BADOLBILZ

As someone who has spent a lot of time evaluating college players leading up to drafts for 30 years now..............my advice is prepare for the worst. I stopped investing in the Bills decisions on draft day when Donahoe selected Willis McGahee..........that was the last straw of idiotic, direction-less decisions.........I no longer hang on who the Bills gotta' select..........I try to never assume that the Bills see things like I do.......and when they do(which has been the case a lot lately) then I am pleasantly surprised.

He has a chance because he is a one cut and go guy...........you don't really have to be elusive or patient in outside zone.........but you gotta' be decisive.

That's where "on paper" offseason rationale doesn't match up with on field reality, IMO. They need to improve their running game but running 10 and 11 personnel from a spread offense with your QB in shotgun does not provide the natural structure and timing to scheme field stretching pass plays as easily. 12 personnel with Diggs and Beasley OR Sanders on the field is an invitation to squat on the rest of your passing game..........defenses might sweat Sanders and Beasley underneath..........but they will take their chances with those guys deep because that is not their game..........they are small catch radius guys who do not have that extra gear. Davis is a big catch radius guy but he's not fast.......nearly any CB2 is going to be able to turn and run with him in 12p. I like Sanders........if something happens to Diggs he and Allen can still probably bang out 3-4 of those 8 yard chain movers every game.........which would be a significant loss to their game otherwise. But I still think they need to add elite speed and or a big catch radius, sub 4.4 deep threat to balance the WR corps..........especially in the spread where you simply need to be faster to get the same field stretching results as you can scheme up in a power, under center, play action style offense.

Lynch was one of a long line of barely 20 year olds the Bills drafted onto their rudderless ship in the Jauron-Gailey-Marrone era's and then seemed unable to understand what they were doing wrong. Marrone got it half right by getting rid of that turd SJ13..........but of course then they turned the WR room over to Watkins, Woods and Hogan without adding a veteran presence.

Rousseau is an unusual prospect.........I don't know if I would use the Cam Jordan comp, Jordan is a real powerful player..........what I think Rousseau did at a highly unusual level is tackle people that almost nobody else could have gotten their hands on. With that length and those 11" hands he doesn't have to be in very good position to get his hands on a ball carrier and when he does it's hard to get free from those mitts. What are "arm tackles" for some were "hand tackles" for Rousseau. I'm a Hurricane's fan and I've liked Rousseau more as a pro prospect than the more agile Phillips. I think Rousseau has a chance to be a stat monster and the Bills really need that kinda' guy who gets a lot of TFL and "coverage" sacks that aren't just the occasional vulture sack. His ability to snare QB's as they try to escape forward in the pocket is impressive........we really aren't used to seeing it done the way that he does it. I've seen the Pierre Paul comps but Rousseau is not that athletic...........and of course HIS hands are a huge plus to his game while JPP has one hand that's barely functional.

The highlight of that segment was Rhett Lewis stating that "Josh Allen took a huge dump......err jump......in 2020". Fortunately for Daniel Jeremiah he didn't have to immediately respond because he was not composed at that point.

Synopsis: The Bills switched to more outside zone runs to simplify their line calls in the pass game last season..........Moss was more efficient in outside zone because he is more familiar with that style.........but that hurt Singletary because he excels in more of a power scheme. Key point........some advanced stats had Moss as the best pass blocking RB in the NFL. Singletary was OK but not as good. Singletary is the more explosive runner by a lot..........finishing 11th in the NFL in runs of 10 yards or more. My take: Breida is a natural fit in the outside zone........Singletary should improve in it and with almost all the same personnel returning they should be able to expand the playbook to include some more power runs that cater to Singletary..........but Moss probably ends up with the most snaps of the 3.

That package might get you to #16..........then all you need are 3 more #1's and a couple #2's to get up to the Falcons pick.

Nah. Also Etienne had a massive drop in production last year from 7.8 ypr down to 5.4 last season. Dude has a TON of mileage and has taken a beating at Clemson. The much maligned Devin Singletary has a 4.8 ypr on over 300 NFL carries...........which is actually tremendous.........the odds of either Etienne or Harris doing that on their first 300 totes are not good at all..........so if they draft one of those dudes be prepared to be underwhelmed.

Here's your quote: "Diggs has been the most productive deep wr since he entered the league." Again, no he hasn't. He had a HUGE production year of big ypr in 2019........in a play-action heavy offense that is more scheme friendly for long throws. But he's also had two seasons where his ypr was a under 11.......which is very low. His 2018 season where he averaged just 10 yards per catch on 100 catches was a near historic season of nickel and dime grabs. He's a great WR........yes he can get deep.........but his bread and butter is short to intermediate throws which works well in a spread offense.........hence his low career ypr.

I think you meant to say he's NOT been the most productive deep WR since he entered the league. He had one season where he barely averaged a Jarvis Landry-like 10 yards per catch on 100 catches. But he is capable of getting deep......as evidenced by 2019 in a drop back, play action-offense that lent itself to scheming up deep shots. But he is the best at short to intermediate routes and in a spread offense that is the best use of HIS talents.

In the Arizona game one long completion won them a game...........it was a hail mary........but it was also a perfectly thrown ball and it was as well defensed as those players could........they just couldn't out jump a guy with an elite catch radius. The Bills offense took a big lead in that game and then went like 6 possessions in a row without a score.......allowing Arizona back into the game. On paper, one more score would have been the difference. In reality one more score may have been a dagger that halted Arizona's momentum and it may never have been a close game. In the first Chiefs game they were inches away from Zimmer's forced fumble counting and the Bills having the ball late down one score. The Pats were just yards away from beating the Bills in Buffalo when Zimmer forced a fumble. Games obviously are frequently enough decided by one play that this shouldn't be a point of contention.........playing it off like having 5-6 more huge pass plays in a season is insignificant is a case of someone REALLY being too far removed from the actual season to remember how slim the margin for error can be.

No it would be huge just in terms of putting it on film and buying respect from defenses. As I said........defenses adjusted to the Bills lack of deep ball proficiency in the playoffs and the Bills couldn't respond. People can point to the wind being the issue with the deep ball in the Ravens game.....but the Ravens challenged the Bills to throw deep in 2019 as well.........the book is there for a good defense. The Colts were the worst team in the NFL at defending the deep ball...........but because the Bills couldn't push the ball on a beautiful windless day they really labored against them and Allen took a beating keeping the chains moving. It's an important element where they were lacking. Much of it is Allen getting the touch/timing down..........but adding a deep threat with an extra gear and/or a huge catch radius would help.

I hope you are wrong and he proves to be a solid LG.........but I can also pretty easily envision that scenario..........he certainly wasn't the prospect Beane thought he was getting. Being that most OL coaches will say that few OL players are any good before they've had 3 years in the league maybe now Ford is ready to take a big step.........but it's hard for me to ever justify drafting an OL early who isn't equipped to handle the LT position. If you draft a RT only, guard or center early they need to start playing at a high level immediately to justify the investment. They are positions that can otherwise be manned proficiently by modestly paid UFA.

When the lead is that he's young for the amount of years he has in the league.........you know there is a problem. They've also "cottoned on" to the reality that you can challenge him with throws into reasonably good coverage because his ball skills and ball awareness are not good.

I'm not saying Diggs is not good after the catch..........but he's not great at it and he IS great at getting open. That 1998 season was crazy for Moulds. He topped it off with 240 yards receiving in their lone playoff game against Miami. That remains the best WR season in Bills history, IMO.

The numbers are in the links you provided that you didn't even actually read. As for the drops I do not know............what I do know is that the further you get from the LOS the harder it gets to complete flat throws........that's why the out-pass is considered such a critical test of arm strength..........and when Allen tried to put air under the deeper passesl he threw too many uncatchable balls and when he did not the ball was often more difficult to catch as a result. It literally was for the Cardinals.

Three more completions over 40 would be huge. They were already excellent on short to intermediate throws last season........but by the playoffs defenses were no longer giving them the space or free releases and running room that they had during the regular season and the offense labored. Adding Sanders is fine but good receivers still need room to work..........which is what they lacked without proficiency at throwing deep to WR's or a seam stretching TE. Allen was good on short throws already in 2019...........then he became one of the best at 20-25 yard throws 2020.......the next step is getting into the club on deep throws. I'm not sure why there is such denial about it. It's important and Allen and Palmer know it.

The difference is that I have long term on-field and economic based reasons for my rationale..................you just believe they should draft whatever they need now..........I think that's a proven-unwise philosophy.

Wrong. It does add up to a 5-6 huge completed play difference. You want to start further upstream than I do to make it seem like there are less attempts. When you get to 26-30 yard throws.........Josh drops to 20th in completion %. And I don't differentiate after 40 yards........why would you need too? ALL of those throws require a similar trajectory. As I said..........he's a top 4 overall QB who is a middle of the league in deep ball touch/timing/accuracy...........and again, I anticipate that he will make huge strides there after another offseason focusing on it.

There isn't a line right at the end of round 1........I actually feel that you should not be using second round picks on lesser positions either...........the Ford pick was a mistake made reaching up for "need"......... I don't know that they've learned from that but they should have. But you should know that there IS a significant difference between pick 30 and 33.........it's called the 5th year option.............not valuable if you choose a RB or "RT only" and they pan out.........but very valuable if you get a good QB, pass rusher, CB1 or LT.

That's a good example..........the NFL of 1998 was a much different league..........but that year Moulds was an absolute beast in YAC. In 1998 Moulds averaged over 20 yards per reception. Last year Diggs averaged 12 yards per reception. Moulds never played anywhere near that level again but it remains the most explosive, dynamic season I've ever seen from a Bills WR. Before you talk any more about Allen's completion % or the relative catch % rates...........Tua Tagovailoa finished 29th in the NFL in completion % last season........he would have lead the league with that figure(64%) in 1998. Still, Diggs is a great player and ONE big playmaker for the Bills........but great after the catch he is not. You may not think that the current team needs more speed at WR...........a guy that can make people miss or a guy who is just great at getting over the top......... I think the general consensus after the Chiefs game was different.

I dunno........they couldn't stop Mecole Hardman either and Anthony Schwartz might be a better comp for him than Moore is to Tyreek Hill. I don't think that means they should reach for Schwartz. I really don't think Moore is going to be a Tyreek Hill........there are so many more instances of undersized, fast, shifty players who fail badly than succeed........let alone become generational talents like Hill.

Fun player to watch but that speed is less impressive when you consider he is just 175#.........and I think they dipped him in maple syrup before they weighed him because he doesn't even look that big. I think he will have a longer NFL career than Dri Archer because Williams actually seems to like playing football.............but he's about the same size and Archer was a much faster player.

The usual suspects will try to demand otherwise but as great as Diggs is at shaking coverage...........he becomes mortal after he catches the ball. The Bills do not have that other kind of guy. Obviously, with the emphasis so many fans have on waterbugs in this draft, most at least realize that they could use a game breaker opposite Diggs.