel - 75 (another 55 carries)
Cook - 50
Knox - 40
Hollins - 30
everyone else - 15
This varies a little depending on the names up top. If the top guy is one of the top 3 or McConkey I feel this is about right. If it’s anyone else it goes down a little with the majority of those targets shifting to the 2nd WR drafted and also Cook (WR2 holds especially true if that’s someone like Pearsall).
You were pretty fired up with my thoughts on the WR position. Clearly you don’t think that it’s that big of a need. How do you see the targets being divided? Please be specific.
List all of the ones that you have worse? Even if you have the Chargers and/or Giants they each may have a new number 1, WAY better than anyone on the Bills roster, by about 9:00 Thursday. The Bills are a bottom 3 WR room.