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The Fire Bell In The Night


Tiberius

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Image result for virginia is for losersCook Report shifts GOP Rep. Dave Brat’s Virginia District to Toss-Up From Lean Republican

 

Rep. Dave Brat (R-VA) caused a stir four years ago when he defeated then-House Majority Leader Eric Cantor in the GOP primary.

 

Now Brat appears to have his own troubles as The Cook Political Report changed his Virginia’s 7th District from Lean Republican to Toss-Up.

 

(more…)

 

 

 

Still achance for sanity..................but only a small one.

 

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This week, we're updating our ratings in ten districts, mostly in Democrats' direction. We rate 58 seats as competitive (54 GOP-held, four Democratic-held), including 24 Toss Ups (22 GOP-held, two Democratic-held). Most notably, GOP Rep. Dave Brat (VA-07) joins the Toss Up column four years after taking out House Majority Leader Eric Cantor. And GOP Rep. Brian Fitzpatrick (PA-01) moves from Toss Up to Lean Republican.

If the 24 Toss Ups were to split evenly between the parties, Democrats would gain 18 seats, five short of a majority. But that doesn't take into account that there are 26 GOP-held seats in Lean Republican with strong potential to become Toss Ups, and an additional 28 GOP-held seats in Likely Republican with the potential to become more competitive. In other words, there's still a lot of upside for Democrats.

 

https://www.cookpolitical.com/index.php/analysis/house/house-overview/house-ratings-changes-10-districts-move-mostly-democrats-direction

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If given a chance to fairly record their votes in THEIR government, it looks like good Americans are turning to the Democratic Party to save the country. 

 

"But doubts about the ongoing tariff battle and about the administration’s agenda on health care, spending and immigration have changed the terrain. Rather than back the president and Republicans, the Midwest has begun to flirt with candidates who would keep them in check.

In Wisconsin, Michigan, Minnesota and Ohio, Democratic senators once thought to be endangered have rebounded and are in fairly safe positions. In House and gubernatorial races, Democrats have grown more competitive since the start of the year — especially in House districts drawn from suburbs that were thought to be safely Republican. In special elections held in the Midwest since Trump’s inauguration, Democrats have improved on their 2016 performance by an average of 11 points."

https://www.washingtonpost.com/powerpost/the-midwest-eases-its-trump-swoon-and-flirts-again-with-democratic-candidates/2018/07/15/92ef34ae-8530-11e8-8f6c-46cb43e3f306_story.html?utm_term=.68b44bf1f345

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8 hours ago, Tiberius said:

First Alabama and now Tennessee?? The Democrats have a real chance of taking a Senate seat in Tennessee

 

https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2018/senate/tn/tennessee_senate_blackburn_vs_bredesen-6308.html

 

 

 

https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/2016_elections_electoral_college_map_no_toss_ups.html

 

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