plenzmd1 Posted October 16, 2018 Share Posted October 16, 2018 On 10/13/2018 at 7:47 AM, plenzmd1 said: Tomorrow I am riding the Bills Moneyline again..+340. Profitable bet so far, no reason to abandon it now. Like the Chiefs +145, and 1/3 unit bet on the 49 ers +325 Urghhhhh live by the moneyline, die by the moneyline. 3 losses here for me, winners if yabtake the points. All of them hem tied with under two minutes to go. Oh well, onto next week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SlimShady'sSpaceForce Posted October 16, 2018 Share Posted October 16, 2018 What’s the line with Josh out? 26? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GoBills808 Posted October 16, 2018 Share Posted October 16, 2018 On 10/14/2018 at 2:02 AM, BringBackFergy said: My daughter’s modified field hockey team is 4-1-1. This Tuesday they are home against a team that is 2-4 (currently on a three game losing streak). Bovada has the over/under at 1 1/2 goals. I’m taking the overs. Moneyline? 13 hours ago, plenzmd1 said: Urghhhhh live by the moneyline, die by the moneyline. 3 losses here for me, winners if yabtake the points. All of them hem tied with under two minutes to go. Oh well, onto next week. Bills 3-3 ATS w/ some big lines tells me take them this week at +7.5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BringBackFergy Posted October 16, 2018 Share Posted October 16, 2018 2 hours ago, GoBills808 said: Moneyline? +950 Pepperidge Farm Goldfish crackers 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SlimShady'sSpaceForce Posted October 17, 2018 Share Posted October 17, 2018 (edited) 3 hours ago, GoBills808 said: Moneyline? Bills 3-3 ATS w/ some big lines tells me take them this week at +7.5 .500. As I’ve seen for decades the problem is knowing which way to swing week to week. Edited October 17, 2018 by ShadyBillsFan Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
26CornerBlitz Posted October 17, 2018 Share Posted October 17, 2018 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ol Dirty B Posted October 17, 2018 Share Posted October 17, 2018 3 hours ago, GoBills808 said: Moneyline? Bills 3-3 ATS w/ some big lines tells me take them this week at +7.5 I'm not sure why? Could you explain that logic to me? They covered 17, 10, and damn, I don't remember the Titans line. They've failed to cover 7.5, 10, and I'm guessing the LA game which I don't remember the spread also. I just don't see any real great way to think they'll cover. Indy puts up points, and has a below average defense but a good pass rush. I don't think the Bills match up well with them. I'm going to wait if it goes up. It opened at 6.5. I like them at 10.5. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GoBills808 Posted October 17, 2018 Share Posted October 17, 2018 (edited) 59 minutes ago, Ol Dirty B said: I'm not sure why? Could you explain that logic to me? They covered 17, 10, and damn, I don't remember the Titans line. They've failed to cover 7.5, 10, and I'm guessing the LA game which I don't remember the spread also. I just don't see any real great way to think they'll cover. Indy puts up points, and has a below average defense but a good pass rush. I don't think the Bills match up well with them. I'm going to wait if it goes up. It opened at 6.5. I like them at 10.5. There’s opportunity when you get a team with as much disagreement between public/sharp money as the Bills this year, so when they’re getting over a TD to a beat up Indy w/ defense playing like they are I’m jumping on it. Colts haven’t won a home game this season, 1-4 ats last 5 home games, and Bills have covered 3/4 times as 5+pt dogs this year. Hammer it if you got it imo. Edited October 17, 2018 by GoBills808 3/4 not 3/3...pretty sure 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ol Dirty B Posted October 17, 2018 Share Posted October 17, 2018 Just now, GoBills808 said: There’s opportunity when you get a team with as much disagreement between public/sharp money as the Bills this year, so when they’re getting over a TD to a beat up Indy w/ defense playing like they are I’m jumping on it. Colts haven’t won a home game this season, 1-4 ats last 5 home games, and Bills have covered all 3 times as 5+pt dogs this year. Hammer it if you got it imo. They didnt cover the 10 they were getting at green bay or the 7.5 or so they were getting at the Ravens. They aren't 3-0 ats getting 5 or more or am I misunderstanding you? You have a point, that's the only reason I ask because getting that many points vs a 1-5 team with this defense is usually something I'd jump on. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LSHMEAB Posted October 17, 2018 Share Posted October 17, 2018 At this point, there is not a huge difference between Peterman, Allen, and Anderson. The line is pretty much the same. I don't really think Allen's absence will affect the team. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GoBills808 Posted October 17, 2018 Share Posted October 17, 2018 3 minutes ago, Ol Dirty B said: They didnt cover the 10 they were getting at green bay or the 7.5 or so they were getting at the Ravens. They aren't 3-0 ats getting 5 or more or am I misunderstanding you? You have a point, that's the only reason I ask because getting that many points vs a 1-5 team with this defense is usually something I'd jump on. Yeh that's wrong, thinking last 4 games not all year. Was +16 Bills cover, -10 Packers cover, +6 Bills cover, +10 Bills cover iirc. I hate betting my teams but Indy doesn't deserve to be laying 7.5, they're just not that strong. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
youngjebrey Posted October 17, 2018 Share Posted October 17, 2018 13 minutes ago, LSHMEAB said: At this point, there is not a huge difference between Peterman, Allen, and Anderson. The line is pretty much the same. I don't really think Allen's absence will affect the team. It most certainly will if peterman starts. Peterman actually gives points to the other team. May as well give Indy +7 to start with if he plays Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ol Dirty B Posted October 17, 2018 Share Posted October 17, 2018 (edited) 5 minutes ago, GoBills808 said: Yeh that's wrong, thinking last 4 games not all year. Was +16 Bills cover, -10 Packers cover, +6 Bills cover, +10 Bills cover iirc. I hate betting my teams but Indy doesn't deserve to be laying 7.5, they're just not that strong. Thanks, you definitely have me thinking about it. Your reasoning is good, but like you, I also hate betting my teams. 3 minutes ago, youngjebrey said: It most certainly will if peterman starts. Peterman actually gives points to the other team. May as well give Indy +7 to start with if he plays The public perception of Peterman being announced starter will tilt that line in my opinion. I see it going to 10.5 if he is announced a starter in the next few days. Which is crazy, but I think the public starts laying money down on the Colts immediately if that is announced. I'm not an expert on this though. I dabble but I wouldn't consider myself a wiseguy or anything. Edited October 17, 2018 by Ol Dirty B Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LSHMEAB Posted October 17, 2018 Share Posted October 17, 2018 1 hour ago, youngjebrey said: It most certainly will if peterman starts. Peterman actually gives points to the other team. May as well give Indy +7 to start with if he plays I agree that Peterman is a turnover machine unlike the league has ever seen. Just pointing out that Allen, AT THIS POINT, doesn't really contribute much to the offense. Don't see the line being affected as much as you may think. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
plenzmd1 Posted October 21, 2018 Share Posted October 21, 2018 (edited) +250 at Bovada..this can be a swing game for the year. If Anderson comes out and has a decent game, and Bills win with the D having another strong game..the days of seeing better than 2X on your money will be long gone( except for next week, and ain't no way I betting Bills money line next week). So the question is all Anderson...and how much of your bankroll do you want to lay today. I have had a decent year so far, up a little under 30% of my initial bankroll.i So while i really like the game, not going too crazy today... am going to put most my profit on the Bills money line today. To me, Anderson is either decent or pretty good and Bills win a close game..or he and the offense are hot garbage and they get beat by 20. Also, like the Brownies today +160. Edited October 21, 2018 by plenzmd1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
plenzmd1 Posted October 21, 2018 Share Posted October 21, 2018 freaking Browns Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChattanoogaBills Posted October 21, 2018 Share Posted October 21, 2018 On 10/16/2018 at 10:16 PM, Ol Dirty B said: Thanks, you definitely have me thinking about it. Your reasoning is good, but like you, I also hate betting my teams. The public perception of Peterman being announced starter will tilt that line in my opinion. I see it going to 10.5 if he is announced a starter in the next few days. Which is crazy, but I think the public starts laying money down on the Colts immediately if that is announced. I'm not an expert on this though. I dabble but I wouldn't consider myself a wiseguy or anything. Im an expert on betting the bills .... I wouldve took the colts to cover 16 points .... No way this bills team looks decent with anderson or peterman under center against indy or ne england... Just easy money 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ol Dirty B Posted October 21, 2018 Share Posted October 21, 2018 2 minutes ago, ChattanoogaBills said: Im an expert on betting the bills .... I wouldve took the colts to cover 16 points .... No way this bills team looks decent with anderson or peterman under center against indy or ne england... Just easy money I didnt touch it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
plenzmd1 Posted October 21, 2018 Share Posted October 21, 2018 25 minutes ago, ChattanoogaBills said: Im an expert on betting the bills .... I wouldve took the colts to cover 16 points .... No way this bills team looks decent with anderson or peterman under center against indy or ne england... Just easy money you are an expert betting the Bills..especially after the game is over!? I am a freaking hundred millionare if i get to bet games after they are finished! Have some stones and post before the game..not after Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChattanoogaBills Posted October 21, 2018 Share Posted October 21, 2018 (edited) My parlay today was miami +3... New England -2.... Indy -7.... Carolina +5. Of course the fish screwed me on that... But my teaser hit i had miami +15 ... New England+10.... Indy +5 ...Carolina+17... Easy money 24 minutes ago, plenzmd1 said: you are an expert betting the Bills..especially after the game is over!? I am a freaking hundred millionare if i get to bet games after they are finished! Have some stones and post before the game..not after Ok no problem... I just started posting in here... But yeah if i was making it up i would ve said i hit the parlay instead.... Matter of fact i jumped on my friends late game parlay. And its. Balt -2 1/2... Dallas -1 1/2... Rams -8 1/2 and kc/cinncy game over 56 1/2. He put up 50 and i threw 15 on it.... That will 650 if it hits. P.s. all i won was 100 on that teaser so minus the 15 for the 2nd parlay i'll get $85 tuesday. Edited October 21, 2018 by ChattanoogaBills Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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