jrober38

Hopefully this is true. The Bills are one of the best young teams in the NFL, who have a great defense and always keep games close. Seems like the type of team you'd want on TV, even if they're not a huge market. KC, New England, Seattle and Pittsburgh all seem like games that have a shot at Prime Time in Buffalo.

I'm not using anything incorrectly. I posted the definition from NextGen's Glossary of what they mean by air yards. There should be absolutely no confusion about what a definition means. It's not exactly a complex paragraph for someone to read and comprehend. NextGen does not care about where the QB is in relation to the LOS when the ball is thrown. It has nothing to do with the data he posted, as is backed up by the definition provided in their Glossary. Unless you're blind, you're intentionally being ignorant. Open the files and watch the videos, then tell me how the biggest air yards Allen had on a completed pass. Really? You think that they've just ignored their own DEFINITION of how a statistic is calculated. You think that's a real answer to the problem here, and not that you're just refusing to watch the videos and own how incredibly wrong you are? LMAO

Have you watched the videos? Obviously not. The videos show the data is clearly incorrect. If you're going to call other people biased, maybe try not being completely biased yourself. This is beyond sad at this point. The video is clear. They obviously don't support your bogus stats which have nothing on tape to support them.

Maybe their data is wrong. Maybe the guy who recorded the data was drunk. Who freaking knows. Maybe spend 2 minutes watching the 5 videos I just posted and just take your medicine. They're right there, and they blatantly show that nothing you've said over the past 20 minutes is even remotely true. You've misrepresented what air yards are, and you're ignoring clear video evidence. If you're not trying to mislead people I don't know what you're trying to do. You're wrong. Totally, utterly, wrong. Own it.

It says the largest file I can upload is 0.2 MB, which is tiny. I just found a link though. It's a very long read but very interesting if you find the time to read the whole thing. https://www.scribd.com/document/385295150/2018-Contextualized-Quarterbacking2-pdf My bad. It's tough having to respond when a poster is blatantly lying (that other guy). He's literally ignoring basic video evidence to try and prove his extremely misguided point. But Completion Percentage doesn't matter!!! Rabble, Rabble, Rabble!!!

You're living in a fantasy land. You're literally just saying things you want to be true. Straight from NextGen's Glossary: Average Completed Air Yards (CAY) and Average Intended Air Yards (IAY) Air Yards is the vertical yards on a pass attempt at the moment the ball is caught in relation to the line of scrimmage. CAY shows the average Air Yards a passer throws on completions, and IAY shows the average Air Yards a passer throws on all attempts. This metric shows how far the ball is being thrown ‘downfield’. Air Yards is recorded as a negative value when the pass is behind the Line of Scrimmage. Additionally Air Yards is calculated into the back of the end zone to better evaluate the true depth of the pass. Give it up. Please stop making up blatant lies.

Good catch! I'm just going off the list of plays that were given to me. LOS is the 34, Brown catches the ball 4-5 yards into the end zone and dives to the ground to secure the ball. It's probably somewhere between a 40-41 yard pass, which would land in the club house as the new leader in the clubhouse for Allen's longest throw this year. I don't think this is true. It makes things way too subjective. Every QB's air yards are calculated based off how far from the LOS the ball flies.

Says the guy who didn't click on the obvious video evidence. Your bias is laughable. Allen can do no wrong. You'll believe fake facts even if they're easily disproven in about 30 seconds of video.

The stats are wrong. Watch the videos I posted. They're all right there for you to click on. None of those stats are even remotely close to being true.

Based on the video above none of this relating to Allen is true. The video evidence says your stats are completely wrong.

I recall before Allen was drafted reading a detailed report that charted every throw Allen made his last year in college, and they looked at accuracy and at ball placement. Instead of completion percentage, they looked at which passes were thrown on target and I think they even excluded throw away passes. Anyways, I'll try to find the link, but Allen was a far and away the least accurate QB in the 2018 draft based on the study, which factored in all of the things you're describing. Having watched him in a Bills uniform, I think it's fair to say he makes his receivers work more than he might have to. Balls aren't always thrown in the spot where the receiver can easily turn and run with it. His deep ball is incredibly inaccurate, with the ball often landing no where near its target. EDIT - I found the study, but the link is broken and the PDF is too big to post. Any solutions?

I just watched all 5 highlights. John Brown, Steelers - LOS = 30 yard line, ball caught Steelers' 35. Ball went 35 yards in the air. John Brown, Dolphins - LOS = Dol 40 yard line, ball caught 17 yard line. Ball went 23 yards in the air. John Brown, Patriots - LOS = Bills 47 yard line, ball caught Pats 20 yard line. Ball went 33 yards in the air. Dawson Knox, Bengals - LOS = Bills 29 yard line, ball caught Bills' 49 yard line. Ball went 20 yards in the air. Cole Beasley, Giants - LOS = Bills 35 yard line, ball caught Giants' 39 yard line. Ball went 26 yards in the air. The videos are easy to find. The longest pass Allen completed all year went 35 yards in the air. And the rush yards weren't intentionally off. When I checked mid season, the 49ers averaged 39 rush attempts per game. They ran the ball a LOT less down the stretch, which I wasn't aware of.

That's how long the plays were. None of those passes went 40 yards or more in the air. I did math. I literally put the numbers into a calculator and that's what came out.

I looked into it. Adjusting all QBs completion percentage for dropped passes, Allen was still 4th worst in the NFL among starting QBs. Eliminating drops, his completion percentage was like 62%.

I think he only connected on one deep ball all year when he hit John Brown and it was like a 30 yard throw. I don't think he hit a single pass that went over 40 yards in the air all season.

True. I guess I was projecting I think we could have all the pieces after this offseason. I think we're close, but they're clearly better at QB, OL and TE.

Yikes. The list of first round receivers is laughably bad. We need a receiver, but I'd do it in round 2 and grab a lineman in the first round.

Having receivers definitely helps. Not missing deep balls by 5 yards also helps. Better receivers won't help the thing Allen needs the most help with, which is his erratic deep ball accuracy.

Sure. He definitely needs to become a lot more efficient. A QB Rating of 85 isn't anywhere close to good enough.

It's really sad if you actually believe this.

If witnesses could exonerate the President, why on earth would he block them from testifying?

The defense doesn't have any witnesses who actually help their case, unless they want to commit perjury. There's a reason a bunch of witnesses were blocked from testifying.

What happened in the House wasn't a trial. The trial is the Senate's job. If Republicans want to call witnesses now, they can go right ahead.

I wasn't talking about the Bills. I was talking about the 49ers. And what I said was 100% true. Through the first 8 weeks (seven games), the 49ers rushed the ball 38.8 times per game, which was right in line with Baltimore. That's the last time I looked at team rushing attempts, which is what I based my comment on that we should run it like 40 times a game. Since then things obviously changed, which is something I hadn't realized.

This seems like an insane premise. The Bills averaged 128 yards rushing per game to the 49ers 144. Josh Allen had 29 TDs to Jackson's 43. We need to rush the ball like 3-4 times more per game with our running backs to get to what the 49ers did this year. Allen needs to improve by a massive amount.