LEBills

He was signed by the Cardinals earlier today

lol Dion knows we all on edge

From 2022-2024, each year only 2 third round comp picks have been awarded based on free agent salary. All other third round picks in that timeframe have been awarded for minority HC/Executive hirings. Kind of looks like rather than third round comp picks being awarded to the top 5% of FA contracts like we were used to, they now cap it at the top 2 with the remainder being filled by the coaching comp picks. This is just a guess, maybe it will be different next year but it’s the third year in a row.

looks like we are about $4 mill over not counting the Rapp, Mitch, and Haack signings. Josh will be restructured, maybe Ed too which should get us below the cap with some space. A cut or extension of Taron, or an extension of Dawkins may be on the table as the major moves left if we want to do more spending

Nah he only earned one all pro, bust! /s

Great player, injuries suck

yes, Tre is a likely the next cut as doing it before 3/18 saves us an additional 1.5 million (6 million total toward the cap instead of 4.5 after 3/18) others to watch out for are Taron who if cut would save 7.5 million (though maybe they extend him instead). Gilliam would save about $1.9 million and Sam Martin about $1.3 million. Good thing we have all those draft picks this year!

Agreed but I think the Bills will want to keep him around rather than release him for the $7+ million cap savings. He did play better the second half of the year so it’s one of there better options if they need more space.

These were the easy decisions. Tre and his 6 million savings will be next, Harty and his 4.1 million savings too, maybe Morse and his 8.5 million worth of savings or a Taron and/or Dion extension too

Tanner Mordecai doesn’t have the tools to be a great QB but he was in a crowded Oklahoma QB room, and then succeeded at both SMU and Wisconsin in back to back years. Late on Day 3, I think he could be a good backup for us for 4 years.

This is right. The USC guys especially Rice because Caleb Williams went off script soooo often.

500k deadcap, 4.66 mil savings. No brainer.

Baker is so interesting. Metrics wise he is good against man and zone coverage. His jump ball ability is really good as he can jump well off both the left or right foot - Brad Steven used to tell a story he knew Gordon Hayward could be a good basketball player because he could jump will with both his left and right foot leading and Baker have that same awesome jumping ability. But a 10+% drop rate in back to back seasons is tough (thank you for your spreadsheet with that data btw)

https://atozsports.com/nashville/alabama-wr-jermaine-burton-with-female-fan-end-of-tennessee/ And Jerry and Brenden don’t have a great relationship so don’t know if that would happen lol

Averaged over 20 ypc and had 0 drops this year too. He would be rated much higher if Alabama had better QB play imo. He had three touchdowns against Texas but two got called back due to away from the play penalties. He and Brenden Rice are my top second day WRs for the Bills talent wise though who knows how Burtons character will check out.

Those are CBS sports rankings, so not Cosells. Trapasso is the lead guy there and likes to differ from consensus to try and stand out (had Mason Rudolph as a first rounder in 2018). He has Baker as his third ranked WR in the draft. https://www.cbssports.com/nfl/draft/news/2024-nfl-combine-ranking-top-five-draft-prospects-at-every-offensive-position-including-surprise-at-wr1/

Odunze is such an alpha. The game at OSU in the snow, where OSU was favored, when every other receiver including Polk and MacMillan literally dropped everything, Odunze put the team on his back. He would be awesome on the Bills. A trade up is prob too rich when we need to restock the roster with draft picks going forward and the WRs available at 28 are also likely very good.

I also am not a Kinchens fan, but he does have a coaching connections to the Bills with our DB coach being his secondary coach last year at Miami. He was also recruited to Miami by Manny Diaz - a close McDermott friend. We have already drafted Diaz’s defensive guys before in Rousseau and Jaquan Johnson. Charlie Campbell also had this to say about the Bills and Kinchens yesterday. https://walterfootball.com/nfl-hot-press-bills-considering-safety-help-in-2024-nfl-draft.php Pair that with Beane’s comment yesterday: https://www.audacy.com/wcmf/sports/buffalo-bills/what-brandon-beane-will-look-for-if-bills-need-new-starting-safety And with that, Kinchens combine is right up their alley lol

Of the three you graded, I agree Cowing is the best. He did already weigh in at the Senior Bowl where he measure in at 5’8.5’’ and 165 pounds with sub 30 inch arms and a sub 70 inch wingspan. Even in the slot that is pretty small and I’m having a tough time thinking of a similar size player who has had a lot of success in the NFL recently. Imo Cowing is an early day 3 guy.

This is right, the KC pick was involved with the Denver trade up scenario. When Denver decided against trading, TB took our 2 seconds instead of the KC first. We added all these picks to move up for a QB, we just didn’t need to use them all. https://billswire.usatoday.com/2018/05/05/2018-nfl-draft-buffalo-bills-denver-broncos-trade/

Thrash has some route running and yac ability but had a high drop rate and struggled at the senior bowl. Baker also has a high drop rate but has nice physicality and playmaking. A former Alabama receiver before transferring to UCF. Burton on the flip side has great hands (DCOranges data has him listed as 0 drops), and averaged over 20 ypc this year in a dysfunctional Alabama passing attack. He is personally my preference and I have him rated pretty highly in this class, though all three have tools to work with.

McD is a good coach, which wasn’t my point. But Andy Reid is unquestionably better and specializes in Mahomes side of the ball.

The Chiefs won 53 games in the 5 seasons prior to Mahomes starting (the early Andy Reid Era). Mahomes was throwing to Tyreek Hill and Travis Kelce in 2018 The Bills did make the playoffs in 2017 with a -56 point differential (good for 22nd out of 32 teams). Josh was throwing to Kelvin Benjamin, Zay Jones and Robert Foster.

Don’t forget that Mahomes may not be what he is now without being able to sit one year, inherit a perennial playoff team and having the best Offensive coach in the league since the start. It’s honestly amazing how good Josh is with how talent depleted that 2018 team was.

It was Daniel Jeremiah’s pick for the Bills in his mock draft yesterday https://www.nfl.com/news/daniel-jeremiah-2024-nfl-mock-draft-2-0-four-quarterbacks-selected-in-first-eight-picks