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In 10 years...


Irv

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For those that are so certain the NFL will be ok, think of what you would have said about boxing or MLB in the 80's. Sports change over time. The only thing that does not is money. The NFL will survive because the NFL has managed to do what no other sport has - appeal to everyone. The NFL has made strides to appeal to women, minorities, young, and old. NBA is close. But all other sports are closer to having niche fan bases than broad appeal.

Concussions will have an impact. Some athletes will look to other sports like Samarzdjia did but that will still be rare. Technology will advance. Maybe they do something radical like weight/size limits per position, seriously addressing PEDs, or other player safety rule implementations.

But in 10 years, I think the NFL will be as dominant as it is today relative to the other sports. I think viewership of all sports will decline, at least as how it is measured now(fan attendance and tv ratings), but NFL will still be most watched.

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as long as there is money to be made, the nfl will still be around. the game will evolve, especially the equipment and monitoring systems, but it will still be here.


Football will not be gone but it most likely will evolve from the current game. It always has. I remember back when knee injuries and Astro turf were going to be the end of everything....but now.

beat me to it.

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For those that are so certain the NFL will be ok, think of what you would have said about boxing or MLB in the 80's. Sports change over time. The only thing that does not is money. The NFL will survive because the NFL has managed to do what no other sport has - appeal to everyone. The NFL has made strides to appeal to women, minorities, young, and old. NBA is close. But all other sports are closer to having niche fan bases than broad appeal.

Concussions will have an impact. Some athletes will look to other sports like Samarzdjia did but that will still be rare. Technology will advance. Maybe they do something radical like weight/size limits per position, seriously addressing PEDs, or other player safety rule implementations.

But in 10 years, I think the NFL will be as dominant as it is today relative to the other sports. I think viewership of all sports will decline, at least as how it is measured now(fan attendance and tv ratings), but NFL will still be most watched.

 

 

the rumors of baseball's demise have been greatly exaggerated.

 

2016 was the 16th year in a row the MLB set a record for revenue...

 

2016 revenues: NFL = 13 billion, MLB = 9.5 billion....next closest is the NBA at 4.8 billion

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One thing not yet mentioned in this thread is the advancement of technology over time. CTE studies are being conducted all the time now, mainly due to awareness and lawsuits. But had these studies been conducted 20-30 years ago, the results may not have been what we see now, due to the technology at the time. Also, with increased awareness, companies are using technology to develop new, improved protective equipment. Helmets are evolving. The way players are being trained to tackle, and technique is improving.

 

The concerns about head injuries will never go away, but ways to help mitigate those injuries will continue to improve. 60 years ago, a computer took up an entire 1000 square foot room. 20 years ago, a computer was the size of a small television, and was far more advanced than they were in the 1950s. Today, we carry a hand held sized computer in our pockets, capable of taking photos and communicating with people all over the world in a nanosecond. Cars used to require you to crank them to start, then they started with a key, now they can park and drive themselves. If head injury awareness had been as prevalent in the 70s as it is now, perhaps it would be more advanced than it is now, but technology is improving at an exponential rate, so 10 years from now, it should be far more advanced, maybe to the point where the dangers of playing the sport (as well as the potential for more money to be made; OBJ made some comments recently on the matter, and the league is always doing whatever they can to increase revenue) may not "scare off" talent from playing. Players are retiring earlier now because of head injury awareness, but that may not be as much of a factor in the future as it is currently.

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I don't believe for one second football is going anywhere anytime soon (and by anytime soon I mean next 50 to 100 years at least). While there are definitly people who aren't playing the game and parents not allowing their kids to play I just don't believe it's enough to end the sport. There will always be enough football players who don't care about the risks and just want to go out and hit people to fill up the pro, college, and even most HS rosters.

 

What you may see happen is the overall talent pool dwindle a little bit. For instance, the next Tom Brady, Ladainian Tomlinson, or Calvin Johnson may be part of the group that decides the risk isn't worth it so they choose a different path than football and we never get to see them in an NFL uniform.

 

Now, if it did end in 10 years, I wonder what LA would do with that mega stadium that is being built for the Rams/Chargers.

Edited by Talley56
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I don't believe for one second football is going anywhere anytime soon (and by anytime soon I mean next 50 to 100 years at least). While there are definitly people who aren't playing the game and parents not allowing their kids to play I just don't believe it's enough to end the sport. There will always be enough football players who don't care about the risks and just want to go out and hit people to fill up the pro, college, and even most HS rosters.

 

What you may see happen is the overall talent pool dwindle a little bit. For instance, the next Tom Brady, Ladainian Tomlinson, or Calvin Johnson may be part of the group that decides the risk isn't worth it so they choose a different path than football and we never get to see them in an NFL uniform.

 

Now, if it did end in 10 years, I wonder what LA would do with that mega stadium that is being built for the Rams/Chargers.

IF the NFL were to go away in 10 years (it won't, but if it did), that behemoth would be home to the MLS team. Or maybe even a Premiere-league expansion franchise goes there in some sort of 'if you've got enough money even the relegation rules can be upended.'

sort of way.

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