DCOrange

I agree for the most part. Nobody really stood out so even though Mahomes was uneven for most of the game, he won it. Its almost always a QB nowadays and with 310 yards (320 before the kneels) and 3 TDs and leading the comeback, he ended up being the obvious choice.

Nah Mahomes ultimately made all the plays to win the game. Sammy would have been my runner up if it were up to me. He seemed to come up with a big play whenever KC needed it.

Mahomes didn’t look right for most of the game. Almost certainly SB MVP now lol

The Shining/Mountain Dew commercial was so good.

Very touching.

I'd still be perfectly fine bringing Gore back under the condition that we also draft another young RB to add to the room. Gore clearly wore down over the back half of the season, but he was a good contributor for the first half and clearly has made an impression on Singletary and I'm sure he would do the same for whoever we draft this year as well. Put him in the RB3 role and we should have a very good RB room IMO. Edit: Of course this assumes that he would accept that role

Yeah, I mean, I didn't like the idea of taking Zay even if it were like the 4th or 5th round. With Laviska, it's more just that I'm higher on other WRs, but I think he's a fine 2nd round guy (and if we add an established X WR, I'd honestly be fine with taking him at 22). I'm sure if we take him, there will be other WRs I would have preferred, but I won't be legitimately angry about the pick the way I was with the Zay one.

I hated the Zay pick well before it happened and I am relatively low on Laviska, but I definitely think Laviska is a better prospect. Having said that, Turner is saying Shenault's size/explosion/athleticism should allow him to get open in the NFL...same height as Zay and I will be very shocked if his athletic scores are as good as Zay's. He carries more weight than Zay did, but athleticism is not at all going to differentiate Laviska from Zay.

I don't expect to make the tournament but am hoping for the best.

I wouldn't really want Teddy or Hill to be my QB of the future, but I gladly invite the Saints to do it.

Yeah, the article touches on that. Basically says Green Bay has the aura around it that Buffalo currently does not. Also mentions that Buffalo has to offer more money than almost any other team due to the income taxes in New York. Teams like the California teams can get away with it because players want to live in LA, but Buffalo gets hit by the income tax as well as being a relatively undesirable place to live. I tend to think that we can sign almost anyone we want if we're willing to overpay them. Sounds like some guys like Amari Cooper wouldn't even go for that though.

Some random thoughts on some of our players at this point in the season: Girard: Not shooting the 3 ball as well as I had hoped, but his PG abilities are pretty far along for a freshman that was viewed mostly as an undersized SG. The feeling of seeing him at the free throw line is completely unfamiliar to me as a Syracuse fan. Buddy: People were harping on him way too much earlier in the year. Yeah, he's not the most active defender, but he's an amazing shooter, smart player, and has a developing game off the dribble/in the mid-post. Hughes: Obviously just very good. Dolezaj: Remains one of my favorite and simultaneously disappointing players. With a more aggressive personality and perhaps in a different system, he could be one of the focal points of an offense with his savvy moves, great passing for his size, and smart reads. It pops every once in awhile for us, but I can't help but think he may have been better off playing elsewhere. Sidibe: He's definitely improved but remains a weakness more often than not. Guerrier: Painful to watch most of the time offensively, but how can you not love how hard he's playing right now? He flies around the court and makes hustle plays left and right. Can only hope he develops more of an offensive game. Washington: Pretty much the perfect backup PG; just takes care of the ball and makes sure things don't get out of hand. Obviously wish he had more scoring ability in his arsenal, but we can make due with him. Goodine: Has been disappointing relative to what I thought he might provide immediately, but he's shown flashes recently of gaining some confidence. Doesn't seem as lost as some of our other recent guard busts (Carey and Kaleb come to mind). Edwards: I remain low on him.

If the ball is getting to the WR relatively easily, it isn't an interception worthy throw. The INT-worthy throws are when he throws passes that go through a DB's hands, get dropped by the DB, stuff like that. For example, with the first Jets game, I think they most likely did not ding him (at least not much) for the INT that went off the WR's hands and into the hands of the LB, but they definitely dinged him for the one where their safety dropped the INT. Regarding the other parts, they can for the most part tell what players' assignments are. I'm sure there's some that they get wrong, but for the most part, if you're watching All-22 film, it's pretty easy to see for example if a CB blows their assignment in zone coverage or to see if a WR runs the wrong route. It's probably trickier with the trenches.

Based solely on the 1 on 1's, I'd rank them like this: Tier 1: Denzel Mims Van Jefferson Tier 2: KJ Hill Michael Pittman Chase Claypool Tier 3: Antonio Gandy-Golden Quartney Davis Tier 4: Jauaun Jennings Devin Devurney James Proche Collin Johnson

I think this also goes back to the difference between being truly accurate versus giving your WRs a chance. For example, Allen was dead last in terms of his accuracy according to PFF, but they also track "on-target %". Here's how Allen fared at each level of the field: BLOS (behind line of scrimmage): 96% vs. 94% NFL average 0-9 yards: 79% vs. 82% 10-19 yards: 70% vs. 63% 20+ yards: 31% vs. 42% The 0-9 yard range is by far the most volume, so his on-target % was ultimately 28th in the league, but considering where he was last year, I think there's reason for optimism there. Compare this to Lamar, whose accuracy % was 21st out of 25 on their chart. But his on-target % was actually above average: 14th out of the 35 that they ranked.

I think ESPN and PFF technically keep track of this but it isn't something they make public to anyone. But it's a factor in ESPN's QBR rating and PFF's EPA metrics.

Sure but that’s one player. They’re ranking thousands of players; of course people will disagree with some rankings.

FWIW, Charlie Campbell is reporting that every team he’s spoken to views Epenesa as a 3-4 DE and an iffy fit in a 4-3 front.

He definitely is not as accurate as most other starting QBs. I do think the mental side of things is a larger issue at this point though. I think he’s accurate enough to be a good QB if he gets the reads and decisions right. Definitely hope to see him improve the deep ball though. I don’t need it to be good or even necessarily average, but it has to be at least a part of his game. This past season it was not.

My personal opinion is that their stats are undeniably helpful and interesting. Their grades are much, much more debatable. And in general, Bills fans seem to think higher of their players than PFF does.

Also for those interested in the game-by-game PFF grades: 2018: Above Average: 4 Average: 3 Below Average: 4 2019: Above Average: 5 Average: 5 Below Average: 6

He still graded as 25th worst in terms of turnover-worthy plays, 28th in terms of on-target %, and 33rd in terms of big time throw % (essentially, deep passes and or tightly contested passes), and despite those improvements in every category of passer rating, he was still below average in all of them outside of 3rd downs and red zone where he was slightly above average. He was also 28th in adjusted completion percentage. His accuracy % of deep balls was roughly 17% and aside from Mason Rudolph, nobody is within 10% of him there. They also have a chart with 4 quadrants where the bottom left = bad accuracy % and bad uncatchable pass %. There are some other QBs in that quadrant, but Allen is the biggest outlier by a wide margin; he's basically in the bottom left corner while the others are pretty close to the center but slightly still in the quadrant. So he basically improved from being arguably the worst passer in a lot of these categories to being below average.

Not sure what the policy is in terms of pasting premium content, so I'm going to hold off on pasting the entire thing, but PFF released their QB Annual Report today with roughly 10 pages of content for each QB. Some of the main takeaways for Allen: His improvement this year as a passer showed up in literally every passer rating category that they track. Passer rating when kept clean improved from 79.8 to 95.2. Passer rating with no blitz improved from 70.1 to 89.6. Passer rating under pressure improved from 47.4 to 60.5. Passer rating when blitzed improved from 62.9 to 78.0. Passer rating on 3rd down improved from 49 to 92.8. Passer rating in the red zone improved from 75.8 to 95.8. Having said that, the improvement did not show up in terms of PFF's Accuracy metrics. Last year, he hit the WR's frame on 53.7% of his passes; that dropped to 53.0% this year. Last year, he threw a catchable ball on 73.5% of his passes; that number didn't move at all this season (though confusingly, they also track "on target %" and they show Allen improving from 64.7% as a rookie to 71.7% this season). There are some improvements to be seen when you break it down by pass distance though. In terms of hitting the WR's frame, Rookie Allen was 3.2% worse than the average QB on passes behind the line of scrimmage, 3.5% worse on 0-9 yard passes, 3.9% worse on 10-19 yard passes, and 8.2% worse on 20+ yard passes. This year's Allen was 2.1% better on passes behind the line of scrimmage, 5.5% worse on 0-9 yard passes, 6.4% better on 10-19 yard passes, and 20.6% worse on 20+ yard passes. So all in all, he was legitimately good on the screens/swings and intermediate passes this year, but was bad on the 0-9 yard passes and ungodly terrible on deep balls. PFF has found that the shorter stuff is generally more stable year over year, whereas the deep ball comes and goes; based on that, they believe Allen's overall gains this year are pretty promising for his future projection. Route distribution was more or less the same as it was a year ago. There wasn't really any movement in terms of which routes Allen threw more of in Year 2 as compared to Year 1. Having said that, the routes seemed to be pulled in shorter this year; 51% of his passes as a rookie were within 9 yards of the line of scrimmage versus 62% this year. That resulted in his average depth of target decreasing from 11.5 yards as a rookie to 9.8 yards this year. In his rookie year, 6.8% of his targeted passes were dropped. This season, that number increased to 7.1%, so that's obviously disappointing. A breakdown of each receiver: John Brown: 2.8% Cole Beasley: 6.3% Dawson Knox: 18.4% Devin Singletary: 13.2% Isaiah McKenzie: 2.9% Edit: Staying away from the PFF Grades that are included since people seem to very much not be fans of their grades lol, but the grades remain mostly very bad, though there was some improvement in areas.

4.55 would probably be damaging, but I think in general with him, it's more about the all-around athleticism than it is pure speed. 4.55 at 220+ lbs is still pretty damn good. I personally don't really like him unless we bring in an established WR to ease the load but I think you can make a good case for him to be the pick despite my concerns.

I know as Buffalo Bills fans, we're trained to hate PFF, BUT draft season often turns into the 10 draft media guys giving us basically identical big boards to one another. PFF and Daniel Jeremiah are two of the few that actually differ from the pack mentality. So with that said, here is PFF's most recent big board: https://www.pff.com/news/draft-2020-nfl-draft-pff-top-100-big-board-update And with so much discussion of the WRs (deservedly so), here's the WR's rankings on the big board (physical measurements based on The Athletic, which Dane Brugler has said is based on what NFL teams expect): 5. CeeDee Lamb - 6'1", 192, 4.48 6. Jerry Jeudy - 6'1", 195, 4.50 15. Laviska Shenault - 6'2", 224, 4.55 20. Henry Ruggs - 5'11, 192, 4.32 23. Tee Higgins - 6'3", 205, 4.47 28. Jalen Reagor - 5'10", 196, 4.46 31. Brandon Aiyuk - 6'0", 203, 4.45 37. Denzel Mims - 6'3", 206 39. Michael Pittman - 6'4", 223, 4.55 40. Jauaun Jennings 44. Tyler Johnson 68. Justin Jefferson - 6'3", 192, 4.53 80. KJ Hill - 6'0", 192, 4.55ish 82. KJ Hamler - 5'9", 174, 4.44 92. John Hightower - 6'2", 184, 4.41 99. Van Jefferson - 6'2", 197