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eball's stat of the week: how statistics lie


eball

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Sounds like a pretty robust offensive output by St. Louis, right? Poor showing by the Buffalo D, right? That's what you'd think if you just read the box score, as many reporters likely did as they "prepared" their articles covering the weekend.

 

Fact: 27 yards on final drive of 1st half, when St. Louis started at their own 13 with 0:40 left and were clearly running out the clock.

 

Fact: 100 yards from the 6:21 mark of the 4th quarter, after Lindell's FG made it 31-14.

 

So, we're really looking at 253 yards (and two scores) over 53:00 of "meaningful" gametime -- and no points over nearly three quarters.

 

I raise the point only because of statements like this from Peter King:

"I don't know what Sunday's game means. The pathetic Rams got 380 yards on the unbeaten Bills."

 

Umm, Pete, aren't those the same "pathetic" Rams you predicted would BEAT the Bills?

 

Anyway, it's sloppy reporting, and one could probably tear apart King's comments on the other 13 games of the weekend in similar fashion.

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Sounds like a pretty robust offensive output by St. Louis, right? Poor showing by the Buffalo D, right? That's what you'd think if you just read the box score, as many reporters likely did as they "prepared" their articles covering the weekend.

 

Fact: 27 yards on final drive of 1st half, when St. Louis started at their own 13 with 0:40 left and were clearly running out the clock.

 

Fact: 100 yards from the 6:21 mark of the 4th quarter, after Lindell's FG made it 31-14.

 

So, we're really looking at 253 yards (and two scores) over 53:00 of "meaningful" gametime -- and no points over nearly three quarters.

 

I raise the point only because of statements like this from Peter King:

"I don't know what Sunday's game means. The pathetic Rams got 380 yards on the unbeaten Bills."

 

Umm, Pete, aren't those the same "pathetic" Rams you predicted would BEAT the Bills?

 

Anyway, it's sloppy reporting, and one could probably tear apart King's comments on the other 13 games of the weekend in similar fashion.

Is this your Stat O the Week?

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Only dummies talk about yards gained WRT offensive and defensive rankings. The most important thing is points scored or allowed.

The official NFL rankings of offenses and defenses are determined by total yards. My point is that by analyzing a specific game one is able to show that relying solely upon that statistic doesn't tell the whole story.

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Fact: 100 yards from the 6:21 mark of the 4th quarter, after Lindell's FG made it 31-14.

 

 

Yeah and 60 of those yards happened on basically an all out blitz when the Bills were trying to murder Trent Green and got caught on a screen pass deep in STL territory...I would bet a lot that if they weren't up 31-14, that play would have probably gone for like 5 yards or so since they would have played it a bit more conservatively...

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Per Elias:

The Rams have lost each of their last seven games by at least 17 points, equaling the longest such streak in NFL history. That mark was set by the Dolphins as a second-year franchise in 1967.

 

This may be one stat that DOESN'T lie...the Rams are just plain bad...

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I think this is dead on! A very good point.

 

For me, however, (and you can tell Peter King this as well) the most important stat is this: 4-0.

 

You are correct, Sir! Stats are for losers and 'journalists' who don't do their homework. 4 straight SB trips with a low ranked 'D' and low TOP stats proved this.

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Per Elias:

The Rams have lost each of their last seven games by at least 17 points, equaling the longest such streak in NFL history. That mark was set by the Dolphins as a second-year franchise in 1967.

 

 

The Lambs have also allowed 30 points or more in their last 7 games, this equals a record set by the Denver Broncos in the 60s or 70s(too lazy to look it up for sure).

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Oh please. Statistics don't lie. Idiots who pull random data out of context (ie King) are the liars and anyone who believes the "statistics" without checking the context are just as stupid.

 

Eball was right on when he checked the context of King's data (the common sense test), but used statistics himself to try to prove that Kings statistics were misleading and that the Bills defense was better than King claims. 253 yards in 53 minutes of meaningful football? Sounds like a stat to me. Are those stats lying, too?

 

Let's cut the "stats are for losers" talk, shall we? People use statistics to lie just like they use language. Let's all stop talking to one another. Statistics have been crucial to the develop of pretty much everything we touch and use and the sport football is pretty simple compared to that. Lazy journalism is for losers, not statistics.

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