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Einstein

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Everything posted by Einstein

  1. Doing what is best for your team includes the chess-style component of playing defense against your competition. Doing what is best for your team includes doing what is within your ability to block your greatest competition from improving their team. Remember when Bill Belichick poison-pilled Wes Welker and screwed Miami? Remember when the Chargers selected Eli Manning just so they could block another team from getting him and therefore forcing a windfall of capital? There are many examples really. There is an element of game theory in the NFL that great teams use to their advantage.
  2. Listing exceptions to the rule does not negate the rule. They are called exceptions for a reason. Higher round draft picks are not valued more and cost more for no reason. It is because players chosen in those rounds are statistically more likely to succeed. I recently read a statistical analysis that looked at draft picks up to 2015. WR’s drafted in the 1st and 2nd round had an approximately 50% success rate. As soon as the 3rd round hit, the success rate plummeted to 25%. The 4th round then plummeted to 12%. The last few rounds were around 10% and less if I recall correctly. The players you listed are exceptions to the rule. Ps, by “success”, the analysis was simply looking at WR’s who started for at least half of their career. So the barrier to be “successful” was pretty low, and it was STILL plummeted after the 2nd round.
  3. It doesn’t make me happy at all. We handed the Chiefs who they wanted and it only gained us moving up 1 round. This is the team we are chasing. It has universally mocked by pundits and rightfully so. We can only hope that Worthy doesn’t become a stud, but that is hardly the point in my opinion. I am not interesting in making it any easier for the team we are chasing to obtain the player they want. Maybe they still get him anyway, but it shouldn’t be due to us handing the player to them. If they want to trade with us, it should come with a large tax.
  4. This is called copium. We’ve all been there. Colemans issue was never really smoothness. His problem is that he has no ability to seperate. Thats the issue. And none of his YouTube videos ever showed that getting better. He makes up for it by being incredibly skilled at adjusting to the ball and catching in contested spaces.
  5. Exactly right. Appeal to authority. A logical fallacy that is littered throughout this forum. People assume that being an NFL GM makes that person a “draft expert”. As if they don’t know that even the best GM’s are right no more than half the time at best. As if they don’t know that HOF general managers like Bill Polian had entire drafts that were terrible. It happens. In my opinion, this is the worst draft (so far) i’ve seen a Bills front office make in a very long time. I may be proven wrong. I HOPE i’m proven wrong. But that is how I feel as of today. And it is coming at the worst possible time - when we needed a very strong draft to recoup the litany of players we lost.
  6. The game is rapidly changing. I fear it will be unrecognizable in a decade.
  7. I won’t pretend to have any prior knowledge on this player, because I don’t. But from what i’m reading on Reddit and beyond (most of which was posted a month or more ago), he really struggled to get separation in college. Which means he will likely struggle to get separation in the NFL. And lack of separation is already an issue in our offense.
  8. I don't think we have four 4ths. I'm pretty sure we went into yesterday with 2 and traded one. So I think we have 1 fourth left.
  9. At this point, I would trust KC’s front office over ours. A front office that has rebuilt their entire defense and o-line into top 10 units in only two off-seasons. A front office that jumped in front of us to take McDuffie, while we took Elam. A front office that traded with us to take Mahomes. I like Beane - I think we could do a lot worse than Brandon - but if I HAD to bet on who is right and who is wrong at a premature hour, I would have to bet on the Chiefs front office simply based on recent history alone.
  10. We didn’t really get an extra 3rd round pick. We traded a 4th for a 3rd, so we essentially moved up half a round. Thats a lot different than keeping our picks and gaining a 3rd. I would have been fine trading with anyone else. I hate that they traded with KC.
  11. Yeah I have much less of a problem with trading down than I do with WHO they traded down with.
  12. But lose an entire year of cap savings. That part is left out.
  13. Maybe we can trade #33 to KC for a box of crackers.
  14. I just realize we didn’t gain a 3rd from KC. We also had to give them a 4th. So we essentially moved up half a round in exchange for giving them the WR they wanted. Unreal.
  15. For what it’s worth, I didn’t want Worthy either. I believe he plays much slower in pads than the 40 time shows. But you just don’t trade with your nemesis. You don’t trade with the team that already took a HOF QB from you. You don’t trade with a team that has beaten you in the playoffs 3 of the past 4 years. You don’t trade with a team you’re trying to catch! I hate this so much. And all for a 3rd round pick? We better hope and pray i’m right about Worthy and he doesn’t turn into Tyreek Hill 2.0. If that happens and we gave up Mahomes AND Hill 2.0 … oofta.
  16. Perhaps we should! KC’s front office moves have bested ours for years now. I trust their front office more than our own.
  17. Analysts are just destroying this trade. “Very very confusing move by the Bills”. I may have lost my last shred of hope in this front office. The Chiefs have routinely bested us in roster building and playoff success and you TRADE WITH THEM? If Worthy becomes the next Tyreek (I have my doubts), we will never live this down.
  18. I hate trading with them just on principle. I am disgusted.
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