Bleeding Bills Blue

Is TJ expected to miss time beyond a week? Buffalo is 8th in NY/A surrendered this year. 18 pass TDs allowed, which is 6th in the NFL. 14 interceptions which is tied for 8th. And they have missed hyde for most of the year. White missed a ton of time. Poyer, Edmunds, Milano, Benford, Elam have all missed time. We also don't have the benefit of some cupcake schedule either. Of the top 5 passing offenses by NY/A they played 3 of them across 4 games. The team has been banged up ALL year - and i would not bet against them.

And yet - we haven't had a 300 yard passer since the cleveland game. And that was almost half in garbage time (they were down 3 scores). Hard to play outside technique and break up a pass inside. Mediocre throw, maybe you can get there, but on a good throw even if you make a play its probably a TD. They tend to give up a lot of short stuff early in games too as they tend to play off early.

What did they run 8 plays?

That 2nd piece is kind of interesting. You either get winner of 4/5 or you get home field against the other team.

I mean - the purpose is to execute plays you anticipate the other team might run. So he's probably good in film study. Sure did - Joe Webb to Deonte Thompson was the big play in that one. 34 yards on 3rd down with less than 2 minutes in OT.

He's gotta be a great scout team QB.

He just always seems to fall funny? Like he was getting tackled from behind... and smacked hte back of his head. The hip injury in college was another awkward fall Watching them last week he looked terrible.

Yeah, when you're slower you have to be faster in your reaction. He's both slower, and still probably pretty rusty with no camp.

No one has to agree to anything - commish gets to decide. Or just do it anyway.... they don't have to be willing to do anything.

I thought the PI was... i dunno - thats like the first play of the game and while there was some hand fighting it didn't seem to be that bad. The TD was quarters so... he has outside leverage and hamlin drove on the post underneath so it created a space. I'm not sure Tre can do much more than what he did

Throw an 8th team in the mix, 7 WC playoff games (would people complain about an extra MNF game?) and no AFC bye. They still get home field, but they don't get the coveted bye week.

Tie helps Cincy - guarantees them a division win. They lose a shot at a bye week, but they basically get one against baltimore since division is no longer in doubt. Tie hurts buffalo - they now lose tie breaker to KC and are basically a lock for the 2 seed. Both teams are likely to rest starters in that situation. The one benefit to all this is KC playing Saturday. If they lose, buffalo scenario changes completely and they can still earn a wildcard bye week. Coin flip hurts cincy - if they lose there's a chance they can lose the division, and therefore any additional home games. Winning the flip gives them a chance at a 1st round bye week. Coin flip helps buffalo - They already won their division and a flip gives them a chance to earn home field with a win over NE. Or rest starters should KC lose. A coin flip loss means very little since they would be pretty well locked into 3 seed at that point, and also would use week 18 to try and get healthy. Add 8th playoff team - probably have to do it for both conferences. No bye weeks, home field is still important as a 1 seed, but everyone's playing WC weekend.

I'm saying having a few days for some processing, conversations, counseling, etc. is a lot different than 5 minutes to get your s--t together.

I think... watching a close friend receive CPR and AED is traumatic. Trying to resume "business as usual" at that point is impossible. Regarding the future if things take a turn... you have some time to process things. It's less about your last moment with a person, and more about their life, their memory, their impact.

Poyer didn't play against minnesota, and edmunds was out at that point in the game. Hamlin made his run fit, i think benford missed the tackle? and dodson had a terrible pursuit angle.

I don't have a ranking on it - but they have given up a first down on 24 pass plays from 3rd and 7 or longer. there have been 84 pass attempts and 4 sacks - so 24/88 plays. The offense has 19 conversions on pass plays across the same time. If that seems low in comparison - note that we have only faced 3rd and long 67 times this year. So my guess is its high - for both offense and defense. At least we have a veteran CB coming back, and all of the other guys have taken their lumps through the season. It's an area that I think they can improve upon simply with the reps their getting, not necessarily strategy.

7th in the NFL in interceptions. 2nd in the NFL in pass defenses. T-6th in the NFL in Y/A and 6th in AY/A. 7th in opposing QB rating. 11th in sacks. 8th in QB hits. 2nd in TFLs. 12th in completion % allowed. We've had the 5th most pass attempts against this year. The 49ers defense has 4 fewer attempts and 110 fewer yards. Across 14 games that's basically nothing. There's definitely been a few more big plays than we're probably used to - and they could and have been improving a bit situationally.

We have 5 takeaways in the last 5 games, and 3 giveaways in the last 5 games. Teams on the positive end of that usually win. 2 takeaways in minnesota don't mean much when the offense has 4 giveaways. Looking at it as well - buffalo has been much better on 3rd down. Cleveland 4/11, Detroit 6/15, Patriots 3/12, Jets 8/17, Dolphins 5/14. Not amazing or unheard of - but would still be a top 10 number in the NFL this year. Buffalo also has the 3rd best RZ defense this year. All this while dealing with injuries to DE1, DE2, DT1, LB1, LB2, CB1, FS1.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Music_City_Miracle Avoid kicking off, avoid backwards pass plays and all the crap that comes with them (i know NE just lost on one, but i feel like players get hurt and there's always a chance for a stupid TD). It was a 25 yard field goal with no time left. 5 FGs have been missed inside 30 this year, on 190 attempts. Thats a 97% success rate, and if Bass says he's got it - i trust him.

Cincy or baltimore wins the north, other is a WC. I'd say based on schedule - only 1 of jets/phins/patriots makes it. Jags are playing well but i just see them doing something dumb and losing to the texans or something. Raiders have a really tough schedule the rest of the way but they literally play everyone close. And i would LOVE to see them beat KC week 18.

For those who would have preferred the TD. I'm fairly certain they talked to bass at about 2 minutes and he said something along the lines of "left hash, and I'll nail it inside of 40". They wouldn't set up a kick unless bass said he felt good about it.

They were off last year in a bunch of games too though. Look at the TB first half and tell me that offense was working well. Or the New Orleans game. Or the Carolina Game. Or Atlanta. Our offense is capable of being a top offense in the league. The defense is capable of dominating stretches as well. The Bengals defense strung together 4 strong performances in the playoffs a year ago. Buffalo is certainly capable of doing this as well as i personally believe the Bills unit is better.

I dunno about that though. While Buffalo is coming off an offensive performance about on par with the wind game in 2021, they have recorded over 400 yards 7 times this year vs 6 through the same number of games last year. 20 turnovers to 18 in 2021. Stats in many games sort of line up as well. They've scored 20 or more 11 times, last year they did 9 times. They are 0-6 when they don't score 20 in the last 2 seasons. 46.4% on 3rd downs in 2021, 48.7% in 2022. 62.3% RZ 2021 vs 57.4% 2022 (Works out to an additional 2 TDs this year).

Just move their games to primetime in september - or at least the 4PM window. Then the sun will have fallen enough to shade the field more.

Uhhh.. the 81 yard TD run was kind of important...