
YattaOkasan
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Everything posted by YattaOkasan
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Nosaint you've piqued my interest. I think this would be worthwile data to look at. I would like to see a histogram of CJ's carries versus the typical back. I would imagine CJ's median is much lower than someone like Sproles. On that same note I think the data sets on CJ's carries under Gailey and under Marrone would be great to look at as well (and probably more relevant to TBD discussions). Anyone know where this data would exist?
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Joe B. predicts the 53 for week 1
YattaOkasan replied to YoloinOhio's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
I agree. Boobie may not be the number 3 back, but I feel as if Roman wants versatility (and yes I know he cut Boobie in SF). -
I just don't see anyone breaking the bank on Glenn next year. The list of UFA LTs is up thread, and its pretty impressive. I'm not saying it couldn't happen (particularly if he has a monster year), but because of the available talent on the market next year I don't think it will. I'm hoping we can lock him up for $40 million over 5 years. and then move him to guard
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Joe B. predicts the 53 for week 1
YattaOkasan replied to YoloinOhio's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
I also don't think, the Brown trade, was as bad of a move as some have made it out to be. Particularly because the insurance policy was already cashed in. If only he holds onto that damn ball it might look like a great move. -
Joe B. predicts the 53 for week 1
YattaOkasan replied to YoloinOhio's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
I think this is the case as well, but have often seen the argument (not so much here) "Brown is Whaley's guy and he doesn't want egg on his face." -
I think assuming these guys will get re-signed is a safe assumption, and they should be resigned for something close to their value. Glenn would get an exaggerated (more than he's worth) contract if the market was diminished. However, with just those 3 guys gone I don't think the market is that much smaller and his value would not be too exaggerated. Thus he would still not be top 5 in worth (this is still the benchmark were using right?). I think it was later in the board (will eventually learn multi-quote), but $8 million sounds right to me with all things considered. I think his agent would be insane to not listen to any offers lower than $9 million.
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I limited my list to LTs next year and I thought there were more than 5 that had a better year in 2014. I understand he will likely improve this year, but I don't think he'll be in the top 2 or 3 for UFA (would love to be wrong though) of all tackles, unless you are weighting LTs more (but why not just limit it to LTs then).
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So I think the point on Unrestricted Free Agents needed some more umph so I did some work. Below is the list of UFA LT next year in order of cap hit this year from this site First Last Age Team PFF rank, B/R rank Trent Williams 26 WAS 10, 11 Anthony Castonzo 26 IND T7, 10 Nate Solder 27 NE >10, 21 Russell Okung 27 SEA 9, 18 Andrew Whitworth 33 CIN 1, 3 Donald Penn 32 OAK >10, 13 Kelvin Beachum 25 PIT 3, 8 Cordy Glenn 25 BUF >10, 15 I then added their PFF ranking (note rankings only went up to 10 but I think you get the picture). 2 top 5 LTs will be on the market next year along with 3 more in the top 10. This also includes a wide variety of ages. I don't think Glenn will command top 5 money because there are 5 UFA's that were ranked higher then him last year. Unless he has a huge break out year (which I would be down for); he will not get top 5 money for a LT. EDIT: I double checked and these are only the Pass blocking rankings. I will try to update with overall PFF rankings (I know we take them with a grain of salt but what else does a guy have). I have added B/R rankings because I couldn't find PFF rankings
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Joe B. predicts the 53 for week 1
YattaOkasan replied to YoloinOhio's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
I am interested to see how both TE's and FB are used. I am picturing a lot of Clay lining up in the FB position to lead block (or pull from a stance). -
Joe B. predicts the 53 for week 1
YattaOkasan replied to YoloinOhio's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
I don't think Connor makes it because he is too one dimensional, and while Karlos is big I'm not sure he's FB material (I don't think he can put the hurt on a LB). Again, I think you points are very valid, and I find this position battle difficult to discern. However, I think its Shady, Fred, Karlos, and Boobie at the end of the day. I am also expecting to see Harvin and maybe even Sammy line up in the back field this year. -
Joe B. predicts the 53 for week 1
YattaOkasan replied to YoloinOhio's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
I'm digging on what your saying, but I think Boobie could/will learn to play FB which will make him more valuable. I think we already have our pass catching RBs but could use a little bit of FB depth that Boobie could provide. Overall this is one of the most interesting bubble watches (along with WR). -
Joe B. predicts the 53 for week 1
YattaOkasan replied to YoloinOhio's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
I've heard it referred to as politics which is I framed it that way. I do think the coaching staff is higher on Dixon, and I honestly prefer him as well. I do understand the argument against him; it just seems that most of it lies in that Brown is Whaley's guy. -
Joe B. predicts the 53 for week 1
YattaOkasan replied to YoloinOhio's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
I don't understand the politics of cutting Boobie. Whaley brought in both Dixon and Brown. I get that we paid more for Brown, but I don't think that means Whaley is more beholden to him than Dixon. EDIT: I also don't understand why people think Dez Lewis will make the team with how loaded we are WR right now. He has been hurt so far, and is a rookie. Stash Lewis on the PS, and I would be very surprised to see anyone take him. Then if Harvin acts up you can bring him up, but right now I think Goodwin has to be in. -
Bills' Mandatory Minicamp: June 16-18
YattaOkasan replied to 26CornerBlitz's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
This part with regards to EJ was interesting. "He’s much less hesitant in his decision making and his accuracy is more consistent. Perhaps the area of his game that has seen the greatest jump is his footwork in the pocket and leading up to the throw." We'll see... still waiting for my ABC membership card to arrive in the mail. -
You're so fast. Caught me in 3 minutes. I like your avatar btw
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I think that means if AW struggles then we struggle too? He better back to practicing soon to make sure hes in good shape. Yeah I messed that up. Dawan Landry is who I meant and yes he is still available. Edit: I am an idiot
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Bills' Mandatory Minicamp: June 16-18
YattaOkasan replied to 26CornerBlitz's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
I think a no huddle while Suh is off the field would actually be restful for our O-Line (assuming we get some first downs at some point) -
Bills' Mandatory Minicamp: June 16-18
YattaOkasan replied to 26CornerBlitz's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
Funny that even the reports on the punters is so different. Joe B is saying, Schmidt has it locked; someone else linked above was saying Gay was making a bit of a competition out of it. So basically all this is useless and I should get back to work? -
Bills' Mandatory Minicamp: June 16-18
YattaOkasan replied to 26CornerBlitz's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
Yeah very good point. Obviously not the bread and butter, but I expect to see a lot of option type plays. I think the optimal D&D would be second and short/medium for this type of option play. If theres a big hole in the middle, then you hand it off. If there is an open receiver, then you throw the intermediate/long pass. If neither are there (I have to imagine because there are so many defenders everywhere elsewhere), then take the free first down and get down.