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Kirby Jackson

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Posts posted by Kirby Jackson

  1. With the 82nd selection of the 2024 TSW Mock Draft, the Indianapolis Colts select Dadrion Taylor-Demerson, S, Texas Tech.

     

    The makeover of the Colts secondary continues. He’s a smart, versatile, athletic DB, with playmaking ability. He reminds us of a young Micah Hyde. He’s a bit raw, but with Julian Blackmon returning on a 1 year deal, we can be patient. Taylor-Demerson will contribute on ST and in sub-packages day 1. We believe that he can grow into a Pro Bowl player.

     

    The LA Rams and @GunnerBill are on the clock.  

    • Like (+1) 3
  2. 16 hours ago, Victory Formation said:

    I’m liking all these mocks where you guys have us double dipping at WR! It is a historic draft for WRs indeed.

    We spent next year’s 1 & our own 2. We were able to keep the Vikings 2. When I picked Legette, Franklin was also on the board. If I probably could have gotten it a little cheaper but didn’t want to wait. Also, I always set the draft speed to fast so you can miss out 😂

    IMG_4365.jpeg

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  3. 28 minutes ago, SoCal Deek said:

    My point is that it’s not for a lack of trying. They signed Von Miller and he got hurt. They re-signed Knox and he disappeared. They drafted an athletic freak at MLB and his performance was perpetually suspect. They waited for their #2 WR to live up to his ‘big game’ moniker and yet…he clearly never did. 

    Oh I don’t disagree. At times Diggs, Poyer, Tre, Hyde and Oliver all were impact players. The point is now that’s gone (except Oliver) so they need more. This isn’t a draft where they need to add 10 bodies. The back of the roster is one of the better “back of the rosters” in the league. That (and Josh) are the reason that you can be a 2 seed with 1 of the top 101 players in football. This draft is about quality. Go get guys and overpay a little if needed.

  4. 3 hours ago, SoCal Deek said:

    I realize that it’s basketball season but…..This is not the NBA. Football is far less about impact players and far more about strategy. (We could go on for hours, but the Bills didn’t lose to KC a few months ago because of a lack of impact players.)

    I mean they aren’t as important as the NBA but the OP shows the impact players on past champs and on the best teams. The Bills had 1 player listed on PFFs top 101 players of the 2023 season. They don’t need to have 9 of the top 101 players but they need to have 4ish. 

    3 hours ago, ToGoGo said:


    Milano is 30 this year and recovering from a bad injury. LBs tend to start to decline, albeit slower than other positions, in years 8-10. 

     

    The point remains. He’s been a star. He’s the most likely player (outside of Josh) to remain a star. That doesn’t mean it’s guaranteed but as of today, he is.

    • Like (+1) 1
  5. 14 minutes ago, GunnerBill said:

     

    Do you think maybe he and Beane have already talked turkey? I am kinda kidding myself to hope that Beane knows he has very little money especially until the Tre deal cash comes off the books and has said to Simmons "look come play for a contender, don't bother yourself with OTAs and mini camp, stay in shape but have a nice break - here is the deal we'd offer if someone blows that out of the water in the meantime fair enough but otherwise no need for you to do the visits circuit, we want you." 

    I actually think that’s exactly what has happened. Maybe it’s wishful thinking but it sounds like things have been quiet on the Simmons front for a little while. I’d assume his “market” heats up again right after the draft. The Bills probably have an offer out there that they can’t pull the trigger on until June 1. It would require a level of trust from each side but certainly possible. 

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  6. 22 minutes ago, HappyDays said:

     

    It makes me more confident that the Bills should use a 2025 2nd to trade up into the 40s. I really think coming away with two highly drafted WRs that can play outside is a requirement out of this draft. We have two starting spots open. It makes sense to use the draft value we got back from the Diggs trade to find his replacement.

    That’s certainly on the table. The more of these that you see, the more you realize that it is impossible to wait until 60. If they pass with their first pick (which would be shocking to me), they have to come up. You can’t add the 16th WR as your #1 WR, regardless of how good this draft is at WR. They either have to trade for a vet, trade up in the first, take a WR at 28, or trade up from 60. They have those 4 options but have to walk away with one of the top 8-10 WRs (or 2 of them).

  7. 2 hours ago, Einstein said:


    It is only necessary because owners don't want it to come out of their pocket.

    This is not "necessary" as in gravity is "necessary" for earth to not drift off into space due to the centripetal force that keeps Earth in its elliptical orbit around the Sun.

    This is "necessary" as in blackmail. As in "if you don't bend over, I will get another city to bend over". 

    Forcing the 50 year people out and PSLs are different conversations. The answer is, “yes” the Bills needed to charge SIGNIFICANTLY more for the lower level, between the 30’s that are largely populated with the longest tenured season ticket holders. This was a response to “did the Bills really need to price out 50 year season ticket holders?” 

     

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  8. 2 hours ago, No_Matter_What said:

    This is spot on.

     

    Just to provide some data - I like to read mock draft on one Commanders forum, they do 7 rounds every year and seem pretty knowledgable to me (well, Bills GM made some odd choices this year but that is small sample size).

     

    https://es.redskins.com/topic/446775-2024-es-gms-mock-draft/

     

    Below is comparison how WRs were taken in both drafts:

     

    Marvin Harrison 4 / 5 / +1

    Rome Odunze 6 / 10 / +4

    Malik Nabers 7 / 9 / + 2

    Brian Thomes 12 / 26 / +14

    Adonai Mitchell 28 / 32 / +4

    Troy Franklin 30 / 46 / +16

    Xavier Worthy 33 / 47 / +14

    Xavier Legette 35 / 33 / - 2

    Ladd McConkey 36 / 36 / 0

    Keon Coleman 43 / 49 / +6

    Ricky Pearsall 46 / 54 / +8

    Roman Wilson 48 / 43 / -5

    Malachi Corley 53/ 64 / +11

    Jermaine Burton 54 / 72 / +18

    Ja'Lynn Polk 58 / 70 / +12

     

    So, with 4 more picks in 2nd round to go, in TBD mock draft 6 WRs were selected in the 1st round, 9 in the 2nd (15 total). At their forum, only 5 in the 1st round and 8 in the 2nd (13 total). Only Legette and Wilson were picked a little earlier, McConkey at the same spot, and 12 WRs were picked later, many of them A LOT later (Thomas, Worthy, Burton, Polk). On average, first 15 WRs went 7 spots later than in TBD draft.

     

    I know it is just one alternative mock draft but I am pretty sure Bills fans have strong bias towards WRs.

     

    EDIT: If draft went their way, Nabers/Odunze would be easier to trade up for, if not Thomas would be basically a Bill, and it would also be much more realistic to trade up for our guy in 2nd round. I really hope/think some of this will be the case in real draft.

    The flip side of it is that the Commanders people don’t have WR in their top 10 needs. If that’s the case, they’re going to be way lower on them than the average team. https://commanderswire.usatoday.com/lists/commanders-roster-needs-positions-2024-offseason-rankings/

  9. 6 hours ago, Virgil said:


    That’s fair.   I guess I just don’t believe that type of player should be a round 1-3 pick.  I want this picks to be fully time starters by year two.  
     

    While I like our roster, I don’t think we are in a place for a luxury pick, which is what that feels like to me.  Granted; we can’t trade in this draft, but I’d trade back and get my starting G/C or Safety. 

    I think that this draft has been a great exercise. It shows what a difficult spot 60 might be.

    • Like (+1) 1
  10. 1 minute ago, SCBills said:

    Justin Simmons, while I’m cautious in that idea, and say Aiyuk or Nabers would completely change the narrative going into this season.  
     

    That’s the interesting choice presented because doing something like this, would mean we have some holes at depth/rotational spots with late round rookies or JAG free agents.. which is something Beane hasn’t really been willing to do. 

    Yep, Simmons is a great player at a position of need

     

    I’m personally hoping that they’re more open to getting stars and sacrificing depth. I’d make a big move for a WR. I like the idea of the top 3 but would be good with an Ayiuk deal instead. His game fits perfectly with Josh.

     

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  11. 6 minutes ago, SCBills said:


    The whole point of my post is advocating for finding an impact player in the Draft or via Trade. 
     

    I don’t think there’s going to be a ton of game wreckers all of a sudden made available in post June 1st cuts. 
     

    But ok, nobody post about the Bills roster until September. 

    There’s really only 1 FA left now that can be considered an impact player. The Bills should sign him post June 1. 
     

    They’re going to need impact player(s) in the draft. They have a hard time finding them.

  12. Milano is (and was) the 2nd best player on the team. He’s a top of the league player at his position. I’d says he’s the only other star on the roster. 
     

    The Bills have a lot of good players and most of them are ascending still. They lack top of the roster talent for sure. They’ve lost to the teams who have more top talent.

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  13. 15 hours ago, DaVinci said:

    As a current Club seat owner this whole process has been pretty slimy. From what I read usually the entire pricing structure is revealed. Customers are now treated like Laboratory animals in a cost experiment. I think I would consider the 50k PSL and 10k ticket cost for 2 seats if Jesus was playing at half time.

    Was this really necessary, Pricing out  50 year customers? 

     

     

    The short answer, is “yes” it was absolutely necessary. The economics of the NFL are vastly different than 50 years ago. They are vastly different than 10 years ago. That’s been the entire point here. The Bills haven’t been contributing to the pie at a rate similar to other teams. Pricing the stadium in line with the current state of the NFL allows them to “carry their weight.” That was the entire reason for the new stadium.

     

    In terms of PSLs, that’s just the way that business is done in the NFL now. These public/private partnerships are the standard. Would it have been nice for Uncle Terry to pay the entire portion of the private money? Sure. Was that ever realistic? Nope. We have been spoiled for a generation (or generations). We are still going to be on the lower half of pricing in the NFL because of the market. This is just a step in narrowing the gap between the Bills and other NFL teams.

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  14. This is why I love these mock draft threads. People take their roles seriously and understand the team needs of the teams that they are drafting for. It also has a bit of a butterfly effect. This is a nightmare scenario for the Bills IMO.
     

    Clearly it’s possible that many WRs go. They just did. Certain dominos dictated that. This is why they can’t wait until 60 for one. That’s not an option. They probably go with one of the DTs here but that’s not impact for this roster, imo. That’s just where the value is with where there’s a long term need. I’d prefer a 1-T if that’s the route but the board didn’t fall that way. 
     

    The Bills current needs as I see them:

     

    - WR1

     

     

     

     

     

    - WR2


     

    - Edge

    - S

    - CB

    - DT

     

    - power back

    - LB

    - Edge

    - WR/CB with return ability

    • Like (+1) 4
  15. 16 minutes ago, Nephilim17 said:

    I don't know Nabers up-side but I think Thomas could be a legit number 1 for us.

    And today I'm circling back to thinking that Mitchell could be the guy and not involve a trade-up, or a very small one. Especially if we get a vet like Thomas, I can see Mitchell being eased into the role.


    No vet signing, to me, signifies they need a more pro-ready guy like Thomas and that's a trade up to the teens, I think. Don't expect a trade to 10-12 but Beane has surprised us before — and recently.

    I think that his upside is “best WR in football.” All 3 of the top guys in this draft have that ceiling. They have HOF potential. Obviously, we are a LONG way from that but that’s where their skills are. 

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  16. 1 hour ago, papazoid said:

     

    for 2023 there were just under 64,000 season tickets. the capacity is just over 70,000. they deliberately hold back some for individual sale.

     

    i dont think the new stadium will be 100% season ticket (i could be wrong)

     

    https://www.buffalobills.com/news/updates-on-bills-2024-season-ticket-member-renewals-and-opening-of-bills-stadium-experience

    Certain seats are for internal seats, to leverage sponsorships, etc. Every stadium has that. The Bills have sold as many as season tickets as they’ve elected to make available. That’s the point that I’m making I guess (semantics). That’s what would be considered “only season tickets.” 

     

    I don’t remember if they still sell individual games to season ticket holders or the general public? They used to but I don’t remember seeing an email last year. 

    1 hour ago, Einstein said:


    That's exactly what he is saying. It is what happened in NY.

    PSL owners got "stuck" with their PSL's and can't off-load them because they're practically worthless. So they sell the individual tickets online. 

    Eventually many PSL owners default on their payments, creating more PSL's on the market (this time sold by the team). But no one wants team bought tickets because they're selling on the resale market for penny's on the dollar.


    And then there is the 5k or so holdover individual tickets that the team doesnt sell as seasons.

    After all that, we don’t disagree here 🍻

    • Like (+1) 1
  17. 20 minutes ago, Gregg said:

     

    This is in a market that has a ton of corporate support being in the NYC area. Same will happen with the Bills. The Bills will see a big decline in season ticket sales but a big increase in selling individual game tickets. The games at the new stadium will still sellout but they won't have as many season ticket holders.

    Lol, this is just wrong. The stadium will be ONLY season tickets as it currently is. Now if you’re saying people will purchase tickets on the SECONDARY market at a higher percentage than they do now, that’s possible. The Bills entire stadium though will be sold with season tickets. 

    • Like (+1) 2
  18.  

    With the 46th pick in the VMD 1.0 the Indianapolis Colts select Ricky Pearsall, WR, Florida

     

    The Saints sniped our target. The Colts were hoping to pair the draft’s top corner with the drafts top S but he went off the board one pick too soon. We pivoted to a player that we just love. We wanted to give Richardson another weapon and do so by giving him a college teammate. We think Pearsall’s ceiling is sky high and need to keep up with the arm’s race going on within our division.

     

    @BuffaloBillyG and the NY Giants are now on the clock.

    • Like (+1) 5
  19. I’ve probably done 200 mocks at this point. I’ve taken Milton in at least half of them. To me, he’s a lottery ticket. He’s a guy that you hope flashes in the preseason. If Josh ever missed an extended period of time, and you fell out of the race, run Milton out there. If he ever played to his talent, you could trade him for 2 firsts. To me, this seems obvious.


    Worst case scenario, he replaces Shane Buechele. Be honest, how many people knew that Buechele was on the roster? 😂😂 I just googled it because I thought it was Sam Ehlinger.

     

     

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  20. 1 hour ago, Conlan58 said:

    I'm not saying MHJ will be the same, but look at what the Bills gave up to move up to #4 to draft Sammy Watkins only for the receivers drafted after him to turn out to be much better in the NFL. Highly drafted doesn't always translate to highly productive - wasn't Diggs a 4th rounder? I'd rather stay put or even trade back - this team will stay in cap hell if they don't draft well, and having more picks increases your odds of "hitting" on one. 

    If the Bills said “Mike Evans” instead of “Sammy Watkins” you’d think that it was a great trade though, correct? The Julio Jones trade worked out great for Atlanta, right? We need to stop with the thought of, “we shouldn’t trade up for a WR because 10 years ago we did and it didn’t work out great.” Watkins not working out doesn’t correlate to these guys 😂😂

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