FireChans

I mean, there’s a very simple way to keep cap spending down on WRs. Draft them early and often and don’t pay them.

Have we hopped off the Stallworth comparison so soon

they have to play well for one half after spotting a backup QB 20 points. And listen. You get that entire sweet deal and all you have to do is hand out a bunch of $80M deals on defense and draft exclusively a million defensive players every season.

I posted his pace from Tampa - end of the regular season of all the games he played, not his totals. how is it that Brady doesn’t know how to use WRs but his 2023 efficiency was awesome? Did Brady forget how to use him? Did Brady first forget Diggs instead of Shakir, and not forget how to use him until 2024? We have a ton of evidence that this is who Shakir is at this point. We have zero evidence that he would be a 1100 or 1200 yard receiver elsewhere.

We may be saying that about the Waddle trade FWIW.

I know that's your take, but I also think that's wrong. Shakir's #1 target threat here is Keon Coleman, a guy who has been benched for 2 games. I don't know where you think he is getting a couple extra hundred yards of production from with a legitimate threat across from him. In fact, we even have evidence of what it looks like when Shakir has a true #1 he's behind, even one whose role and target share in the offense diminished. In 2023, with Diggs. Shakir from the TB game in 2023 - end of the season, with a true #1 and Gabe Davis, was on a 52 catch and 911 yard pace. In 2024, his pace was 86 catch and 930 yards. Today, he is on a 83 catch and 871 yard pace. This is who he is. When he becomes more of a focal point, his insane efficiency drops. When he has even a lower-end #1 WR, his efficiency jumps, but he doesn't get the target share. I suspect if you eliminated every bubble screen or gadget play we have dished out to him, his target total would look a lot like his 2023 season with Diggs. Because it's just not that simple to get him targets without manufacturing them. This reminds me a lot of arguing that Stevie Johnson would be even better with other legitimate WRs. But the fact of the matter is that #2 and #3 WR's very rarely put up more volume numbers when they have a true #1 across from them unless they are basically superstars themselves. The second we brought in a Robert Woods-type, Stevie's counting numbers dropped like a rock. A guy across from Shakir getting 140 targets isn't going to get him an extra 20.

I don’t find tanking to be as egregious in football as it is in other sports. Really don’t understand the need to reinvent the wheel here. The Titans deserve the #1 pick because they are garbage.

It’s also shocking when the benefit of having 4-5 geezers on the team that “know the system” still are having a ton of confusion out there. That’s supposed to be the one clear benefit.

I didn’t mean to imply you did either, but I do recall us having an argument on where Shakir maxes out on the efficiency/volume curve, and I was of the opinion that 2024 was the ceiling.

Wouldn’t it be nice to maybe have our defense force a TO or 2 in Houston’s territory? Just a bridge too far to ask the defense to meaningfully impact the game on a day the offense is struggling against the best defense in football.

It actually is. Josh Allen needs to single-handedly boat-race the #1 defense in football, while his overpaid defense and mastermind HC are just passengers on the bus.

Fine. The Texans having 20 points at half was their highest point total at half at home all season. They hadn’t scored more than 12 at half at home all year. Allowing those all too familiar “inexcusable” errors to let their GREAT defense tee off on Josh for the entire second half is the entire point. If you told me the worst possible way that game could go, that would be it. That’s NOT complementary football.

A team that averaged 22 points per game had 20 at half with their back up QB.

Yeah this is maxed out Shakir like I tried to tell @Alphadawg7 last year. He has talent and I like what he offers, but he is not good enough to be a focal point from the slot like a prime Kupp or JSN or ARSB.

The Bills have really fundamentally failed at paying players for what they are going to provide in the future. Bernard had a great second year and was up and down since. Benford was coming off concussions x2 after a great year. Rousseau is a solid DE that hadn’t grown into an impact player at the EDGE. And Beano paid them all AHEAD OF SCHEDULE, (to hilarious applause.) This is the obvious downside of the strategy. Basically none of these contracts look particularly good right now and we are locked into this crew for the next 2 years at least. I said it at the time and I’ll say it again. If you are going to lock up these players and your future financial flexibility over the longer term as your “major” move of the offseason, you CAN’T be wrong. You hamstring the team otherwise.