BCAS Baritone

I'm not a draftnik, so for this exercise, I went with picks from Dane Brugler from the Athletic. I always kept the same position the Bills took, but picked the top guy at that position from Brugler's Beast article Pick 33: WR Ladd McConkey, Georgia (went pick 34 to Chargers) Pick 60: S Jaden Hicks, Washington State (went pick 133 to Chiefs (incidentally with the pick they got from the Bills)) Pick 95: DT Brandon Dorlus, Oregon (went pick 109 to Falcons) Pick 128: RB Braelon Allen, Wisconsin (went pick 134 to Jets) Pick 141: C/G Sedrick Van Pran-Granger, Georgia (Bills took the same guy) Pick 160: LB Edefuan Ulofoshio, Washington (Bills took the same guy) Pick 168: DE Gabriel Murphy, UCLA (undrafted) Pick 204: T Nathan Thomas, Louisana (went pick 233 to Dallas) Pick 219: CB Myles Harden, South Dakota (went pick 227 to Browns) Pick 221: G KT Leveston, Kansas State (went pick 254 to Rams)

I think one reason they focused on leadership and character so much in this draft is not because they expect these guys to come in and be instant leaders. But because they lost so much leadership this year, there's not nearly as much left in the locker room to take a guy that might be more of a head case and steer him in the right direction. If the locker room leadership has thinned out, better to take guys that you know will put in the work themselves and take responsibilities themselves. Once you've built that up again you have a better chance of channeling somebody that might be more of a hot head.

Yeah, I am a big time devotee of Matt Harmon and Reception Perception ever since he touted Allen Robinson before his breakout year. But everybody has a bias, and Matt's bias is in favor of guys getting open. Not a crazy bias to have when it comes to receivers. But it isn't the only thing to consider. And Matt's analysis can't take into consideration team fit. Almost every other guy people are touting here in this spot is a smaller receiver, either faster or shiftier. But we already have two guys in that mold - Samuel and Shakir. The need here is for a bigger receiver (i.e. a replacement for Gabe Davis, and preferably an upgrade). An upgrade that is making a couple million a year instead of 12 or 13 million a year. But as you also point out, Matt's analysis is of a point in time. Will this guy become better (or worse) over the next couple of years? Harmon can't say. He can show you the law of averages, but the law of averages says that QB's that have accuracy issues in college NEVER get more accurate in the pros. At least it used to say that until Josh Allen cam along. Now the consensus is that every big-armed QB with accuracy issues in college will definitely get more accurate in the pros, so you might as well make all of them first round picks.

Well, we know that the Bills had Top 30 meetings with Brian Thomas Troy Franklin Xavier Worthy and a private workout with Xavier Legette So they obviously gave serious consideration to those guys, and for whatever reason decided that they were OK with trading away the pick for Worthy and Legette. Beane indicated they never tried that hard to trade up for Thomas. So they seem to have come to a group conclusion that Coleman was their guy. You can't just say they saw "ooh big guy let's pick him" - they weighed everybody's pros and cons and said Coleman is the guy we want. Now we have to just hope they were right.

I don't think that is a fair evaluation of Coleman. The non-separating part is true, and obviously the biggest knock on Coleman. But I think his hands are better. We also don't know if he will do better on those option routes than Davis did. There are several all-time bloopers involving Gabe Davis over the years that you don't see from other receivers around the league. Maybe the problem really is Josh and not Gabe, or the OC and not Gabe, but at the moment I am leaning toward it's more Gabe's fault than the others. If those all-time bloopers turned into catches, then Gabe's name would be on the Wall in a few years. Also, Coleman's young age and relative lack of experience give him room to grow. I can't imagine he'll ever be Stefon Diggs in terms of route-running, but if he can be coached up to become an average separator, while still retaining his highlight reel catches, then we could have something special. Just being bigger than the CB standing next to you does help you win some of those contested catches. Other than the big 3 this year, every WR in the draft had something that made you say "yeah, he's good at that, but not so good at this". Some of those guys will get better at that second thing and become stars, and some will not get better at that second thing while also getting worse at the first thing and will be a bust. I've seen analysts that I respect say Coleman will be a stud, and also other analysts that I respect say he will be a bust. Which is also true of every WR drafted after the big 3. If we had a healthy and happy Stefon DIggs still on the roster I doubt we would have picked Coleman or anybody else at WR with our top pick. Like almost everybody on this board, I definitely wanted a double dip at WR, and I really am baffled that it never happened. So that part of the "meh" evaluation I agree with. But I've always maintained that the most important thing is to not have a weak link anywhere on the field. If your top 11 on both offense and defense are at least average at every position, you can still win a lot of games with that. But turn one of those into a below average guy, even if you also turn an average guy into a star, you will probably lose more than you win. Attacking the weak link is the surest path to victory.

One of the PFF talking heads said he thought Ray Davis was the 3rd RB for him. He was sixth RB on the PFF big board.

I think we are looking at special teamers. We've had one of the more expensive special teams group for a while, and that would be an easy place to get younger and cheaper.

3 time team captain. Supposed to have amazing bull rush, but not much otherwise in terms of moves.

It would only make sense if there are at least 2 or 3 guys with tie grades

We are in range for a single fifth rounder to trade up here

Listening to the PFF guys, they said WR Franklin is falling because he had a terrible Gauntlet in the combine - they said he looked like he was running the slalom

The PFF guys didn't like it - they gave him a poor grade in their system

Well, we are in range where you could trade two fith rounders plus 60 to move up

From what I've heard, yes. Beane says he did have to tell Jax that Kincaid was the guy they were picking. It's probably what happens at minute 13 or 14 of the clock. Before that it's just general position stuff. But the final Q is name the player - and the etiquette would be if you turn down the deal at that point, it's because that's the guy you are picking and you go ahead and do it.

Chiefs get 28 and 133 and 248 Bills get 32 and 95 and 221 So move up from 4th round to 3rd round

trade with KC

Andre Reed would like a word with you ...

Many Chiefs fans who suffered frostbite at bitter cold playoff game need amputations https://fox4kc.com/news/70-of-chiefs-fans-who-suffered-frostbite-at-bitter-cold-playoff-game-need-amputations/ Yikes!

George Blanda https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/George_Blanda He was 43 when he relieved Daryl Lamonica in the AFC Championship game. He played another 5 years but only as a kicker.

I had SF 2 and KC 9. Just needed SF to get the stop in OT. Now another reason to hate the Chiefs

https://www.clevelandbrowns.com/news/ken-dorsey-named-browns-offensive-coordinator

At the rate things are going, I will have to rise from the dead.

I am so grateful that most AFC games are on CBS

More threads: Is Harbuagh growing stale? is he a problem? https://forum.russellstreetreport.com/showthread.php?251213-Is-Harbuagh-growing-stale-is-he-a-problem John　Harbaugh　is　a　repeat　offender https://forum.russellstreetreport.com/showthread.php?259580-John%26%2312288%3BHarbaugh%26%2312288%3Bis%26%2312288%3Ba%26%2312288%3Brepeat%26%2312288%3Boffender Can’t even really blame the Coaches https://forum.russellstreetreport.com/showthread.php?259480-Can%92t-even-really-blame-the-Coaches 6 total carries! https://forum.russellstreetreport.com/showthread.php?259549-6-total-carries! We are overreacting. The Chiefs have gone to the Super Bowl 4 of the last 5 seasons. https://forum.russellstreetreport.com/showthread.php?259558-We-are-overreacting-The-Chiefs-have-gone-to-the-Super-Bowl-4-of-the-last-5-seasons