WNYFAN1

Sure, there's context and my comment was obviously a bit sarcastic. But it is literally the answer to the op's question.

Don't lead the league in turnovers

And frankly they should absolutely be 3-4 right now. They are beyond lucky to have won that Giants game.

https://buffalonews.com/sports/bills/buffalo-bills-josh-allen-jim-kubiak-new-york-jets-nfl/article_2ab50af4-5284-11ee-9e80-c37aaa8bc4ee.html#tracking-source=home-top-story I want this guy grading my papers!

Was Allen's 2020 regular season performance the high water mark of his career? Time will tell.

~50% of cap spent on the top five highest-paid players: Allen - 17.54 Diggs - 8.94 Miller - 8.21 White - 7.16 Dawkins - 6.54

Every team "dealt with things that were also outside of expectations"

Seems to me like the Bills under-performed most expectations. Why is he in this list?

Agreed. Just follow the rule on the books. Done.

Agreed. But... When a team invests a six-year, 258 million dollar contract in one player, well that will necessarily prohibit them from making other investments in the team. There's only x dollars to go around. And no, he's not the "entire offense". Take away Diggs, how's the offense?

"yet the only thing that matters is the post season" Manage more than 6 points vs the worst team in the league and that game against KC is in Buffalo.

Sure, the numbers could be different due to the weather. Rushing regular season stats: 2020 - 421 yrds, 4.1 avg/carry, 8tds, 4 fumbles 2021 - 763 yrds, 6.3 avg/carry, 9tds, 5 fumbles So yeah, improvement as a runner in the regular season. But do we have to also put that in context? Lack of an actual running game, bad weather, etc? Bottom line, he was #2 in the NFL regular season in 2020 in QBR. He was #6 in 2021. That's a drop-off, relative to the rest of the league. Again, these are regular season comparisons. Postseason was outstanding.

Disagree. During the entirety of the regular season it was absolutely a step back compared with the 2020 regular season. He was a legit MVP candidate in 2020 and received votes. He dropped off in nearly every metric in 2021 and, unsurprisingly, the Bills regular season record was significantly worse than 2020. 2020 - 4,544 yrds, 7.9avg, 69.2% completion, 37 td, 10 int, 76.6 QBR, 107.2 RT 2021- 4,407 yrds, 6.8avg, 63.3% completion, 36 td, 15 int, 60.6 QBR, 92.2 RT The numbers don't lie. Amazing postseason performance and something to build on. That being said, a better regular season performance (obviously not just him), and this team is home for the entirety of the playoffs.

Agreed. He took a step back in the 2021 regular season relative to 2020. But excellent in the two playoff games.

So he did make a massive improvement over these two postseason games relative to last season, but the regular season was a statistical step back 2020 - 4,544 yrds, 7.9avg, 69.2% completion, 37 td, 10 int, 76.6 QBR, 107.2 RT 2021- 4,407 yrds, 6.8avg, 63.3% completion, 36 td, 15 int, 60.6 QBR, 92.2 RT Still great numbers, but it's definitely a regression relative to the 2020 regular season.

The defense being number 1 was a mirage. This is an excellent read: https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/the-buffalo-bills-got-the-least-bang-for-their-schedules-buck-this-season/ "It turns out that teams that face a slate of bad QBs tend to win more games. While that’s not surprising, it’s comforting to verify that our assumptions about the importance of QB play are sound. If we build a simple model using data from 2006 through Week 17 of 2021 to predict a team’s regular-season win percentage and use Total Quarterback Rating of the opponent as the only predictor, we can generate an estimate of what a team’s win percentage should be.5 We can then use the model to identify teams that have underperformed relative to the strength of their opposing QB schedule. Using this approach, the biggest disappointment in the NFL this year is the Buffalo Bills. With the regular season nearly over, in 2021 the Bills faced the worst collection of quarterbacks by Total QBR since at least 2006, our first year with QBR data. Yet despite having the great fortune to face a historically weak set of opposing QBs, Buffalo didn’t turn its advantage into wins at the rate we would expect. Given its opponent QBR of 25.4 through Week 17, its win percentage of 62.5 is 15.8 percentage points lower than expected — the biggest dropoff among teams that have clinched playoff spots."

Check this out from Fivethirtyeight: https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/the-buffalo-bills-got-the-least-bang-for-their-schedules-buck-this-season/ This may explain some of that "high disparity" mentioned by the op.