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SCBills

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Everything posted by SCBills

  1. Yea, these cross tabs are ridiculous… She better hope she’s right, because if not… this was completely irresponsible, bordering on an in-kind campaign contribution.
  2. Trump loses Selzer’s Iowa Poll but wins the election via left leaning Morning Consult.. Ok then…
  3. EV data states that she’s the underdog. All polling up until this weekend does as well. Now all of a sudden Selzer and (tomorrows NYT/Siena) drop Harris surge polls out of nowhere… Maybe they’re correct .. also seems contrived. We shall see.
  4. I do know that R/D have equal amount of registered seniors in PA and D’s are up 2:1 in EV. Now some of that could be R’s vote more on E-Day, or maybe Ann found something that translates. I tend to view her poll as bs, tbh, but can’t dismiss it given who she is. R’s have tied D’s in EV for Iowa, which like across the country, is extremely rare or never has happened. Also, R’s have registered a ton of new voters in Iowa. The landscape makes zero sense. But we shall see. And if she’s wrong, she’s done. You can’t drop this poll, with her magnitude, in an election this close. It’s leading news stories, cable news, changing betting markets etc If she’s right.. GOAT pollster.
  5. Apparently Iowa’s seniors became more liberal than NY and California in the matter of four years.
  6. I agree. I’m not disputing any of that.
  7. To show how big of a seismic political earthquake (on social media and betting markets, at least) that Ann Setzer’s poll is… these battleground polls also just came out from the best pollster in 2020. Doesn’t matter - Ann’s poll dominates the narrative tonight.
  8. Absolutely shocking poll. Shes either way off (Emerson has Trump +10, which is more in line with others) OR Something she found hasn’t been picked up elsewhere and will result in a Harris landslide If she’s accurate, she’s a legend. If she’s wrong, she’s destroyed her reputation… especially with how much weight her poll carries in terms of momentum narrative down the stretch. (Betting market for PA just flipped to Harris off the heels of this news)
  9. Democrat plan for the next few days: -Trump said (insert comment) -Media gives credence to anonymously sourced comment and/or comment taken out of context -D puppet candidate comments on how said comment is disqualifying -(insert celebrity) endorses puppet This election is more a referendum on the intelligence level of the people of this country and the ability or inability for them to be manipulated by celebrities and the media.
  10. I’m mainly voting Trump as the lesser of two bad choices, but with the infusion of Vance, Elon, RFK and now Ron Paul, this actually feels like, maybe, it could be something other than the typical 4 years.
  11. This has been stated by quite a few streamers/influencers in addition to this one..
  12. So this the campaign now? Media coordinated lies about Trump and a parade of celebrities? The most low information, low IQ campaign in history. Dependent on dumb people and the media’s last dying breath.
  13. Weird statement
  14. Whiplash stories today / Expect this from now through Election Day: Tara Palmeri wrote a story that Trump’s internals have stopped the premature celebrating. (Pushed back on harshly by Trump campaign) Harris surrogate, David Plouffe states late breaking undecideds are going for Harris by double digits, citing the MSG rally. Mark Halperin comes out tonight with this…
  15. Unreal. If a NY jury finds him guilty…
  16. Not sure how I can be any clearer… X is not a self declared unbiased news source. It’s where you can go to get news, but always requires discernment. As is with podcasts, Tik Tok, Facebook etc.. Fwiw.. the one story I was burned by, was covered by local news in the area before being debunked. How many stories, just this week, have the media manipulated or lied about… The Biden garbage comment & ignored cover up Trump/Cheney Pushing constant Nazi narratives about a rally with people of all religions and ethnicities in attendance It all goes one way. They burned their credibility somehow worse than they did during covid. They need to be burned to the ground and have the ashes scattered into the ocean. A “Wild West” is far preferable to a propaganda arm that cloaks itself in objectivity.
  17. X doesn’t portray itself as an unbiased news source. Any other false equivalences?
  18. Definitely a bright side.. Somewhat excited for libs to live in Dearborn, Michigans all over the country.
  19. No offense, but you bring nothing to the conversation. You come across like an extremely bitter boomer and should think about how you got to this point. Actually, do take offense. You just sh*tpost nonsense nonstop.
  20. Nobody believes Republicans are going to ban p*rn or birth control. This stuff is exhausting. If Trump felt he needed to counter message this nonsense, he could just have Corinna Kopf post a video about it.
  21. I do. I honestly don’t care about norms any longer. They don’t exist. I want the American media burned to the ground.
  22. Protect democracy by weaponizing the justice system…. Again.
  23. With the Arizona AG getting involved, this manufactured Liz Cheney narrative pushed forth by the Harris campaign and her allies in the media has officially reached election interference levels. American media needs to be destroyed. If Trump gets elected, those with his ear should advise him to take action against the current propaganda infrastructure. I don’t care about the slippery slope.. influence is being delegated to outside sources and it took podcasts and Elon buying X to do so. However, the media still holds far too much influence and they are no longer in the business of good faith reporting.
  24. Yea, I think we’re very much in toss-up territory, with a lean towards Trump, but much of that is reliant on men and low propensity voters coming out in the next few days and on E-Day. It does seem, based on data available, that R’s are cannibalizing their high propensity voters at a lower rate than Dems, when looking at voters who voted in ‘22 and ‘20. Dems banking on 10% advantage in the women vote currently, but are white women voting lean R or is there more crossover? Also, Trump is lagging way behind in Senior Citizen vote in PA. Both sides have roughly the same number of registers senior citizens in the state, but Dems have churned out almost double the percentage of senior vote so far. Do R senior show up on E-Day or does that become a problem for Trump?
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