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Everything posted by Beck Water
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Kurt Warner Breakdown of Josh Allen in the Miami Game
Beck Water replied to JohnRVA's topic in The Stadium Wall
Jim Kubiak talks about some of the same plays that Warner breaks down. https://buffalonews.com/sports/bills/jim-kubiak-how-tight-end-and-running-back-high-low-concept-helped-bills-qb-josh/article_df25bcb2-7ffe-11ed-bc7e-0354648364b9.html On some, he sees the same things. On others, he either doesn't, or doesn't comment on them. Kubiak on the strip sack: They both comment that there was an easy completion to Cole, and that the strip sack resulted from Josh buying time and looking for a deep throw when an easy completion was there. And I think that's a theme that critics of our OL need to consider. They are sometimes giving Josh more than enough time to make a completion - they just aren't always able to give Josh enough time to make the deeper completion he's trying to hit. And that's compounded by defenses studying Allen's tendencies, because they know they can plaster the deeper options and give less attention to the shallow throws as Allen won't take them. Where Warner and Kubiak differ in what they see/say, I think a HOF QB who got there due to his abilities to read the field and manipulate defenders might see options Navy's best QB misses, and his interpretation is at least worth hearing and considering - but YMMV. And BTW, Warner did not always have the benefit of a great OL. Some years yes, some years no. -
I’m starting to get extremely frustrated with Dorsey.
Beck Water replied to FireChans's topic in The Stadium Wall
I think there are elements of truth to this, but there is also a valid point (also one made by Warner) that at times, guys are in fact open and Allen isn't taking the "Easy" button he is offered. -
Josh Allen doesn’t like Domed stadium supports open air
Beck Water replied to BuffaloBills1998's topic in The Stadium Wall
I guess it must be in the "ear of the beholder". He never said "I would much prefer to play in a dome" He said things like "we have a pretty strong passing offense" and "of course, it's easier to pass consistently in a dome". -
Kurt Warner Breakdown of Josh Allen in the Miami Game
Beck Water replied to JohnRVA's topic in The Stadium Wall
Link where Warner or Cosell called us the “deepest roster by far”? Or Simms for that matter Not at all sure it’s the same pundits I think Warner watches the Bills a lot -
Updated Beasley signing to practice squad
Beck Water replied to Niagara Dude's topic in The Stadium Wall
Can we please Stop with suggesting RBs play slot receiver? Cook has been a mixed bag when asked to run routes -
Josh Allen doesn’t like Domed stadium supports open air
Beck Water replied to BuffaloBills1998's topic in The Stadium Wall
none, sorry. Various interviews around the time the stadium deal was being negotiated. Pat Mcafee, Kyle Brandt, etc -
Wrestlers are like Honey Badger when faced with outsized opponents. They don't care. #52 tomahawk chopped at Josh's right arm and wrenched at his elbow, AFTER he was out of bounds. Sometimes it can be hard for one player to avoid running into another, but he didn't have to do that; that action isn't hard to avoid.
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Josh Allen doesn’t like Domed stadium supports open air
Beck Water replied to BuffaloBills1998's topic in The Stadium Wall
I think all the Bills players have been told that the new stadium will not be a dome and they need to support the "company line" that Football is meant to be played in weather. The part of Cali Josh is from ain't Orange County with its 50 degree to 80 degree normal; it gets up towards 110 in the summer and down to freezing (low 30s) in the winter. But you're correct that in the past, before the stadium plans were announced, Josh implied a strong preference for a dome. -
I will say this for McDermott: he is absolutely unafraid to insert his body between 6'6" 300 lb humans having an "exchange of personal views"
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The thing that impresses me is how horribly Knox is being held in the EZ on the series resulting in the TD to Cook. WTF man? Refs were letting Miami just maul him. Knox actually went to the ground, threw the DB off then got up and turned around to get open.
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Week 16: Bills at Bears on Christmas Eve
Beck Water replied to YoloinOhio's topic in The Stadium Wall
Doesn't have conversion % that I can find, but does have a lot of information on run vs pass in different situations and yardages https://www.pro-football-reference.com/teams/buf/2022_splits.htm I'd like to see a 3rd and short conversion % myself -
Week 16: Bills at Bears on Christmas Eve
Beck Water replied to YoloinOhio's topic in The Stadium Wall
We execute designed QB run plays for Allen. I can't give you a breakdown of how much of his yards are designed runs vs scrambles, but designed QB runs are a not inconsiderable part of the run yardage Allen gains. It's not correct to characterize "most of those rushing yards are Allen scrambling". For another thing, while Allen is the team's leading rusher, don't confuse that with "Allen generates most of the team's rushing yards". As you can see from the table in the link above, about 63% (almost 2/3) of the Bills rush yards come from rushers not named Josh Allen. It's a fair point that Allen is a large part of our run game, but you don't just get to define Allen's runs out of the picture and say "we have no run game and can barely run". That would be like saying "except for this and that long play, the Bills D didn't give up any yards". All the yards our D gives up count; All the rush yards we gain, whether from other backs or from Allen, count. That means we're 8th in the league at running the ball. I'm afraid you need to show some data to back this statement up. First of all, as tabulated elsewhere and linked above, the majority of the Bills rush yards still come from the RBs. Therefore this statement is false, and you should stop making it. Second, for the ~36-37% of the Bills rush yards that Allen generates, you'd need to show that the majority of them are scrambles, and not designed QB runs or "keeps" on read-options or RPOs in order to make your case. -
Week 16: Bills at Bears on Christmas Eve
Beck Water replied to YoloinOhio's topic in The Stadium Wall
Why are you feeding this guy the attention he plainly craves so deeply and stirs the ***** so hard to achieve? -
Josh Allen limited in Tuesday practice
Beck Water replied to Joe Ferguson's topic in The Stadium Wall
Initially, Josh said eventually it would get to a point where he wouldn't have to worry about it any more. More recently, he said it was something they would have to manage for the forseeable future My concern is that it has to do with a hard helmet he took to his elbow during a run. He's been wearing a brace to protect his elbow. This week and I think last week he was not wearing the brace. -
I don't know of such a site, but it's not hard to pull them out of the box scores on Pro-football-reference. Do it on a computer or other program where you can search, and search for "fumbles" and "aborted"
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The big difference between this year and last, are fumbles on the QB-C exchange. There have been 4 of these, either while Morse has been out, or when he's returned with an elbow injury. One resulted in a TD for the opponent Breakdown: QB-C exchange (aka aborted snap) 4 Strip sack 6 Run 2 One of the fumbles on a run resulted in a TD for us - Josh picked it up and went on to score. One of the aborted snaps, as we all know, resulted in a TD for Minn. A couple of the strip sacks were a result of a whiffed block, not necessarily by an OLman. But at least half are Josh trying to extend plays.
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Week 16: Bills at Bears on Christmas Eve
Beck Water replied to YoloinOhio's topic in The Stadium Wall
He took a pretty hard helmet hit right on his elbow during one of his runs Might have been a bad move to take the brace off just yet -
Week 16: Bills at Bears on Christmas Eve
Beck Water replied to YoloinOhio's topic in The Stadium Wall
I don't think that at all. It's one thing to be able to run and even do a ladder agility drill. It's another thing to have the muscle built back up to where he can cut and stop without possible re-injury It's possible in theory but, at the time he was first injured there were some articles about similar injuries where the WR came back quickly and was not able to be as effective Pretty sure I read all about how Hamlin totally sucks and is a liability, elsewhere on this site -
Week 16: Bills at Bears on Christmas Eve
Beck Water replied to YoloinOhio's topic in The Stadium Wall
LOL did you read the article? The study is comparing games played at or below 50 degrees F vs games played at 70 F -
Week 16: Bills at Bears on Christmas Eve
Beck Water replied to YoloinOhio's topic in The Stadium Wall
An infinite # of times when said people are functionally trolls who are here to stir *****....... It has nothing to do with living in Amherst. I used to live right down the street from SUNY Amherst and I understood lake effect snow. -
Week 16: Bills at Bears on Christmas Eve
Beck Water replied to YoloinOhio's topic in The Stadium Wall
Since the NFL doesn't GAF about player safety from heat stroke (as witness the sideline in Miami) what makes you think they will GAF about dangerous wind-chill? -
Actually I think only 1 of our 6 losses last year was a blowout (Colts game). The rest were one score games, 2 were games a FG would have tied. Apparently mentioning the Devil's Lettuce is an excellent way to ensure that it becomes the topic of discussion, and your football thoughts flitter away with little remark
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Kurt Warner Breakdown of Josh Allen in the Miami Game
Beck Water replied to JohnRVA's topic in The Stadium Wall
Agree completely Exactly. The Bills punted 5 times and had a strip-sack fumble where Josh was trying to extend the play. We ended the game with an absolutely BRILLIANT ~6 minute, 15 play drive. But get points on even 1 or 2 of those drives that ended in punts, and we're just eating clock on that last drive, not depending upon it to win. No one said anything about "without moving". -
Kurt Warner Breakdown of Josh Allen in the Miami Game
Beck Water replied to JohnRVA's topic in The Stadium Wall
Dude! Warner understands man zero. Do you seriously think you see things on film that a HOF QB is missing? Really? His point is - there isn't a free blitzer, there's a spy. You have a point that our blocking is not bulletproof, but they were good enough to give Allen time for a quick shot all game. "Manipulate the spy and take the quick shot to the RB" is a realistic option with the blocking time our guys are able to give. Rolling right out of the pocket to give the spy a clear path at the QB has its own risks. -
Kurt Warner Breakdown of Josh Allen in the Miami Game
Beck Water replied to JohnRVA's topic in The Stadium Wall
If you're talking about the first play Warner diagrams, which was the Bills 2nd drive, it's 1st and 10 to McKenzie and that's Diggs at the sticks. Warner's point is that by the time Allen manipulates the CB with his eyes to come up on Diggs and open McKenzie, the safety has closed. You're also I think missing Warner's point about Allen moving right. His point is that because there's a guy spying Allen, when Allen rolls right unnecessarily (protection is good), he takes the spy right into Singletary's path and cancels what would otherwise be an easy throw over the middle of the field with lots of space for Singletary to get the touch. Count noses: Warner is correct, there is absolutely NOBODY HOME who could prevent it, IF Allen stays in the pocket and maybe even looks left a little to freeze the spy. It's great Allen completes the "dime" to Morris, and it's 1st and 10 so as long as Allen doesn't throw a pick we have 2 more shots if he doesn't. But it's no way poor analysis by Warner. We complain all the time about our drives in the red zone stalling out and having to settle for FG. Warner is correctly pointing out the easy shot the play is designed to scheme open against that defense, and how Allen is taking that very easy shot away from himself by rolling to the R when he doesn't have to. You don't have to agree with Warner all the time (I don't), but I'm surprised you can't even be open minded enough to give him a full listen. He 100% Knows His Ball. He watches Josh Allen a lot - I would say at this point he's even somewhat fascinated with Allen because of Josh's abilities to do things he knows he couldn't have done. But that doesn't mean he doesn't see different choices Allen could make that would be easier and sometimes higher % thus better.