thebandit27

High time behind LOS, coupled with a low “efficiency number” (which indicates a more north-south runner) and a very high YPC before contact (indicating that defenders don’t get to him early on in the carry) would be pretty strong indicators.

Okay I think it’s time for me to make a closing statement on this and let the rest of you have your say... Devin is good. I am glad he’s on this team. There is a combination of statistics such as number of carries vs 8-man boxes, yards per carry before contact, and average time behind the LOS that lead me to believe that—for whatever reason it may be—he was afforded a disproportionately high amount of room to run relative to his peers in 2019, which is a contributing factor to his very high YPC number.

Well, that line must’ve been pretty solid, because Singletary ranked 7th in the NFL in yards-before-contact-per-carry with 2.7. https://www.pro-football-reference.com/years/2019/rushing_advanced.htm Either that, or that’s another positive effect from him seeing very few 8-man boxes (#pernextgenbutnotgobills808)

Yeah that’s more or less how I feel. I would append that to say “pass rusher” instead of EDGE, because I think an Ed Oliver type qualifies since he can have such a huge impact on the passing game. And for the most part, teams followed suit yesterday. Breakdown of 1sts from last night: 4 QBs 1 RB 0 TE 6 WRs 1 IOL 5 OTs 2 EDGE rushers 2 IDLs (and both are good pass rushers) 3 LBs 6 corners 0 safeties So 5 out of 32 picks are non-premium, and one of those is Simmons, who may end up an elite player. The only exceptions I would say make sense is if you’re a team like NO or KC and believe you’re one player away, so you go for a Ruiz or CEH in round 1. Understandable, but unwise long-term IMO.

I’m thinking he’s gone by 40. Will I get to add that to “right player, right team, wrong slot” in my round 1 mock thread? ? I think folks are pretty satisfied with Taron and Siran handling that role. Not that I don’t see the value in what you’re promoting.

I would say that any or all of the following could look at a RB: Detroit Miami Jacksonville TB Atlanta LAR All pick before Buffalo.

I expect a big-time run on RBs in the first half of round 2

I think Bryce Hall should be on people’s collective radar

The most hilarious thing about it is that the numbers don’t come from ESPN; they come from the league website.

Not bad in terms of accuracy... Correctly predicted 24/32 first round players (Average) 7 matches of right player to right team in right slot (Burrow, Young, Okudah, Tua, A. Jackson, Chaisson, I. Wilson) 1 match of player to slot with wrong team (Murray) 1 match of player to team in wrong slot (Jeudy) I also had 3 players selected one slot from where I had them going (Herbert, Ruggs, Jefferson). Correctly predicted a LAC trade up from round 2, as well as a trade up for Love Earliest pick I got wrong: Thomas over Wirfs at 4 (nice call @Kirby Jackson) Latest pick I got right: Isaiah Wilson to Tennessee at 29.

You showed still shots that are supposed to prove that you’re right and the outfit that gets paid to produce the numbers league-wide is wrong. Sorry, I’m going with the league.

Take it up with NextGen jrober

I feel that there are two things to mention here: 1) I didn’t say that he wasn’t good. I said that his YPC was inflated. 2) I also pointed out that he not only faced the fewest 8-man boxes, but also averaged nearly 3 seconds behind the LOS per carry. Those two factors combined contribute to an inflated YPC. I didn’t say he sucks. I didn’t even say he wasn’t good. But of course people see anything that resembles not lauding the kid for being the best thing ever and they freak.

Muh boy Greenard!

Jonathan Taylor goes top-15

Zoom with screen share of my draft board. Menu is Sloppy Joe sliders and citrus-almond cake with ginger-nutmeg crumble.

Apparently the effort to get to 3 without giving up 5 was so that they could offer Cinci 3 and 5 to get to 1 for Burrow. Bengals said no.

Exactly how I had it in my mock That’s also where I see it

So if they were to move 18 and 26 plus others to get to 3, they’d get an OT and eliminate the threat of all 3 QBs going before the 5th pick.

*shudders*

Pretty sure that @thebandit27 said the same thing in his mock draft.

Last year was my best. 8 correct matches of team/player/slot and 2 correct matches of team/player in the wrong slot. One correct match of player/slot but wrong team. I was also off by one draft slot on 6 other players, and correctly predicted 2 trades.

Even when Mike Mayock was being fed info straight from the horses’ mouths, he still only got 12-15 picks right in his mock drafts. There is no chance that anyone could ever nail a perfect first round. Ever.

Maybe I’ll do one Friday after my re-stack...

I would prefer tacos. Or bacon. Or ice cream. Pretty much anything else. No offense ?