Maybe there are more nuances than I estimated, but if Belichick felt Gostkowski was a 90% shot from that distance, he was wrong. 69.7% from the 40-49 distance over the guy's career. And if you want to take Gillette/Away, 7 out of his 14 misses from that distance have been at home.
I see your point...I would have tried to advance the ball. In either case, a supposed sports expert like Simmons should dig into the numbers before reacting.