BullBuchanan

Chris Brown is hard at work tonight. You could have just said, "I'm a bills fan, so everything this team does is awesome" or "Our coach talks in mysterious words about a "process" or something, and because I don't know what it is I'm super-excited"

Mayfield will be the cream of the crop. I expect Cleveland to become a powerhouse in very short order if they can get their act together upstairs. After Roethlisberger retires the division is going to open right up. I think Harbaugh gets fired from BAL in the next two years if they don't make a push. The New GM won't have any reason to tie his horse to Flacco or Jackson. Cinci is a mess and will have a new coach. Rudolph will be very good. If he can improve his arm strength he'll be elite. Rosen is the second coming of Jay Cutler. I expect him to hang around a long time, barring injury but I don't see him becoming a superstar. That Arizona team is going to look worlds different in the next 2 years. I expect Darnold to follow a similar path to Rosen. I think he's likely a franchise guy, but the dangerous type like a Dalton. Not good enough to carry the team, not bad enough to ever get rid of. I expect Allen to be out of the league in 3 years or less. They're going to ask a rocket armed thrower to greatly improve his accuracy, which outside of Favre has never happened in the NFL. Could he put it together and become a Hall of Famer? Sure, why not. I'm laying odds against it and taking all bets. Hopefully he'll become pals with JaMarcus Russel and they can hang out at the park throwing 65 yard bombs to one another on one knee. Everyone needs a friend. I'm not sure Lamar Jackson ever gets a meaningful shot at starting reps in his career. Expecting him to follow a Paxton Lynch route. If he does get a crack, I doubt he'll put together a winning season in his career. He should try to become the first professional college QB.

Isn't that implied? You already know it's an opinion, so why do you need wasted words to clarify it? Reads like a Trent Edwards stat line.

As much as it sickens me to say it, Allen was their guy all along. It should be clear given they were in talks with the Giants/Browns/Broncos and eventually Tampa and they didn't once flinch or change approach. If the Bills had the first overall pick, Allen would have been the guy. I don't know how or why, but it should be painfully clear the way everything played out.

The kid started one game. A game in which the only receiver anyone has ever heard of was injured on the very first play and two scrubs let balls bounce off their hands and turn into picks. My confidence would be shot too. Before getting hurt, he was holding his own in that blizzard against Indy too. Peterman's a smart and athletic kid. I'd bet he'll have a chance to be in this league for a long time before I'd bet that he's one and done.

How the hell did this kid not get drafted. I know its youtube highlights, but these were more impressive than the kid we drafted.

I'm really hoping that AJ McCarron pulls a Jimmy G.

I would feel better if he stepped up in the massive pocket he had and threw that with both feet on the ground.

It's a little bit more than 1% 11-12 teams (~35%) this year will have opening day starters that were not first round picks, and that's been pretty much the standard for the last 10 years. Among the better QBS you have Wilson, Cousins, Carr, Garappolo, Brady, Brees. It's not exactly the prescribed route, but it's far from a wing and a prayer.

Admittedly, I don't know the kid, but his highlights make him look like a Kyle William clone. Super Excited to see this kid on the field. Looks like a day 1 starter to me.

You could say the same thing about Carr, Wilson, and Cousins. Hindsight is weird, right?

he has negative 2 seasons left. He's beyond finished.

Barkley was the perfect fit for the Giants. They have 1-3 years left in their current window where they could be championship contenders. They haven't been able to run the ball at all since Brandon Jacobs fell apart and an elite RB could take a ton of pressure off their passing game. When they lost their top 3 WRs in one game last year, that was the end of their season. Barkley gives them another way to win football games, and unlike other positions elite RBs can carry a team out of the gate.

College accuracy is not a solo indicator of pro success. College inaccuracy however is a strong and reliable indicator of failure in the Pros.

Marino was better and he raised his accuracy less than 2% which seems to be the best you can reasonably expect.

I'll be damned. Favre it is. I'm actually really happy to have that. Let's hope on the scale of Boller -> Favre he skews the right way.

I cant find a single example of a strong armed inaccurate college QB prospect that resolved his accuracy issues in the pros and found success. I'm talking 80's+ In fact nearly all successful NFL QBs posted 60%+ in college. Allen is 2 points or worse below every decent QB I've found at 56%. I'd love to find an example. Help me change my mind. Help me find a player he could morph into. Ben Roethlisberger completed 65% in college so comparisons between him and Allen are about as accurate as Peyton Manning and Favre. Of the 30+ good/great QBs I researched, none improved their college accuracy by more than a couple points besides Drew Brees and his numbers were already great. That's my data - what's yours?

Historic data, friendo. You're betting on a thing that's never happened in modern NFL history to happen. Good luck.

When all historical data suggests that something will be a bust, it's usually a bad idea to go all in at a premium price. I've been scouring NFL history and records for a raw cannon armed inaccurate and unpolished QB that fixed it all and went on to great things and I cant find one. Not a single one. There are a lot of small accurate, smart players that improved arm strength, though.

He has everything I want except accuracy, sound mechanics, a winning history, the ability the process a defense, wr progression, the ability to carry a team on his back and a better than 2:1 TD/Into ratio against some of the worst schools in the country. Other than that though.

Go ahead and drop your life savings on powerball tickets then. It will be a brilliant investment strategy if it works.

You know Beane wasn't the GM last year right?

Are all the people that work in your profession highly skilled and excellent at their profession beyond rebuke? I know the ones that occupy my space aren't.

The draft is about capturing value and getting elite talent otherwise inaccessible via free agency. Allen neither represents value or elite talent. If you spend your entire life savings on powerball tickets it's a terrible investment even if you get lucky. The guy that makes solid investment moves over a lifetime will always come out ahead. That's the point.

Not really. Tyrod has the lowest YAC in the league over his career. He robbed peter to pay paul.