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mannc

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Posts posted by mannc

  1. Bradford, Kaepernick, and Fitzy are all playing a losing game where rafter last night, they are losing leverage by the minute. If Fitzy really wants to retire, ok, but if it's a tactic, all of them may get the short end of the stick.

    Yes, but their leverage will start to rise again when QBs around the league arrive at training camps, playing in (meaningless) preseason games, and start dropping like flies. Happens every year.

  2. It appears like the difference between #49 and #32 is a third round pick. What do you guys think? I'm down with it if he doesn't need micro. I mean Shaq and Jack in our front 7, and then 2 4ths, 5th and 2 6ths-sounds pretty darn good.

    Gee, assuming Jack is healthy, you don't think any other teams have the same idea, do you? I'm guessing the real value of Cleveland's pick is a lot higher than what any "trade value chart" says it is.

  3. It's a risky procedure. If it's a "he must have it in the coming year" situation, he's probably darn near as risky as jaylon. If it's a "he will last a few years" he should go quick.

     

    The 2 things I've really tried to push in his threads are micro fracture is a really rough procedure, and you have to trust your Medicals (and not rumors or fan opinion or...)

    Here in Portland, the procedure is known as "Greg Oden Surgery".
  4.  

    Ok, since it appears that some things were somewhat overlooked, let me go back and reiterate on a few things.

     

    WEAKNESSES: Elongated delivery. Struggles with accuracy on deep passes. Lacks great mobility that is increasingly valued in the NFL.

    That's three huge areas of concern, delivery, deep accuracy and lacks mobility. Then you have to take into consideration that he was playing behind an elite offensive line that gave him time to throw and that simply won't be the case in the NFL.

     

    So, if you are looking to draft the opposite of Tyrod Taylor then have at it. There are real reasons as to why Hogan has a 5th to 6th round grade. Guys like him are huge projects that have very slim odds of working out.

     

    There are legitimate concerns about Hogan, but lack of mobility is definitely not one of them. He is a highly mobile QB, especially for his size. This is backed up by his 40 times, his rushing statistics, and the fact that even in its pro-set offense, Stanford regularly called designed runs for him. Anyone who watched more than a few Stanford games over the past four years knows that Hogan's mobility is a strength rather than a limitation. He reminds me a lot of Andrew Luck in that regard.

  5. Innaresting take, and I agree in part.

    I looked up the drafting records of The League wrt the QB position going back to 1996. Over that time period 238 QBs were drafted1. The Bills drafted four QBs - nearly a League low2. However, the first QB drafted in that period was JP - yes, that JP in 2004.

     

    So, I thought I would use 2004 as the "turning point" time frame to focus on. Including the 2004 draft teams have drafted an average of 4.6 QBs.

    Taking that perspective, it seems The Bills are a little more mainstream these days. 5 teams have drafted fewer than 4 QBs in that time frame. 11 teams - including The Bills have drafted 4 QBs, 10 teams have drafted 5 QBs during that same period. While 4 teams have drafted 6 QBs and only the JESTS and Denver have broken the curve by drafting 8 in that 12 year period.

     

    These are the stats of the matter:

    Team	QBs Drafted from 2004 to 2015
    Jacksonville	2
    Dallas	2
    Seattle	3
    New Orleans	3
    Detroit	3
    Sand Diego	4
    Pittsburgh	4
    Oakland	4
    Miami	4
    Kansas City	4
    Indianapolis	4
    Houston	4
    Giants	4
    Carolina	4
    Buffalo	4
    Atlanta	4
    Washington	5
    Tennessee	5
    Tampa Bay	5
    San Fran	5
    Philadelphia	5
    Pats*	5
    Minnesota	5
    Cincinatti	5
    Chicago	5
    Arizona	5
    St Louis	6
    Green Bay	6
    Cleveland	6
    Baltimore	6
    Jets	8
    Denver	8
    

    1Edit: 238 is the correct number.

    2Edit: Dallas actually only drafted 3 Qbs since 1996.

    I hope The Bills select a QB this year.

    Very interesting. Thanks. Does put things in perspective. I note, however, that New England, who had (and still has) the ultimate Franchise QB during this time, still drafted more QBs than the Bills did.

  6.  

    I have to admit to not being a big Hogan guy at the beginning of this process...

     

    I've changed my opinion on him...And it's not just me...I think when you take the time to look at him, and what he's accomplished on the field...It's hard to ignore...When I was watching the RSP Scouting Film on Hogan Matt Waldman pretty much mirrored my initial thoughts on him...Career back-up... But after watching his tape, Waldman came away thinking better of Hogan...And so have I...And I do think he's a guy you can wait a little bit on...

     

    The one thing I've noticed about Hogan is his pocket presence...He's not afraid to step up and take a hit in order to deliver the ball...He does not rattle easily...And I think this is such a key trait in an NFL QB...After you get the accuracy (over 65% in his last 2 years combined) and arm ability checked off (Hogan's arm is passable...Not the best but certainly good enough...) the next most important trait in a NFL QB, IMHO, is the ability to stand tall in the pocket and take the hit in order to deliver the ball...You see so many of these College kids come in looking great...Then they get knocked around a bit and wilt...And then it's over...I think Hogan is a tough-guy QB...He's a winner...He's smart (reported 38 on the Wonderlic), and he's coming out of a Pro system...His arm delivery is a little weird, but it's not a wind-up...he gets rid of it fast enough...And he's definitely athletic enough...

     

    I've gone from wincing at the thought of Hogan to actually hoping the Bills Draft him...That's a long way to come... B-)

     

    https://mattwaldmanrsp.com/2015/10/06/stanford-qb-david-hogan-a-study-in-pocket-presence/

    Same here. Living on the West Coast, I have probably seen 25 Stanford games the past four years. I was not a Hogan fan after his first two years at Stanford, but he has improved a lot. I really like his toughness and the fact that he has thick, sturdy body that is able to take punishment. And I like his mobility/running ability, which I think is underrated. He would be a very good mid-round pickup for the Bills, or just about any team, for that matter.

  7. That's well-stated, HOF Watkins, unlike your "Hogan sucks and would be a wasted pick" take. I partly agree and would love to take Cardale because of his unlimited ceiling and big body. But if you don't get him, I still think a more limited guy like Hogan makes a lot of sense because I put a lot of value on a Fitz/Frank Reich-type back-up QB. I think a guy like Driskell in the sixth or seventh is interesting too. And maybe Adams in that slot, or as a UDFA.

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