Gugny
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Posts posted by Gugny
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11 hours ago, Mikie2times said:
DVOA is the most accurate ranking system I'm aware of which is a good place to start this journey.
All of these rankings are regular season only.
This is Buffalo's DVOA ranking since 2020
2020: DVOA 3rd
2021: DVOA 2nd
2022: DVOA 1st
2023: DVOA 3rd
- 2020 4 of the top 5 made it to the conference championship game (including Buffalo)
- 2021 2 of the top 5 made it to the conference championship game (KC was 6th)
- 2022 3 of the top 5 made it to the conference championship game (CIN was 6th)
- 2023 3 of the top 5 made it to the conference championship game (DET was 7th)
No team in the NFL has 4 years in the Top 5 let alone the top 3.
Our level of success has been a bit unprecedented.
In this time our defense has ranked (in order)
2020: 11th
2021: 1st
2022: 2nd
2023: 12th
-Based on EPA in the playoffs we rank 18th out of 28 teams with at least one playoff game since 2020.
-We rank 16th out of 17 teams in the divisional round or later during that time (offense is 4th out of 17 Divisional round or later and 6th out of 28 wild card or later)
The lack of success we have had in the playoffs compared to DVOA is striking but the 16th out of 17th defensive rankings in EPA is even more stunning. We somehow go from an elite defense to a pillow once we cross the divisional round. This topic has been discussed at length on this board so I'm just noting it from an analytics stand point.
Now the reason for this playoff demise has to be KC right?
Ok, well then how do we explain....
-what the Bengals did to us in the divisional round?
-how other teams can slow Mahomes down with lower defensive rankings in the playoffs?
-what happens in the regular season vs KC?
Top line is Mahomes vs us in the regular season and the lower graph is Mahomes vs those teams in the playoffs
Lets shift back to those DVOA rankings
-Winningest team in the NFL during this time
-Witch of a GM in Beane
The talent level has to be very high?
Those who vote for all pro's don't seem to think so. This is 1st or 2nd team all pros as voted on by multiple publications since 2020.
-So we are among the best teams in football with one of the best GM's in football but our players aren't considered that great (which I somewhat agree with).
-Then our coach, who typically leads one of the best defenses in the NFL, with what appears to be players that are not the best, sucks in the postseason and has also earned a Marty like reputation (which I sort of agree with but more recently wonder more about our talent level)
-We can handle KC in the regular season just fine but not the postseason.
-We are the most successful team in the NFL, but can't advance past the Wild Card
-All this is occurring with a hall of fame level QB who is among the more successful in the playoffs of all time
Why do people think this is the profile of our team? To me, it has almost reached an obsessive level of analyzation because deep down I just don't trust this iteration of the Bills and I can't stand that I don't trust them. Something is not right and I don't think it is as simple as saying McD, defense, KC. It could be multiple things but I don't think it is possible that one thing can explain what is in this thread.
HELP ME UNDERSTAND!
Look no further than the little bald guy on the sideline who claps a lot.
The only common denominators left are him and Josh.
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44 minutes ago, SinceThe70s said:
Turned on SNY early tonight and they were replaying an epic win against the Dbacks in early July. What struck me was that Senga went 8 and only gave up one run before a 9th inning rally.
When was the last season that the Mets didn't have a frontline starter miss significant time? DeGrom, Scherzer, Verlander, Senga. We have to be going on 5+ years, no?
I feel like it’s been very year, at the very least going back to the John Maine days.
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The Bills will lose any game Josh doesn’t play in.
The infatuation with the backup QB has always been some sort of weird kink for many Bills fans.
But it’s ridiculous at this juncture.
If Josh is out, the Bills will lose. Period.
QB2 on this team is the most irrelevant roster spot in the league. -
I feel like if I fought him in January, there’d be no way I could lose.
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1 hour ago, Chaos said:
Do you wonder why he only gets 12 attempts per game?
Actually, I don’t wonder too much.
It’s been a trend for years, under multiple OCs and only one QB and one HC.
I only wonder who’s making the decision to give RBs (plural) averaging 4-5 YPC such an anemic workload.
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@ExWNYer @SinceThe70s @Another Fan
Hi, fellas.
This season, record-wise, is playing out just how I thought it might.
However, not for the reasons it’s happening.
As has been brought up, our stars aren’t playing like stars.
Disappointing, because the playoffs are within reach for any semi-consistent team. We are not that.
As of now, I’m okay with Mendoza getting another shot that said, I’d take an upgrade any day.
I was actually in NYC on Saturday. Girlfriend and lI drove down primarily to hit the Brooklyn Museum to see the Paul McCartney photo exhibit.
We were done there by 2pm and I had a decision to make … Mets game or non Mets game. She was fine either way.
But we decided to hit midtown Manhattan for a bit, then took in Central Park (Strawberry Fields). McCartney in the early afternoon, Lennon a bit later. Tough to beat.
Ended up back in Brooklyn by around 6:30 for dinner. Mets game was just getting over (saw the last couple outs). The way they celebrated, I thought Severino may have thrown a no-no.
I had to google the box score because I would have been PISSED if I’d missed that!!!
I’ll take the CG shut out!
This season was a throw away to me from preseason, so I’m enjoying the wins as they come and a playoff an appearance would be a wonderful overachievement.
#LFGM
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2 minutes ago, mrags said:
Considering I don’t like cook about as much as I didn’t like spiller. It’s a wash. Can I just hope for both of them to be on another team?
Do you ever wonder how well Cook could do if he got more than 12 attempts/game?-
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7 minutes ago, mrags said:
In a heartbeat
Would you trade Cook for CJ Spiller in his prime?-
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6 minutes ago, Punching Bag said:
I started calling him P5t5rman in game when he had 5 interceptions in first half and your hero replaced him.
Oh. Ha. Ha ha ha …. Ha.
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14 minutes ago, Punching Bag said:
No you just had an off day, You normally are TSW's version of Bud Abbott.
Axually, your attempt at a pun/humor has fallen flat.
what is with the 5s? How does it mean something and how is it supposed to be funny?
Asking for everyone who hasn’t wrapped his own crap in a napkin (also thinking it was funny when it wasn’t).
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10 minutes ago, Steptide said:
I've always rooted for him honestly. He's gotta be halfway decent by now right?!
I have always rooted for him.
He was drafted into an absolute sh!tshow and was punished for it.
I hope he keeps getting signed and keeps making millions.
He deserves every effin penny.
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34 minutes ago, LABILLBACKER said:
Pefivetfiveman....you know
Jesus Christ. I feel so stupid now!!!-
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What is “P5t5man” supposed to mean?
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1 hour ago, The Poojer said:
Chubby lives about 2 miles from me in Paoli PA, i see him taking his trash out every once in a while. I have become friends with one of his daughters, she doesn't talk about him much
Perhaps if you …. Twist …. her arm, she’ll talk more.-
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5 hours ago, rusty shackleford said:
Why? Because he runs his mouth or because he only won us a gold and a bronze and not two golds?
He also won the whole for the least sportsmanlike athlete of the entire Games.
The guy is a jerk.
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1 minute ago, T&C said:
BOC will be great but I'm surprised that Chubby Checker can still stand...
He is one of three who I thought was dead.
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2 hours ago, Mike in Horseheads said:
The flags are down and flame is out, on to LA in 2028! Thanks Paris, good job!!!
I hope they leave Noah Lyles there. -
On 8/10/2024 at 1:31 PM, Just Jack said:
Final lineup for the State Fair this year...
Not a lot I would go see.
Sweet Baby Jesus, that is horrible.-
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48 minutes ago, AlCowlingsTaxiService said:
I live in WNY. I own a boat, motorcycle and I golf a lot. For me, any answer other than summer is wrong. March/April around here will be driving me south in a few years.
October through February are okay, though?? -
54 minutes ago, BillsFan130 said:
I don't get why Texans traded assets for a diva wide receiver who is on the decline when they have a young rising star at QB
38 minutes ago, Don Otreply said:I was thinking the same thing, I suspect that they think Diggs is why Allen’s progression was so good, when in fact it was really just having WRs who actually caught the damn ball 🏈, I suspect that the “anonymous” executive that said Allen is overrated works for the Texans…,
They might be thinking more of what Beasley did for Josh’s development.
Beasley only had a couple years left in the tank when he came to Buffalo, but he was still good enough to help with Josh’s development and giving him a high percentage catch target. He was great here for two years, before becoming a supreme douche who’d lost too many steps.
I digress …
Maybe Diggs has agreed to be more of a “move the chains” guy with the Texans.
Diggs was brought into Buffalo after Josh developed into a QB who could properly utilize a (then) true WR1.
I honestly don’t know crap about the Texans’ WR corps, but if they’re leaning on Diggs to be their undisputed WR1, then they will get what they deserve.
He ain’t that no mo.
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2 minutes ago, Don Otreply said:
Diggs more and more seems to be the guy who “insinuates” that what’s holding him back is everyone else around him…, everywhere he is,
If I’m Stroud, I tell Diggs to piss up a rope the first time he complains about / suggests pretty much anything,
I think pissing up a rope would be a pretty cool Olympic event.-
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5 minutes ago, Mike in Horseheads said:
I'm surprised they don't have stickers on them like NASCARS
It’s official. You’ve reached “that age” when everything becomes pluralized.-
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4 minutes ago, NewEra said:
the brim is huge- not my thing. They look stupid on me. 59/50 brims don’t bend and look the same.
i just checked the Mets and Bills hats that I have out. Both are 59/50 and I bent the brims and they look fine.
I hate the wide/flat brim look, too, but these seem to have bent (and stayed bent) very nicely.
But I totally get what you’re saying.
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NY Mets 2024 Season
in Topics
Posted
I think most Mets fans feel the same.
I was pissed last night. If we can’t count on Diaz to close out big/must-win games, then he’s worthless. Period.