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mannc

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Posts posted by mannc

  1. For each individual game, not the year. You could get all of your 2 point conversions in games that don't end up mattering (blowout loss or win) and miss them all in close games where that is the difference between a win and a loss. 50% for the year, but your record is worse. Obviously that's an extreme example.

     

    Lose ONE game because you went for a two point conversion that you didn't have to, and this whole argument goes away. In a 16 game season where every win matters, you just can't take the chance.

    This is 100% wrong. This mindset is exactly what analytics is meant to counter. If you are converting 50% of your two point tries and only 90% of your 1-pointers, then you are better off going for two every time, except in the odd situation where a 1-point conversion ices the game. That's just basic math.
  2. What logic are you trying to shove down peoples throats......that we should have taken a gamble that the weak WR crop might be better then Shaq Lawson?

     

    I guess?

     

    Or are you just crying that they will be immediately available and Shaq wont be?

     

    I will tell you what will really be funny is if Dez Lewis......who would not be getting the same looks if we had taken a WR number 1......actually turns into a player and is having a nice camp.

    Relax, John. I'm not trying cram anything down anyone's throats. I was just pointing out that taking a healthy WR at 19 was a viable option--despite what you keep calling a weak WR class--instead of taking an injured DE. It certainly would not have been a reach.
  3. Just because they were available to pick does not mean they would be better players

     

    Treadwell is SLOW.....there is a reason why these WR's fell

    I swear John, sometimes you seem to be impervious to logic...Of course the fact that three WRs came off the board almost immediately after the Bills' pick doesn't mean any of them will necessarily turn out to be better than Shaq; all it means is that it would hardly have been a reach for the Bills to have taken one of them at 19, regardless whether it was supposedly a weak overall class for WRs. Of course Shaq might turn into the next Bruce Smith and the three WRs might all bust, but it might be the other way around, too. And I'm not troubled by Treadwell's 40 times. There are plenty of really good WRs who ran "slow" 40 times at the combine--Marshall and Boldin come to mind immediately.
  4. It amazes me how down you folks are on this guy. It borders on ridicule/hatred and it also seems to be coming from some of the most avowed "optimists". Granted, Goodwin has not been healthy very often, but when he has gotten on the field, he has looked very good, IMO. As BADOL says, he needs to hone his craft, but he's extremely difficult to cover and if we can get him on the field with Sammy, it will poses serious problems for opposing defenses. I would much rather have a guy like Goidwin, even with his health issues, than someone who is durable, but lacks his speed and ability to get open.

  5.  

    Look up the "Pygmalion Effect." When leaders believe in their people, they tend to perform better. And when people believe in themselves, they tend to perform better (sometimes called the "Galatea Effect."). These two generalities have been proven in numerous studies in a number of different environments. Let's add a third observation: when people believe in the plan, they perform better. I think these are the things Rex is looking for.

     

    I don't think Rex meant that he wants a culture where there's no constructive criticism. Having read Collision Low Crossers, I don't think he's that kind of guy.

     

    More than once in his career, General Patton said something to the effect, "If 10 men are thinking alike, 9 of them aren't thinking." If Rex is in fact looking for group-think and yes-men, you're right, he's not going to build a winning environment.

    Respect has to be earned, especially in the NFL. I don't think talking big makes men want to follow you, unless you have a history of backing it up. Unfortunately, Rex hasn't "backed it up" in a long time, so the big talk isn't going to win him a lot of followers in the Bills' locker room, and neither is his fellowship with people like Rob and D Thurman.

     

    I remember something Chad Eaton, who was a really good DT on some of the early NE teams, said about Belichick: That rah rah talk doesn't work among grown men; what gets NFL players fired up is knowing your coach is smarter and better prepared than the guy on the other sideline and if you do what he says, you will probably win. The Ryans have a lot to prove in that regard, and until they do, there will be doubters, even (or maybe especially) in the locker room.

  6. I really feel as though all "targeting a defenseless player" personal foul penalties should be subject to review. It seems like whenever there is a huge hit across the middle, or somebody's hat pops off, the immediate reaction and inclination from the refs is to throw the flag. In many cases, a review of the play in slow motion reveals that the hit was perfectly clean and impeccably timed.

     

    I guess I've just seen too many drives extended by what appeared to be fantastic defensive plays that were not dirty.

    There is absolutely no reason personal fouls should not be reviewable. PI too, but that's been discussed ad nauseum.
  7. Ragland dropped because of his medical in my opinion.

    Wow, I hope not. Everything I have read said the heart issue wasn't a concern and I have never heard that was why Ragland "dropped", if in fact he did. If you are right, then we are once again counting on the Bills medical staff and/or Whaley to be correct in their medical assessment. Let's hope the other shoe doesn't drop.
  8.  

    Almost anyone can replace Whaley if all his job requires him to do is "find talent." That's not at all difficult in this day and age considering the vast amount of resources available.

     

    Besides finding a quality head coach, his job description should also entail adequate public speaking skills and not embarrassing the league or organization.

    Thank you. Of course, Whaley looks positively brilliant compared to his predecessor as Bill's GM.

  9. He has released another qualifying statement:

     

    "What I actually meant to say is that all humans are cleared to play football by our medical staff. I have complete confidence in that staff. Everyone will be a day one starter. No if something were to happen....."

    "We are at war with Eurasia. We have always been at war with Eurasia."
  10. Maybe those Lee, Lynch, and those WRs were simply not the right value on their board?

     

    It really could be that simple

    Maybe so, but if those guys become stars and Shaq doesn't, does the fact that they were "not the right value on their board" exonerate OBD?

    So you are NOT saying that Rex had influence over the picks?

     

    I'm saying that I suspect Rex had a great deal of influence over the picks at the top of the Bills' draft.

  11.  

    I'll take Whaley with his track record over some people. The medical issue is a short term setback that is simply not a reach in any rational way. Reaching is drafting a less talented player too high. Same thing with regard to Ragland who most considered a 1st round pick. I fail to see how getting a guy valued as a 1st rounder in the 2nd is a reach.

    We'll see. And let me remind you that RR was not "valued as a first rounder" by anyone who mattered, otherwise, he would not have lasted to 41. He plays a low impact, relatively easy to replace position. The Bills gave up a lot for such a player.
  12.  

    If you are reaching to draft players for need then that is absolutely a poor strategy. Is that what the Bills did? With their 1st two picks, I would say no. I liked Lee and would have been fine with the Bills taking him, but Shaq was rated higher. Paxton Lynch? No! Since Whaley has been the GM calling the shots in three drafts, they have done pretty well. Who cares about 20 years because that has zero to do with what's happening now.

    Some people think drafting Shaq at 19 with his medical issue was reaching to fill a perceived need, and that giving up two mid-round picks to move up to take a throwback ILB in the second round was another example of reaching to fill a perceived need. Same with Washington in the third. Now if these guys play really well, it's all good, but if they don't, I think someone is going to take the fall, and rightly so.
  13.  

    I'm not projecting anything. Based on the needs the Bills had, they selected players to fill those needs although I wouldn't have drafted Adolphus Washington if it were up to me. You're are providing a guarantee, but I'm the one projecting? OK, if you say so.

    You're projecting words that I never said. Drafting to fill perceived needs is not a great strategy, so that's a weak defense of these picks. If all three (or even two of them) turn into impact starters, then it was a good draft. On the other hand, if a couple of them bust, Rex/Whaley's got a problem, especially if Lee or a couple of the receivers they passed up become stars, not to mention if Paxton Lynch lights it up. We'll see. Maybe for the first time in 20 years, the Bills are smarter than the rest of the league.
  14.  

    OMG! How could they address areas of need with highly rated players? WTH were they thinking getting a guy from a great Clemson program who was rated as a top 15 prospect? Fire everyone!

    In your zeal to defend the administration, you are projecting. All I said was that it appears that Rex had a huge influence on the top of the draft; I didn't say they were bad picks, although they were not the ones I would have made. Time will tell. If it doesn't pan out, fingers will be pointed between the new BFFs, that I guarantee.
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