Backintheday544

On your second point, without numbers, I feel Republicans don't go 3rd party as much historically.

Not going to lie, I've been wanting to say this for awhile. Post Hillary Republicans would say everything was...well that's why Hillary lose the election. This right here. This idea. This is why Trump will lose the election. Polls show it. Trump was going to win prior to COVID.

Trump in his town hall says he can't remember if he was tested for COVID before his debate. For all the talk about Biden not 100 percent mentally, it seems these past years we got a ton of I can't recall answers from Republicans.

His story makes 0 sense and he wasn't able to keep his story straight when interviewed. Plus the guy is a huge Trump supporter. With all the fishyness in the story, there is no way Trump supporters would beleive this story.

Imagine all the tax issues if they got rid of gay marriage. So many people would need to amend to file single and most likely pay higher taxes. Or the IRS could do it for them. Then you have all the states as well.

Is that though? The person who had the laptop doesn't seem to have his story straight: Throughout the interview, Mac Isaac switched back and forth from saying he reached out to law enforcement after viewing the files in the laptop to saying that it was actually the Federal Bureau of Investigation that contacted him. At one point, Mac Isaac claimed that he was emailing someone from the FBI about the laptop. At another point he claimed a special agent from the Baltimore office had contacted him after he alerted the FBI to the device’s existence. At another point, he said the FBI reached out to him for “help accessing his drive.” Mac Isaac referenced the infamous Seth Rich conspiracy theory—which holds that a DNC staffer who police say was murdered in a botched robbery was actually killed off by Clinton allies because he leaked committee emails—as reason for his paranoia. He said he made a copy of the hard drive for the purposes of personal protection. “They probably knew I had a copy because I was pretty vocal about not wanting to get murdered,” he said, “so I’m going to have a copy.” Mac Isaac refused to answer specific questions about whether he had been in contact with Rudy Giuliani before the laptop drop-off or at any other time before the Post article’s publication. Pressed on his relationship with Giuliani, he replied: “When you’re afraid and you don’t know anything about the depth of the waters that you’re in, you want to find a lifeguard.” Seeming to realize he’d said too much, he added: “Ah, *****.” -------- Bidens official calendar also doesn't have anything about a meeting. We know how much the right care about calendars after the Kavanaugh hearing.

Yes they do. Golan Sachs even modelled that a blue wave would be better for the economy than a Trump win: https://markets.businessinsider.com/news/stocks/stock-market-outlook-biden-blue-wave-boost-growth-goldman-sachs-2020-10-1029649255 Getting back on topic, 538's model now has Biden at an 87 percent chance of victory https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2020-election-forecast/ For reference, Hilary was about a 70 percent change on election night in 2016.

Seems like the issue with online reviews. People are more likely to leave a negative review than a positive one.

https://www.businessinsider.com/trump-giuliani-joe-biden-ukraine-burisma-loophole-2019-9

Looking more into it, the source of the story seems far from legit: https://www.yahoo.com/news/man-reportedly-gave-hunter-laptop-195252616.html Social media postings indicate that Mac Isaac is an avid Trump supporter, and voted for him in the 2016 election. Mac Isaac said he had a medical condition that prevented him from actually seeing who dropped off the laptop but that he believed it to be Hunter Biden’s because of a sticker related to the Beau Biden Foundation that was on it. He said that Hunter Biden actually dropped off three laptops for repair, an abundance of hardware that he chalked up to the Biden son being “rich.” Throughout the entire interview, Mac Isaac switched back and forth from saying he reached out to law enforcement after viewing the files in the laptop to saying that it was actually the Federal Bureau of Investigation that reached out to him. At one point, Mac Isaac claimed that he was emailing someone from the FBI about the laptop. At another point he claimed a special agent from the Baltimore office had contacted him after he alerted the FBI to the device’s existence. At another point, he said the FBI reached out to him for “help accessing his drive.” Mac Isaac referenced the infamous Seth Rich conspiracy theory—which holds that a DNC staffer who police say was murdered in a botched robbery was actually killed off by Clinton allies because he leaked committee emails—as reason for his paranoia. He said he made a copy of the hard drive for purposes of personal protection. “They probably knew I had a copy because I was pretty vocal about not wanting to get murdered,” he said, “so I’m going to have a copy.” Mac Isaac refused to answer specific questions about whether he had been in contact with Rudy Giuliani before the laptop drop-off or at any other time before the Post’s publication. Pressed on his relationship with Giuliani, he replied: “When you’re afraid and you don’t know anything about the depth of the waters that you’re in, you want to find a lifeguard.” Seeming to realize he’d said too much, he added: “Ah *****.”

Has he? He seems more like a Rick Wilson when the Russia stuff was going on.

If true, it's the craziest story ever. Some computer tech, a year ago gets a laptop that is water damaged for repair. The laptop has the emails. In a year, no one comes back to get the laptop. Then it somehow goes through Rudy G and Steve Bannon. Oh and the guy who has the laptop is an avid Trump supporter.

Bombshell report about Trump getting $10,000,000 from an Egyptian bank that led to at least a 3 year Federal investigation: https://www.cnn.com/2020/10/14/politics/trump-campaign-donation-investigation/index.html

To add on to this, since the undecideds are very few this year's that shouldn't create such a big swing in 2020.

Trump won Wisconsin by 23,000 votes last time. Gary Johnson and Jill Stein got 138,000 votes in Wisconsin last time, where polling shows those were people most likely to support a Dem candidate not named Hillary. (A lot of 3rd party support in 16 came from people thinking Hilary would win so they could vote 3rd party.) There is no major 3rd party candidate to take Dem votes this time, so Biden should be favored (polls show it as well). The Republicans pushed hard with lawsuits to get Kanye West on the ballot in Wisconsin because of the above. However, Wisconsin's fate my have hung on the several seconds Kanye's republican team was late getting the signatures to the proper place.

Simpsons give a good breakdown of why to vote Biden: https://mobile.twitter.com/TheSimpsons/status/1315843221155700746

Good article on what pollsters have changed in 2020 https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/what-pollsters-have-changed-since-2016-and-what-still-worries-them-about-2020/

The best part of the charity fraud was he actually had to sign a sworn statement acknowledging all the different misdeeds he did with his charities. You can't call something fake news when you admit to doing it. That should have been enough to remove him from office.

Reid didn't do anything to the Supreme Court. I personally think a balanced court is what is best for America. 5-4 balance was good. A 6-3 balance would not be good for the country.

Yes I would be fine with it as long as it's within whatever rules exist at that time.

If it's within the rules and represents the voice of Americans, then yes.

Cook Political Report has 290 ECs at least leaning Dem now: https://cookpolitical.com/sites/default/files/2020-09/EC Ratings.092920.2.pdf

Sure, who knows when that will be. Texas may not go blue this year but the demographics are changing and will be blue soon. A blue Texas would change the electoral college math for a long time. We won't see any changes with governors this year, but as the Dems get more.local control, and judges are starting to fight against racist gerrymandering, we will see fairer districts in states as well.

Exactly. Then when the pendulum swings back Dem as the polls and early voting are pointing to, change the rules by adding a couple more justices.

What would the rights reaction be if the Democrats nominate a Muslim?