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Everything posted by Shaw66
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Zeke Elliott suspended for 6 games. For real this time!
Shaw66 replied to YoloinOhio's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
So the decision the Court cites says that in order to get an order lifting the suspension pending his court case he has to show (1) whether the movant will suffer irreparable injury absent a stay, (2) whether a party will suffer substantial injury if a stay is issued, (3) whether the movant has demonstrated a substantial possibility, although less than a likelihood, of success on appeal, and (4) the public interests that may be affected. Here's what it means: (1) Zeke does suffer irreparable injury, because if he misses games he'll never get them back if he wins. (2) The NFL probably argued that they suffer substantial injury if the stay is issued, because stays like that undercut their authority to enforce their player contracts. (3) This decision may mean that the Court already has decided that there isn't a substantial possibility that Zeke will win. After all, Brady already lost his appeal, and he had better facts. (4) There's no public interest in letting Zeke play. In legal terms, that doesn't mean if the public is interested - it means are your rights and mine affected negatively if he doesn't play. The answer to that is no. So this decision probably means Zeke loses his appeal, but that won't be decided until an expedited hearing and decision. As someone said, Zeke has to be careful - if the Second Circuit takes four or five weeks, Zeke could miss playoff games. -
I would LOVE to know what is going on here, because Kroy never seems to be a problem when he fills in. What underlies what I'm saying is that what goes into these decisions is so far beyond what we actually know that it's hard to question the decision. For example: Some coaches have a philosophy that says you have to practice well before you play. Maybe that's it. Maybe Kroy doesn't have the footspeed to play the position consistently. Maybe when the coaches grade his performance in games he doesn't grade out as well as the guys who play ahead of him. Maybe he's in the doghouse for some reason. Maybe it's one of ten other things I can't think of. I'm sure there's a reason he isn't a starter. I have enough confidence in the coaches to trust their reasoning. Yes, I'd love to know the reason, just like I'd like to know their reasons for their decisions at the back-up running back spot. But no, that isn't the kind of information coaches divulge, because they don't want to give opponents a competitive advantage and because it violates personnel policies.
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Thanks for the informative post. What was not 100% accurate? I said there's a reason he doesn't start. That's 100% accurate. There IS a reason. I don't know and you don't know what it is, but there IS a reason. You actually think there's NO reason he doesn't start. You think that for the past 20 weeks the coaches NEVER discussed who should start at right guard? NEVER talked about it? I think you need to explain yourself.
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Bennett cut (update: claimed by Pats*)
Shaw66 replied to The juice's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
I thought the same thing. It's interesting how guys just run out of gas like that. -
There's defenitely a lot of planning that goes into decisions like this. One other thing: I'm starting to think that deep speed is overrated. Now, if you have a Tyreek Hill, that's different, because he's a threat all over the field. But there's only one of him. If you think about it, it's much important to be able to stop the other team from hurting you with deep speed than having it yourself. Someone will say year, but deep speed makes you commit a safety to the guy. I"d say that isn't always true - deep speed doesn't always get doubled. All you need is a #3 who can get deep, and he can put the pressure on the defense to keep them honest. Obviously, you'd always rather have a good receiver who's fast than one who's not, but I think you can have a pretty formidable attack with Ben and Matt.
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I think it's an audition in a broad sense. The coaches are going to be looking at the offense with the two of them on the field, and with Tyrod throwing. Beane and McD will have to decide whether that's the core passing personnel they want going forward. If they think they're going to replace Tyrod with a rookie or other inexperienced QB, they may very well want to keep both receivers, because they are excellent security blankets for a young guy - good route runners, dependable, etc. If they want to keep Tyrod, then they have to decide whether they think they can compete in the NFL without a serious deep threat in the passing lineup. Maybe they think it's good enough to have the speed guy be the number 3 man, and the number 4. Since neither Benjamin nor Matthews is a premier number 1 guy, they probably won't need to pay franchise type money to either to keep them. Mid to high number 1 money and high number 2 money may not be too much to spend on the position.
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THE ROCKPILE REVIEW - Good Gets Bad, Bad Gets Good
Shaw66 replied to Shaw66's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
No, but only because I'm not good at imagining things. And I haven't seen Kamara. To Brown's credit, he's coachable, and the team gets him prepared every week. That limits the damage that gets done in the middle. He was drafted where he was because he didn't have good speed for the position. We're seeing it now. -
THE ROCKPILE REVIEW - Good Gets Bad, Bad Gets Good
Shaw66 replied to Shaw66's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
Yeah, I agree with this completely. McD knows he isn't likely to get another Keuchly, but he needs someone who moves better than Brown. That position is almost as important to his defense as QB is to the offense. I know absolutely nothing about Conor McDermott - don't even recognize the name, but you make a good point. I think Glenn and Wood will stay, and probably Richie. Th right side of the line will be changing. -
THE ROCKPILE REVIEW - Good Gets Bad, Bad Gets Good
Shaw66 replied to Shaw66's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
Personally, I think that's an overdone concept. I don't think his height is much of a disadvantage. If, and I think it's a big IF, he knows where his receivers are going and who should be open, he should be able to slide to find a sight line to the receiver or spot he's interested in. I still can't argue with people who say he doesn't make those decisions fast enough. I can't argue because I just don't know if he's slow or not. The reason I question whether he's slow is that when he's completing 65-75% of his passes, he's being as efficient as the other good QBs in the league. If he really was so slow at scanning the field and making decision, he'd be nearer 50%. And that argument goes to the height issue, too. If he can't see, how come he's completing all those passes? How many passes a game is he missing because he can't see? Two? Three? I doubt it's five. What about the sacks? Most of the sacks Thursday were on the d-line. How many could he have avoided by throwing it away or completing a pass if he were four inches taller? One? Two? And the most important question, for the long term, is if you have a QB who's doing all the things right that he's doing, are you going to burn a bunch of draft picks on a rookie who's taller, who doesn't run as well and may never learn to be a quality starter? People have their list of flaws for Taylor: Height, slow decision maker, lousy footwork, doesn't scan the field, probably a few others. But when you look at the CAREER passer rating list, the leaders in order are Rodgers, Wilson, Brady, Romo, Young, Brees, Manning, Cousins, Rivers, Warner, Roethlisberger, Ryan. If Taylor had enough attempts, he'd be next on that list. I just have to keep asking, myself and everyone else, if he's passing that well, how real, or how important, can those flaws be? -
THE ROCKPILE REVIEW - Good Gets Bad, Bad Gets Good
Shaw66 replied to Shaw66's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
Anomaly, yes, but I think there's more to it than that. Maybe Hughes's complaint was correct, and they just had a lot of trouble preparing on a short week. Whatever, a lot of things were uncharacteristic. But I also think the Bills' talent on the offensive and defensive lines is below average and susceptible to getting pushed around. We haven't seen that exploited until the Jets game, and I think we will see more of it. It makes sense that one guy or another might not be mentally prepared, but for both lines to get manhandled like that suggests that talent has something to do with it. -
Anybody thinking our wins look a little less impressive...
Shaw66 replied to JÂy RÛßeÒ's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
I agree. Halfway through I'm thinking the Bills are an average to slightly above average team. They play hard, they're well prepared, which allows them to compete every week. But you can say that about a lot of teams. I'm thinking that the problem with the Bills is that they're a little short of talent, which results from two things: Players on board don't fit the schemes (the typical problem when you change coaches) (I think Preston Brown is one of those) and players McDermott and Beane unload who didn't have the attitude they wanted (Watkins, Dareus, maybe one or two more). McD and Beane undertand this - that's why they loaded up on picks for 2018, and traded one of those picks for Benjamin. Bottom line, I'm not prepared to finish 8-8. I'm not predicting that, but if they go 8-8 I'm okay. I think next year's Bills will have 4 or 5 starters who fit the system better, and 100% of the team will be on board with the process. That's when I expect 10 wins or more. Ten this season would be a nice surprise. -
9 wins will get Bills to playoffs if....
Shaw66 replied to Big Turk's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
Nine wins almost always means you're relying on tie-breakers. It also means only 4 or sometimes 5 teams win 10. It means a lot of teams have to go 8-8 and 7-9. It happens, but I think the history has been 9 wins isn't a very good way to make the playoffs or, more importantly, to win in the playoffs. -
THE ROCKPILE REVIEW - Good Gets Bad, Bad Gets Good
Shaw66 replied to Shaw66's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
Agreeable to you! That's great! Stats then eyeballs. Four games with a passer rating over 100, six games over 90, two below 80. One might argue that's inconsistent, I think it's what you get from most QBs. Rodgers was under 80 for three games last season. QBs have bad statisctical games from time to time because (1) they have bad days and/or (2) their teams get outplayed, outplanned, outschemed. I think it's unrealistic to expect that your QB is over 90 in passer rating every game. Matt Ryan was under 80 only once last season, but he was the player of the year. He was under 80 five times in 2015. Brady was under 80 once in 12 games last season, three times in 16 games in 2015. So Taylor over 90 in 6 of 8 and under 80 in 2 of 8 isn't dramatically more inconsistent than the very best in the league. Eyeballs: He had one game this season that I saw where he missed a lot of throws. I didn't see Cincy, and he might have had that problem then, too; I don't know. But in the other games I've been struck by how consistent, how accurate he's been on his throws. My eyeballs would have agreed with you last season, but not this season. I was hoping that Taylor would take a step forward this season, and it looks to me like he has. Let's see what the second half brings. -
How much impact will Benjamin have Sunday?
Shaw66 replied to JM2009's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
I think it's easier than you might think when it's a guy like Benjamin. You're not necessarily throwing to Benjamin as he makes his cut. For example, end zone fade routes. It doesn't take a lot of time for the QB and a big receiver to refine this route. Line up as the left end, split out, get a release of the line, and when you cross the goal line, look for the ball up. QB watches the release of the line, determines that there's no double coverage, delivers the ball. Will they do that better after a season of practice? Sure. Can they do it well enough to have it in the game plan on Sunday? Sure. I do agree that his biggest effect on the game will be as someone who is drawing the attention of the defense. However, for that work, the Bills need to throw it to him some. The Saints won't play the entire game focused on Benjamin if he isn't catching a few balls. I say four catches for 48 yards, maybe a score. -
Not wanting to get involved in another Taylor thread, at least not today, I've been ignoring this thread. Came on just now to take a look. Saw Old Time's post and just shook my head. Then I saw this. Beautifully done. I'm not a big believable in the eyeball test, but I have to say that in the past few weeks Taylor has LOOKED to me like a real NFL QB. Comfortable and in command in the pocket, delivering the ball on target with the right touch, throwing balls away. My only concern has been the sacks. Particularly against the Jets, the sacks looked not to be primarily his fault. He had nowhere to go and often no time to unload it. But I'd like to know what the coaches are telling him about those plays. Did they see something different?
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How is everyone reloading the list of topics?
Shaw66 replied to SDS's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
I do this, too. Easy enough. -
THE ROCKPILE REVIEW - Good Gets Bad, Bad Gets Good
Shaw66 replied to Shaw66's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
I won't remember, because I can't remember anything these days. But I would suggest to you that although stats aren't the be all and end all, to say you're concerned about Taylor's consistency but don't cite stats is to leave "consistency" un measurable. How are we supposed to have a discussion about consistency if not with stats? Am I supposed to be convinced simply because you think he's inconsistent? What does that mean? -
THE ROCKPILE REVIEW - Good Gets Bad, Bad Gets Good
Shaw66 replied to Shaw66's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
I agree. I'm hoping Benjamin will help them adjust to what you're talking about. -
THE ROCKPILE REVIEW - Good Gets Bad, Bad Gets Good
Shaw66 replied to Shaw66's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
Well, we don't know which coach is responsible. Early in the season McDermott said things that suggested to me that they weren't going to go away from what they want to do until they had to. That's the way the Bills seem to play. I think he's very conservative. All season long they've stuck to the run if they were within 10 points. If it were Dennison and McDermott wanted more passing, McDermott would tell him to pass more. So I don't think it's Dennison. -
THE ROCKPILE REVIEW - Good Gets Bad, Bad Gets Good
Shaw66 replied to Shaw66's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
I agree. I wasn't arguing. No reason not to pass. But even passing might not have helped because the sacks were killing drives. Still, there was no hope running so it made sense to try something else. That isn't McDermotts philosophy. -
THE ROCKPILE REVIEW - Good Gets Bad, Bad Gets Good
Shaw66 replied to Shaw66's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
Hard to argue with that, except the qb was getting sacked a lot. -
THE ROCKPILE REVIEW - Good Gets Bad, Bad Gets Good
Shaw66 replied to Shaw66's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
The Jets was an uncharacteristic game for the 2017 Bills. They haven't been outplayed before, and this game looked like they weren't ready mentally. I have faith in McDermott that he will get them back on track. However, my faith has been misplaced before. It may be that all we saw last month was a hot streak and Thursday night was closer to what we'll see going forward. I don't know. We'll see. -
THE ROCKPILE REVIEW - Good Gets Bad, Bad Gets Good
Shaw66 replied to Shaw66's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
Right And Zay doesn't get tripped there may have been a second quarter touchdown. Likenyou, I just don't see Taylor's performance contributing much at all to the loss. The lines got beat all night and that's why they lost.