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Xavier Worthy: Basically the opposite reaction compared to when I watched Coleman film. Went in expecting to like Worthy and have crossed him off my list entirely. He’s very fast and has a knack for double moves. That’s about the only nice thing I have to say. Mel Kiper talked about how he’s a dog that played through a broken hand and doesn’t care if he’s the #1 option as long as he helps his team win, but he looks like someone that just doesn’t like football to me. I thought Legette was bad in terms of half assing it when the play wasn’t designed for him…Worthy quarter asses it. Maybe he figures it out when he’s in the pros, but this is the kind of prospect where I would much rather not take him and end up being wrong than taking him.

Watched a few Keon Coleman games. He definitely is not the separator type of receiver that I would prefer, but I can see how he could be a valuable player. If he pans out, he’ll be the type of WR that you feel comfortable throwing it too when the defense is holding everyone and we’re all frustrated that it isn’t being called. Hold him all you want, but Allen can just throw it back shoulder to him, and there’s nothing you can really do to stop that. He beats press coverage pretty well to the point that most DBs give up trying to press him, but unfortunately just doesn’t have the speed to pull away. I do think with his size, strength, and ability to box out DBs, he can potentially be a solid vertical threat but it’ll definitely look different than it does for a speedster like Thomas, Worthy, etc. He’s better after the catch than you expect; he has underrated flexibility and agility with the ball in his hands. He also does a nice job of seeing the QB roll out and trying to give him somewhere to throw to which is something we may miss when Gabe likely leaves this offseason. Also similar to Gabe, he is a very willing run blocker. At Michigan State, they’d pull him across the formation to be a lead blocker like you see teams do with their guards. On top of that, he also does a nice job selling fake run blocks and then leaking behind the defense for potential cheap yards. Ultimately, I liked his tape more than I expected. We’ll have to see how I feel when I finish scouting the rest, but for now, Coleman is someone I could be okay with at 28 even if he isn’t who I am hoping for.

Rattler certainly does not do those receivers many favors but I just don’t see Legette getting open outside of some crossers and the occasional post. Legette also had one of those plays that we get on Gabe for all the time where he just made no effort to break up an INT against Clemson but it was the only time that type of situation really popped up so no idea if that’s a pattern for him. One other thing: can’t really speak to it with Thomas because Jayden Daniels almost never throws once he breaks the pocket, but Legette doesn’t seem to really do anything to get open once Rattler starts rolling out to buy time like Allen does a lot.

Started watching All 22 focused on some WRs today. Decided to begin with Xavier Legette and Brian Thomas as they feel like two guys that would fill similar roles. I have heard that Brian Thomas showed off some versatility in the final game of the season when Nabers was out but that is not a game I have film on. I watched two games of each of these guys on All 22, so about 40 minutes on each of them. Thomas definitely looks like a one trick pony, but he is very very good at that one trick. He’s nowhere near the sheer weight that DK was in college, but he’s similarly excellent at beating press coverage and getting behind the defense very quickly. Definitely does not look like the type to get open over the middle of the field, but you put him outside and send him deep and he’ll either draw two defenders and help give our other receivers more space to work with or he’ll be single covered and be open more often than not. He’s simply difficult for DBs to get their hands on and if they don’t get their hands on him, he’s nearly impossible to keep up with. Flat out not good at any other routes right now though with the exception of maybe curls due to the pressure his speed puts on DBs. Also seemed to have okay awareness finding holes to squat down in against the zone. He could definitely be more physical as a blocker but he’ll at least get his hands on someone and will run down the field to help on long runs. Xavier Legette…I just don’t see it personally. He doesn’t beat press well and is kinda slow out of the gates. Better getting out of breaks than Thomas in my opinion but still not very good. Doesn’t have the game breaking acceleration to put a lot of vertical pressure on the defense. One positive is he’ll pretty much always pick up a couple yards after contact due to his brute strength. Not aware of where the zone coverage is. Disappointing blocker considering his size; he just doesn’t try very hard. Ultimately he seems like someone you’ll have to scheme open and then you can take advantage of the YAC skills but he’s someone I would gladly pass on personally. As some of The Athletic guys have said, if he’s still there in the 3rd or 4th round, that’s a different value proposition but I’d be very disappointed if he was our choice at 28.

I put together a spreadsheet that lists this as well as many other things: https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/12pCgsJPa9X-jjNMOZ_exJTAEfxmZOeETzEm8SNkuXec/edit

He might be referring to this. It’s also available as a podcast instead of video if you prefer it that way.

I think Washington should absolutely go QB at 2. I personally have Maye rated higher than Caleb so Chicago taking Caleb is perfect IMO. But I’m sure with Caleb growing up in DC and having the superstar aura around him already, Washington would love to bring him home and get their fans excited for the first time in awhile. Having said that, USC’s offense with Kingsbury and Caleb was absolutely garbage to watch. I don’t know how anyone could watch what they did this season and think that’s what they want to emulate in the NFL. TLDR: there’s a lot of non football reasons for Washington to want Caleb but I think they are in a perfect spot right now where they can get who I believe is the best QB without needing to trade up and use their many other draft picks to add some much needed talent to the roster.

If it was from 2023, this does not apply, but I believe he was playing in 2022 with a broken hand.

I didn’t think his tape at UNC was particularly impressive either to be honest. There’s definitely good traits in there but nobody on that team really created separation consistently or caught the ball well IMO. I was admittedly more focused on the QB than the WRs though so I’ll probably go back and focus on Tez specifically later.

Per PFF he's bottom 3 in the class in terms of avoided tackles and YAC per reception. They have him down for 164 YAC out of 535 this season and 93 out of 337 the year before. The 476 is simply inaccurate; that would mean he only had 59 air yards this season on 34 catches, meaning his average catch was less than 2 yards down the field. Even a short highlight video from this season would show you that can't possibly be true.

PFF has him down for: Week 5: 1 drop Week 7: 1 Week 10: 1 Week 11: 1 Week 14: 2 Divisional Playoff: 2

2 drops on 105 career targets. On the downside, he's going to give you almost nothing after the catch. He almost literally never makes anybody miss and is near the bottom of the class in terms of YAC per reception. He's looked okay at the Senior Bowl so far but definitely has not stood out like some others have.

Hamler is undeniably fast, but he's never been good in terms of of the deep ball. In his NFL career, he's caught 6/21 deep targets. In college, he was a more respectable 17/42, but 40% is still not very good. Isabella was 34/84 in college, which is the exact same % as Hamler. Isabella is also entering his 6th season now and has shown almost literally nothing to this point in his career. These guys are both training camp fodder/should be replaced if we draft well IMO.

On the season, our players positional ranks for drop % (#1 meaning they drop passes at a higher rate than anyone else). WRs (minimum 40 targets, and I'll list the two WRs above and below them): Gabe - 28th (DeVante Parker & DK Metcalf above, Mike Evans and Davante Adams below) Diggs - 45th (Christian Kirk and Chris Olave above, Christian Watson and Amari Cooper below) Shakir - 89th (Odell and Brandon Aiyuk above, DJ Moore and Brandin Cooks below) This is out of 95 qualifying WRs TEs: Knox - 1st (Ertz and Likely below) Kincaid - 27th (Hockenson and Evan Engram above, Trey McBride and Hunter Henry below) This is out of 46 qualifying TEs RBs: Latavius - 6th (Aaron Jones and Kyren Williams above, Josh Jacobs and James Cook below) Cook - 7th (Saquon and Chase Edmonds below) This is out of 62 qualifying RBs Dawson Knox & Gabe's positional ranks over the years since those are the two that tend to rack them up (Knox rank 1st, Gabe 2nd): 2023: 1st, 28th 2022: 6th, 4th 2021: 6th, 24th 2020: 11th, 13th 2019: 1st, N/A

PFF also has Buffalo with 21 drops since Brady took over (including the two postseason games, so obviously we played more games in that span than a lot of other teams, thus inflating the drop totals). Cook - 6 Diggs - 5 Kincaid - 3 Latavius - 2 Shakir, Gabe, Knox, Sherfield, and Morris - 1

Not sure about Higgins but I do expect them to take whichever is left over between Maye and Daniels at #3. I personally have Daniels as a 4th round prospect and have JJ as my #3 QB with a 2nd round grade, so that's really why I'd go Harrison in their shoes (on top of the fact that Harrison is an elite WR prospect).

And if god forbid New England goes Harrison instead of QB (which is what I think they should do), then it's even tougher to imagine Nabers/Odunze slipping far enough for us to have a real chance. Probably have to pray guys like Bowers or the OTs go ahead of the WRs.

For Pearsall, Wilson, and Jackson Powers-Johnson, I presume they just feel like they proved themselves and didn't want to risk disappointment the rest of the way. Rasheen Ali got hurt and will require surgery and several months of recovery. Not sure about Brade, Mustapha, and Brennan Jackson.

I think I'm on board with this. I don't think the price to move up to the 15-20 range is crazy and I think Thomas is closer to the top 3 WRs than he is to the guys that will be available at our current slot. I know YardsPerPass on Twitter has been saying he thinks Beane will move into the top 10 to get Nabers/Odunze. I will understand the rationale if that happens, but that will be a very high price.

Don't think any of the WRs looked awesome today, but Brenden Rice was probably the best of the bunch. Rice and my sleeper Javon Baker both got hurt at some point as well; Baker ended up not returning. Rice did return.

Yeah, there's definitely a bit of that that you have to keep an eye on with these things. I think the first one at least is just good WR; really strong stutter step and explosion there to freeze the corner and leave him behind. The second one was maybe bad CB. Bummer. Was really enjoying watching Pearsall and Wilson this week.

These are really great vertical reps though.

I already crossed him off my list lol. Half his 1 on 1 reps he'd get open and then turn around and run into the DB. The NFL Network guys were cracking up at how dumb his routes were.

Mentioned him a little ways up I think. He played the vast majority of his snaps in the slot in college, but he's working almost exclusively out wide at the Senior Bowl and has mostly looked good.

Thrash and Javon Baker are two of the non-1st round wide outs that I have circled based on my spreadsheet and highlights that I want to research more.