DCOrange

On the season, our players positional ranks for drop % (#1 meaning they drop passes at a higher rate than anyone else). WRs (minimum 40 targets, and I'll list the two WRs above and below them): Gabe - 28th (DeVante Parker & DK Metcalf above, Mike Evans and Davante Adams below) Diggs - 45th (Christian Kirk and Chris Olave above, Christian Watson and Amari Cooper below) Shakir - 89th (Odell and Brandon Aiyuk above, DJ Moore and Brandin Cooks below) This is out of 95 qualifying WRs TEs: Knox - 1st (Ertz and Likely below) Kincaid - 27th (Hockenson and Evan Engram above, Trey McBride and Hunter Henry below) This is out of 46 qualifying TEs RBs: Latavius - 6th (Aaron Jones and Kyren Williams above, Josh Jacobs and James Cook below) Cook - 7th (Saquon and Chase Edmonds below) This is out of 62 qualifying RBs Dawson Knox & Gabe's positional ranks over the years since those are the two that tend to rack them up (Knox rank 1st, Gabe 2nd): 2023: 1st, 28th 2022: 6th, 4th 2021: 6th, 24th 2020: 11th, 13th 2019: 1st, N/A

PFF also has Buffalo with 21 drops since Brady took over (including the two postseason games, so obviously we played more games in that span than a lot of other teams, thus inflating the drop totals). Cook - 6 Diggs - 5 Kincaid - 3 Latavius - 2 Shakir, Gabe, Knox, Sherfield, and Morris - 1

Not sure about Higgins but I do expect them to take whichever is left over between Maye and Daniels at #3. I personally have Daniels as a 4th round prospect and have JJ as my #3 QB with a 2nd round grade, so that's really why I'd go Harrison in their shoes (on top of the fact that Harrison is an elite WR prospect).

And if god forbid New England goes Harrison instead of QB (which is what I think they should do), then it's even tougher to imagine Nabers/Odunze slipping far enough for us to have a real chance. Probably have to pray guys like Bowers or the OTs go ahead of the WRs.

For Pearsall, Wilson, and Jackson Powers-Johnson, I presume they just feel like they proved themselves and didn't want to risk disappointment the rest of the way. Rasheen Ali got hurt and will require surgery and several months of recovery. Not sure about Brade, Mustapha, and Brennan Jackson.

I think I'm on board with this. I don't think the price to move up to the 15-20 range is crazy and I think Thomas is closer to the top 3 WRs than he is to the guys that will be available at our current slot. I know YardsPerPass on Twitter has been saying he thinks Beane will move into the top 10 to get Nabers/Odunze. I will understand the rationale if that happens, but that will be a very high price.

Don't think any of the WRs looked awesome today, but Brenden Rice was probably the best of the bunch. Rice and my sleeper Javon Baker both got hurt at some point as well; Baker ended up not returning. Rice did return.

Yeah, there's definitely a bit of that that you have to keep an eye on with these things. I think the first one at least is just good WR; really strong stutter step and explosion there to freeze the corner and leave him behind. The second one was maybe bad CB. Bummer. Was really enjoying watching Pearsall and Wilson this week.

These are really great vertical reps though.

I already crossed him off my list lol. Half his 1 on 1 reps he'd get open and then turn around and run into the DB. The NFL Network guys were cracking up at how dumb his routes were.

Mentioned him a little ways up I think. He played the vast majority of his snaps in the slot in college, but he's working almost exclusively out wide at the Senior Bowl and has mostly looked good.

Thrash and Javon Baker are two of the non-1st round wide outs that I have circled based on my spreadsheet and highlights that I want to research more.

Seems like Washington is basically down to Dan Quinn unless they suddenly pivot to Belichick/Vrabel, but to this point they've shown no interest in those guys.

Ohio State DT Michael Hall has looked really nice. Currently viewed as a Day 3 pick I think; might be one to keep an eye on. This rep between Roman Wilson and Quinyon Mitchell (Toledo DB that's been dominating everyone). Mitchell slips and allows Wilson to get open easily as a result. Wilson also slips but makes a crazy catch.

One thing I've made note of, Ricky Pearsall won people over on Day 1 and has looked decent so far today, but the real noteworthy thing is after playing out of the slot on the vast majority of his snaps in college, they have him almost exclusively out wide here. Edit: And he's looked good lined up out wide. Interesting development.

Watching today's 1 on 1's: Tez Walker REALLY struggling. Dropping almost literally every pass so far, telegraphing routes, struggling with press, etc. Javon Baker continuing to do a great job with his releases and created a ton of separation on one of his crossing routes against Kalen King (who was once viewed as a 1st round prospect but I believe he's slid down a lot this season). Brenden Rice doing a much better job off the release today than yesterday but just doesn't have the burst to pull away/maintain separation. Roman Wilson's footwork is really great. Non-WR related: Quinyon Mitchell looks like such a stud covering these guys.

He just doesn't really move like Deebo at all. If we're looking for a Deebo type in this draft, it would probably be Malachi Corley from Western Kentucky, who is also at the Senior Bowl.

Not sure how he did after the first day, but Puka Nacua was considered one of the big winners of Day 1 of practices last year just like Ladd McConkey and Roman Wilson this year.

I felt similarly about Rice. That one clip complimenting his physicality for example I feel like was mostly just showing his inability to get open.

I was admittedly low on AJ due to the fact that he didn't really run any routes in college. I don't think there's really a comparison between Legette and DK though. DK was an absolute god in terms of beating press coverage in college; the whole projection with him was the idea that you couldn't jam him at the line but also couldn't keep up with him if you gave him a free release. Legette struggles with press coverage and just isn't as explosive as DK. He's more Kenny Britt than DK IMO. Could still be good but I just don't think DK is the right comparison.

One of them he just dropped. Another was underthrown and the DB was able to outmuscle him for it. Other two were overthrows. He didn't look particularly explosive; he was able to get a step on the DB but wasn't really able to stack him. One of the overthrows I feel like he maybe should have been able to get to but was too busy trying to hold the DB and just didn't run hard enough. He had a drop in the 7 on 7's as well but also made a couple catches there.

Seems like Roman Wilson, Ladd McConkey, and Jamari Thrash were the 3 WRs to stand out today. Xavier Legette reportedly struggled; he failed to make any catches in the 1 on 1 drills. He tried to go deep on all 4 of the routes that we saw; 1 drop, 1 where he just got outmuscled for the ball, and 2 overthrows. Thrash similarly tried to go deep every opportunity he had and just looked like the better vertical separator.

I believe he's currently viewed as a Day 3 pick. PFF for example has him at 148 on their big board right now.

Probably doesn't have the speed you're looking for, but might be worth keeping an eye on Ed McCaffrey's son/Christian McCaffrey's brother, Luke. He's at the Senior Bowl this week. Played QB for Nebraska before transferring to Rice to play WR where he kinda blew up the last couple years. I also believe he's statistically the best in the class in terms of making contested catches. Needs to learn how to strap his helmet though lol; never seen someone lose their helmet so much.

The tricky thing with him is that he's shown some of the physical skills to be a guy that you can win because of rather than winning with, but he hasn't really been given the opportunity to prove he can actually do it. Comparing him to guys like McCarron and McElroy for example, he throws with a velocity that those guys could only dream of and he's a far better athlete than them too. He checks a lot of the boxes physically while also showing an ability to get through reads fairly well (especially for his age; he's the youngest QB in the class). And on top of all that, teams will like the fact that he's considered a guy that teammates rally around, a near perfect record as a starting QB, etc. Having said that, his accuracy comes and goes and he's shown almost literally no ability to put touch on his throws; the latter in particular is very concerning to me. I think he's more a Baker Mayfield type of QB than the Alabama QBs you're comparing him to.