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djp14150

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Everything posted by djp14150

  1. I am a professional data scientist so I can explain why they decide this Recall probability rolling a die. The odds of getting any one number is 1 out of 6 or mathematically 1/6 as a fraction the odds of not getting a specific number is 5 out of 6 or 5/6 1/6 x 6 sides of a die =1 looking at making a PAT…say it’s x failure is then 1-x which we can call y similarly for going for 2 has a probability of T probability of failure is 1-T or we will call this U a team is down by 2 touch downs. If the score 2 touchdowns and two PATs would be= x*x. 1- that means they fail to tie. if the opt to go for two and succeed they can actually win the game. If the miss both they lose.even if they miss one and made other they are still tied. the probability of them failing both 2 pt tries is (1-t)*(1-t) if they do both PATs they lose if they don’t make both (1-x)*(1-x) using real numbers say odds of making a PAT is 0.9 so failing is 0.1 making both is 0.81=0.9*0.9 say your odds of making a 2 is 0.7 so failure is 0.3 you need to fail both so it’s 1- both failed. So 1-0.3*0.3=.91 0.91>0.81 and you have the added bonus of winning. there are some probability combinations that the better option is kicking both. If you have a very good kicker and conditions are not a factor say they are 0.96 in terms of making this gives 0.9216 which is higher than the 0.91 from the 2 pt tries from above.
  2. 2 wins against the Jets 2-4 in the others… 5 were decide by one score. TB and DAL were home games which matters.
  3. what game were you watching 17-3 17-11 20-11 26-11 why do teams do 2 pt conversion attempts late in blow out games?. Real world practice. by the book up by 15 you go fir 1 it’s still 2 score. Get 2 it’s certain 3 score at 17.
  4. Dr Fragile…..
  5. My first thought was because of Eichel getting traded….
  6. rule change dives are giving themselves up because some QBs in a foot slide didn’t want knee injuries. Josh lost a TDearlier this season because of this rule. personally I don’t like it. Especially when QB running out of the pocket is a RB. Dives forward for goalie or first down markers shouldn’t be viewed as giving themselves up.
  7. I know we have Covid going around….I see another issue it’s called Shiny High Impact Toy Syndrome
  8. on #3 I think OP flushed everything… Tennessee is a good team who played up facing buffalo. thus came down to a few places… against D 1 the 48 yr 3td down pass that led to a SD 2. long TD run on Off 1 early red zone drives getting FGs. 2. kick for the tie vs going for it. Penalties 1 took away a TD for a FG 2. killed the KR still tired…I was at the game sitting on the 4th q side at the first down marker on TV side.
  9. https://wtop.com/dc-transit/2021/10/major-delays-air-traffic-diversions-at-dca-after-hard-landing-disables-plane-on-runway/ stuck at tarmac therr
  10. My plane DCA to nashville on AA has 65% bills fans. a guy a row ahead of me was talking to some people returning home and aren’t football fans. I saw in the plane for bills fans to say hi and a loud hi occurs. We’re in ground stop. a plane has landing issues and popped tires causing a ground stop.
  11. My flight is at 415. It’s full. See how many are bills fans
  12. Till the off season….
  13. Signing him does not change who they drafted with him being older.
  14. it’s not just email. It’s a digital footprint
  15. Did you go to the game in 2019? Fans were all over the stadium. It was 75/25 bills fans
  16. the rules are… 405 pm games can’t go to 50% or more house holds. the late game in single game network besides local markets of the teams it goes to the 1 pm ori sry markets on the other network who won’t run a game against home team. Since it is a good game of two above 500 teams it can go to markets with interest such as. 1 division fees, 2. Future games against the teams, or 3. Teams that could be competing for playoffs. since buffalo is an idle team whose off or not playing Sunday afternoon they have some freedom to choose. Their interests woukd be 1 division fees they are competing with 2 teams they could face in playoffs 3. what have they aired or could air and showing some teams. Since buffalo could face CLEVELAND in playoffs there is interest to show them. Rochester has a history of showing them as a second choice after buffalo. Arizona is a good team. If dallas was on fox they would air that but it’s not.
  17. espn nfln feeds are only allowed to go to primary markets. Only nashville airs it.
  18. Neither will go to the raiders with that GM. if Daboll wants truce with him he needs a team that is QBs void. what teams look to need a QB next year? Some with older QBs will look at drafting one under a 2-3 yr plan. teams that might want a QB to play next year are denver giants washington New Orleans pittsburgh minnesota teams 2-3 yrs from now Seattle Rams Raiders atlanta tampa posdibly grern bay nashville
  19. This was their last home day game before the day of the dead…. This was their last home day game before the day of the dead Ashes ro Ashes Dust to Dust if we rely on Big Ben thus seasons a bust
  20. I get the idea is injury insurance. but..but..but….the grass is greener…
  21. Tailgating is different there. in 2019 a friend ofa friend organized a paid tailgate where they served food just outside the stadium.
  22. I don’t buy his time at espn he didn’t have some content that be called into question.
  23. Can photoshop alot there. id look at a Gatorade ad…
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