SoFFacet

Dunno if this was posted here already. Results of /r/NFL_draft's official mock. Trades & picks by team are summarized on their own sheets. This was the largest mock in the subreddit's history and was a lot of fun to participate in. There are a lot of knowledgeable people making decisions for all the squads. All things considered, I think we got a pretty good result. Keep in mind this was done before we got the pick from NE.

Oh really.

It's extremely thin and they don't have the right positions. Right now we have two mikes, a 33yo sam, and a special teams cog.

Those first three would be terrific. I'm asst. GMing in the /r/nfl_draft official mock later this week - Davis and Godwin are my two favorite targets in the 2nd.

I know people are sick of drafting people with injury flags, but tbh this rotator cuff thing doesn't really move him on my board. As you adequately put, a team should draft based on a projected career, not part of one year.

It is weaker on paper. But unless they shelled out for Gilmore or magically healed AW's neck, that was inevitable. They will almost certainly pick DBs at the draft as well. What matters is how they come together as a unit to execute the new scheme. Because they were **** at the old scheme.

Ragland is a run thumping MLB, the scouting knock on him was that he might lack the agility excel in coverage or as a blitzer. I don't see how OP expects him to magically become explosive and develop rush moves.

Highly doubt that Adams is there at 10. Film Room Ep. 24: Jamal Adams Scouting Report

Don't worry about that guy, he hates on picking DBs even though it's a perfectly normal thing that tons of teams prioritize. In a vacuum, I would prefer to draft linemen over perimeter players as well, but there's no denying the abysmal state of our DBs and WRs atm. Jamal Adams in the first round is a perfect match of need and talent. CB in the 2nd round could make sense depending on what we do with Gilmore. Still, I might favor a more balanced approach. Smith-Schuster or one of the DEs look like good options.

I'd be fine with Kizer or Mahomes in the 2nd.

That's exactly the wrong philosophy. The only fair things to grade are the things in a player's control, such as how consistently they execute their assignments, beat their man, etc. Production is the outcome of things both in and out of a player's control. Things like All-22 and PFF were made for the explicit purpose of overcoming the deficiencies of outcome-oriented thinking. Brady goes to the open man. If they played again and Pitt went out of their way to cover Hogan, he would end up with nothing, but some combination of Mitchell or Bennett or Amendola or Lewis would go huge. Atlanta is not looking at the AFCCG tape and thinking, "the key is to cover Hogan."

NE and Atlanta's success is indicative of the exact opposite conclusion. Their WR corps are stock full of 2nd tier guys (Sanu, Gabriel, Hogan, Amendola) who happened to ball out yesterday. They represent evidence that you do not need an extremely deep pool of talent at the WR position. The QB and the offensive scheme are far more important. GB got this far in large part because their supporting WRs are very good. Cobb, Adams, Montgomery, etc played great for them this year. They beat Dallas with Jordy in street clothes. Eli Rodgers played great for Pitt. He and Coates were obviously not among the main reasons why they lost.

You have spent this entire thread bending over backward trying to clarify that you actually did mean "can he." "Will he" is a pointless question. Most people would answer "probably not" to every QB in the league except Brady. Nevertheless, some other QBs will win because they are capable and the circumstances may fall in their favor. I would answer "probably not" to the Bills QB whether it is TT or any replacement because the odds are generally so unfavorable.

You really need to take ownership of the fact that you misworded the original question. The language that you used ("Will he"), is a specific prediction of the future. Based on how few of the QBs that can win actually do, the answer to this is probably "No," for the vast majority of QBs in the league. This is not a useful question. The language that you apparently mean, but did not use, is "can he." This is a useful question.

The premise of the article is good. Do they do this every year? They should. Of course, everyone will come away thinking that certain of the opinions are good or dumb. I quite liked Freeman but was smh at Salguero.

I thought it was considered fairly rude to deny your staff the opportunity to interview for promotions. Seems like a lot of teams are resorting to it, though.

It's actually pretty difficult to win more than 8 or 9 games without a great QB. Having consistently gotten to about .500 without one is a fairly persuasive indicator that we do have a talented roster, otherwise.

I wouldn't be so sure. Opinions are all over the place with this guy. Just this morning I've seen everything from #1OA to Cleveland, to still being 3rd-round at best due to xyz flaws. Teams look at more than just the two NCGs.

I don't know what Bills fan in their right mind could be expecting playoffs at this point. "Competitive" and "mediocre" are synonyms in the NFL, and whether we finish 7-9 or 9-7, we are both. 8 or 9 wins is about the most that you can get without a QB, and that's only if the rest of the roster is decent. So we're going to end up with the expected outcome for the 2nd straight season, and possibly fire the coach over it, as if the carousel isn't the 2nd biggest reason why we never improve (1st obviously being QB).

What a complete piece of garbage article. Feel bad for anyone that felt persuaded by such trash.

Many highly rated players already skip the combine, on account of the fact that they have nothing more to prove. Skipping the bowl game is just an extension of that.

ELO isn't deep statistics. All that happens is that your rating goes up and down based on the ratings of the teams that you win and lose against. ELO is weak against temporary fluctuations in strength such as injury and suspension, but over/under-inflated ratings are eventually ironed out as more outcomes are added.

False, they had DJT at 3/10 odds due to the large number of undecided poll respondents and the possibility of polling error. The occurrence of a 30% outcome is not so unlikely that it casts doubt on the model's method. Also, while their poll aggregation model of the election is a relatively unique approach, an ELO model of a competitive sports environment is... not. The most accurate way to interpret that page is that an ELO model would assess the league in that way, today. Not that 538 is definitively declaring the Chiefs to be the 2nd best team or the Bills #9, etc.

If they let Woods and Gilmore walk, WR and CB are the top two needs easily.

I don't see how anybody can be that nervous about the WR corps. If anything we probably have the least to lose out of all NFL teams in terms of possible WR injuries. Woods is the only guy out there right now with significantly more than replacement level ability.