dorquemada

ty. there used to be a Bills group on usenet back then (alt.sport.football.bills?) it was a long time ago but we used to post picks every week. it was kind of a thing lol

no i was referring to the guy i built the spss model with.

one of the worst things that football analysts and fans do is misunderstand the difference between correlation and causation. If you've taken any college level statistics, it's not hard to see how statistics can be manipulated to make any case you want, without any rigor of having to prove causation. This is a good example of that. Are there any other factors that might have played into the coach wanting to run more? Weather? Player skillsets? coaching comfort level and preference? running the clock out? this guy's analysis looks at what, 2 maybe 3 variables which isn't anywhere near enough. when i was taking grad level stats in the early 90s, one of the other guys and I built a football predicting algorithm in SPSS. We kept fiddling with it and applying various weights to the statistics to see how it affected the accuracy of the predictive model. We learned a few things: 1. Football games are hard to predict accurately. 2. Defensive statistics carry about 10% more predictive value than offensive statistics 3. Except for a few notable exceptions, turnover gradient (+/-) is probably the single biggest indicator of success. That was in the early 90s, the game has changed some I realize 4. After fiddling with it for 2 seasons, and plugging some historical data into the model we got it to about 68% ATS. This was when the stats came out of the world almanac because the web didn't/barely existed then I may try to resurrect my model. My wife just connected with that guy's wife on facebook, we havent been in touch in 20 years so if I can find time i'll do it. The larger point is, football is close to immune to real analysis so let's not get overwrought because one guy nobody ever heard of is caremad about allen

each AFCE team has a skilled but flawed QB, at least once Brady retires!

this was my biggest concern too, he's going to get killed. if you read the interview with him in ESPN mag, i came away feeling like he's a really smart young man with a bright future in or out of football, and if he gets his bell rung once or twice more he's going to walk away

love his tackling style too, doesn't appear to avoid hits!

solid thinking, though i'm not sure i'd give up on this season quite yet. AJM might well be an upgrade over Tryhard, and if that's the case, maybe we squeak to 9 or 10 wins? let's wait and see, if nothing else this regime has earned the benefit of the doubt

Mine will watch with me and my son, though she'll say something like "so who are the Bills going to ruin this year".

or keep trading down until we have all the picks in teh 6th and 7th round. I mean all 64 of them, and draft every punter in D1

handy andy at chipotle clearly said rosen, not tebow, sorry. i don't make the news i just report it

oh you mean a handy andy? i never can tell

sounds sciency! I'll take your word for it! you know metrotech is where jay z has his administrative office where they do the ownership stuff of the brooklyn nets so maybe that's how our gay seeming chipotle busboy got his insider info

dude that's literally the least gay thing they sell there. I looked at the menu board and said "what's the least gay thing you sell here?" and the lady behind the counter said " a big bowl of chicken and vegetable garbage, tasteless guac, and salsa milder then ketchup" so I asked for 2 of those but i had my water bottle with me so I didn't order a drink

gross. that's what everyone wants some guy with chiptole breath close to their face. barf.

im sure you're considered very handsome by your own people but not my thing, man. but by all means go to that chipotle and see what they guy tells you, maybe you get a peck on the cheek along with draft info yeah this meeting was with a government customer we're not allowed to bribe them with substandard and overpriced sort of mexican food

not to divert from the important information i shared in teh original post but chipotle sucks. i didnt get sick or anything but for 2 bowls of chicken and vegetable garbage with weak azz guac and really mild salsa it was $41. i dont even mind a little ecoli with my mexican food if it tastes good

i mean it's very possible im really handsome and had a Coach Metropolitan attache

i know crazy right? sometimes i write her emails for her. she doesnt care about football and she thought the guy was just trying to be gay at me

the execs in my company have a group of corporate chefs that cook for them and if rumor is to be believed food tasters too. my boss is a director so she just gets a crappy per diem

my boss is weirdly finicky, there's only a few places she'll eat. i think she's hoping to die soon. besides, it was just a quick lunch before heading back to penn station

so I was in Brooklyn yesterday at a high level business meeting, and afterwards my boss and I went to lunch at Chipotle in Metrotech Center. As we finished and the person clearing tables collected our trays, he whispered in my ear softly, almost sensually, "it's Rosen" so book it folks, it's Rosen

i see what you did there

oh, edgy internet atheists. thank you so much for taking the time to virtue signal to the buffalo bills fan community how stridently atheist you are! Take that, Mom and Dad!

people can also convert to Judaism. This is a dumb as hell derail, who the f cares if Rosen is a practicing Jew or not

if that's the case, I wonder what it would cost? would tampa take Buffalo's 2 firsts and a second? imo that would be worth it if mayfield was still available. i'd love to see mayfield and AJM as our QBs, there's some personality overlap there