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djp14150

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Everything posted by djp14150

  1. Where is Al when you need him….do you believe in miracles….
  2. a ball can hit the ground on a catch if you have control of the ball and it doesn’t jostle when ground is hit and you don’t trap it like if both hands are on top of the ball. The bertemanuel catch.
  3. It’s the end of the world as we know it…..
  4. if they are allowed Togo down the field says it’s a run play Or a screen. doing something different can confuse the defense and being down the field engaging blocks would be PI unless it’s a designed run or screen. on the attempted fake punt by New Orleans he wanted PI but the rules on a gunner allow physical contact down the field. Otherwise teams will game this just to draw PI penalties. this is the same with a screen player or a pulling guard run. It can be manipulated in ways to get completed passes by allowing them to block/ pick DBs
  5. Yes and NO… in general for pass plays the lineman needs to be within the 1 yr boundary unless he is still engaged with a pass rusher. If it’s a design screen play linemen are allowed to go down field and exceed the 1 yr before the ball is thrown. If the ball is thrown to an area where the downfield lineman are not then a penalty is called. This also can happen on a Allen rollout run/ pass option play. The lineman gets too far downfield thinking he’s running but then passes and penalty gets called.
  6. It’s Covid toe….
  7. they were down 27 and missed to FGs by mid 3Q…the team pretty much quit playing. Had McKenzie not fumbled and they got a FG….2nd half kickoff they could have tied or just got a FG making it 17-13 or tied at 17 and the game is different.
  8. If the 3 rd LB is a safety…sure.
  9. must be done 12 days before ( last week on Tuesday) except for final week.
  10. defenses are a copycat league. They have figured out what method appears to work. KC hasn’t adjusted.
  11. Fa OL ain’t interviewing there….
  12. The Bills are to play the Jag they thing they have it in the bag The Bills need to show up and not F@#$ it up Hopefully they treat them like an old Rag
  13. analytics is used in order to help win a bet in cards or other gambling games. It also sets the lines on sports betting. baseball and golf are close to pure data collection strategies on patterns and suv es and failures. football like hockey are much harder in individual analytics because it involves teams working together. Like against a D on a YD you might not be sure on cover responsibility like was a safety supposed to cover a deep corner or was the corner supposed to plan man vs a zone.
  14. I am a professional data scientist so I can explain why they decide this Recall probability rolling a die. The odds of getting any one number is 1 out of 6 or mathematically 1/6 as a fraction the odds of not getting a specific number is 5 out of 6 or 5/6 1/6 x 6 sides of a die =1 looking at making a PAT…say it’s x failure is then 1-x which we can call y similarly for going for 2 has a probability of T probability of failure is 1-T or we will call this U a team is down by 2 touch downs. If the score 2 touchdowns and two PATs would be= x*x. 1- that means they fail to tie. if the opt to go for two and succeed they can actually win the game. If the miss both they lose.even if they miss one and made other they are still tied. the probability of them failing both 2 pt tries is (1-t)*(1-t) if they do both PATs they lose if they don’t make both (1-x)*(1-x) using real numbers say odds of making a PAT is 0.9 so failing is 0.1 making both is 0.81=0.9*0.9 say your odds of making a 2 is 0.7 so failure is 0.3 you need to fail both so it’s 1- both failed. So 1-0.3*0.3=.91 0.91>0.81 and you have the added bonus of winning. there are some probability combinations that the better option is kicking both. If you have a very good kicker and conditions are not a factor say they are 0.96 in terms of making this gives 0.9216 which is higher than the 0.91 from the 2 pt tries from above.
  15. 2 wins against the Jets 2-4 in the others… 5 were decide by one score. TB and DAL were home games which matters.
  16. what game were you watching 17-3 17-11 20-11 26-11 why do teams do 2 pt conversion attempts late in blow out games?. Real world practice. by the book up by 15 you go fir 1 it’s still 2 score. Get 2 it’s certain 3 score at 17.
  17. Dr Fragile…..
  18. My first thought was because of Eichel getting traded….
  19. rule change dives are giving themselves up because some QBs in a foot slide didn’t want knee injuries. Josh lost a TDearlier this season because of this rule. personally I don’t like it. Especially when QB running out of the pocket is a RB. Dives forward for goalie or first down markers shouldn’t be viewed as giving themselves up.
  20. I know we have Covid going around….I see another issue it’s called Shiny High Impact Toy Syndrome
  21. on #3 I think OP flushed everything… Tennessee is a good team who played up facing buffalo. thus came down to a few places… against D 1 the 48 yr 3td down pass that led to a SD 2. long TD run on Off 1 early red zone drives getting FGs. 2. kick for the tie vs going for it. Penalties 1 took away a TD for a FG 2. killed the KR still tired…I was at the game sitting on the 4th q side at the first down marker on TV side.
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